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February 21, 2012 at 20:30 #392886
Meh, I’ve been quite reserved at the last 2 Festivals and have stuck usually to singles. Thought I’d be a little more ambitious this time. I think at 10s he still represents excellent value and gives me 2 big bullets in the Triumph should he win.
February 21, 2012 at 20:45 #392889I’ve had some bad experiences with doubles and vowed to stick to singles, but I’m a sucker for the mug bet lucky 15 unfortunately. My Father in Law is a big trader on Betfair and always chuckles when I put those kinds of bets on, all a bit of fun though!
February 22, 2012 at 11:16 #392981Well you can laugh back at him when you get one up. Got a €2 L63 up at Chelts in 2003. Paid over 7k. Favs year that year, so just covered the ones I couldn’t see get beat.
This year is looking scarily similar to my mind.February 23, 2012 at 09:03 #393121This is my full list…
Supreme
Darlan 0.2pt ew 25/1
Arkle
Peddlers Cross 1.5pt win 8/1 & 0.8pt win 5/1
Champion Hurdle
Rock on Ruby 2pt win 20/1 & 1pt win 16/1
RSA
Grands Crus 1.5pt win 6/1
Last Installment 0.25pt ew 50/1 & 0.5 pt ew 33/1 (have laid my stake back in the place market at 9/4)Gold Cup
Kauto Star 1.1pt win 33/1 (was to win King George & Gold Cup)
Weird Al 4.6pt ew 25/1 NRNB & 0.9pt win 89/1
Quel Esprit 1.1pt win 99/1
Burton Point 0.2pt win 79/1ANY Race at the Festival
Cue Card 0.5pt ew 12/1 & 1pt win 10/1
Fingal Bay 4pt win 4/1Top Trainer
Hobbs 0.6pt win 25/1
Also have most of the above (plus Prospect Wells + Hinterland) in a selection of doubles and trebles. Really happy with the book so far, but am not tempted to trade out on nay of them ye
Added:
Gold Cup – Without Kauto & Long Run
Weird Al 1pt ew 11/1 (missed the 16/1!!)
Tuimph
Sadlers Risk 1.0pt win 8/1
Fred Winter
Vendor 1.0pt win 8/1
Added 8th Feb
Supreme
Simonsig 1.4pt win 12/1
Added 23 Feb
Champion Hurdle w/o the Fly
Rock on Ruby 1pt ew 15/2
Foxhunters
Salsify 1pt win 10/1
February 23, 2012 at 14:14 #393192Good shout Zark re. Galaxy Rock, he’s on my radar for this, or The Kim Muir. My idea of a definite plot horse. GL
Not entered for either. National-bound or injured.
February 23, 2012 at 18:54 #393242Well here we go, the ante-post losses start here. So far;
Galaxy Rock £10
Hidden Cyclone £30
Fingal Bay £50 (Albert Bartlett)and probably Boston Bob £50 (Albert Bartlett)
are done for.
Just done another mad accumulator.
Al Ferof, Oscars Well, Big Zeb, Moscow Mannon, Solix, Grumeti, Quevega & Long Run 1ptEW 8-Fold. I’m just aiming for the place part, not the win. £28 million would come in handy though.
February 23, 2012 at 19:18 #393247may as well chuck my Ante post losers in the mix.
Last Instalment 3pts
Havingotascoobydoo 3pts
Quito de la Roque 4pts
Spirit Son 2 pts
magnanimity 2ptsCould be on the Non Runner List – for the targets i hoped
Fingal Bay 8pts
Boston Bob 2 pts
Sir Des Champs 8ptsOne thing I will say is that in the fingal bay race i have covered others with more and expext them to plummet in price if he comes out, hope he doesn’t. I’d rather do a few horses than too many ew bets.
February 23, 2012 at 20:30 #393270Usually had a larger number of bets by now on some horses at longish prices, but this year just have a series of doubles and the treble on Sprinter Sacre, Quevega and Sizing Europe – all at longer prices than they are currently in the betting.
Whether i pick a few longer odds ones out at this stage i’m not sure as off to Barbados next week and we fly back into the UK on first day of the Festival. So this weekend is key for me and other Festival bets.
Can’t make up my mind on the Gold Cup – HF looks a v good bet in CH but is now too short for me at the level of bets i have.
In the CH i think Thousand Stars might be a decent e/w bet at still very decent odds- a consistent sort who i backed last year at a huge price e/w and who was unlucky not to get 3rd after being a little hampered in the final few furlongs.
February 23, 2012 at 20:32 #393272Yeah my concern with 1000* is that it was reported last week at the Tipperary Festival Preview that Shark Hanlon’s mole in the Mullins yard said that he’s ‘gone sour’ in recent weeks. His run at Leopardstown backs that up IMO, even Ruby Walsh said he didn’t pick up again like he usually does.
February 23, 2012 at 20:36 #393274Yeah my concern with 1000* is that it was reported last week at the Tipperary Festival Preview that Shark Hanlon’s mole in the Mullins yard said that he’s ‘gone sour’ in recent weeks. His run at Leopardstown backs that up IMO, even Ruby Walsh said he didn’t pick up again like he usually does.
Fair enough – i suspect i’ll keep my powder dry until Festival week now what with other commitments.
Having said that a good weekend this one coming and a filling of the coffers, will tempt me to look for some decent Festival bets come this Sunday i suspect!February 24, 2012 at 11:04 #393348My ante-post losers as follows:
Grandouet 2pts
Recession Proof 2pts each wayI also have 3pts each way on Fingal Bay. If SDC goes for the RSA then I’ll be crying into my pillow come Festival time.
I also have less than tasty prices about Hinterland, Prospect Wells, Hazy Tom and some other boat who’s name escapes me at this minute.
February 24, 2012 at 14:27 #393381Ok well I’ve just done my absolute mug punter EW 6-Fold for this year. 5 of them I think are nailed on for a place. The other I’m very confident about.
Hurricane Fly, Quevega, Al Ferof, Big Zeb, Grumeti and Solix.
5pt EW 6-Fold NRNB
I’ve also done
Quevega & Buena Vista (Pertemps) 26/1 4pts double
February 24, 2012 at 14:34 #393382Decided I am avoiding all the handicap hurdles this year. had a look back through the years and I have the most appalling record in them. Novcie races are my strong point. best to just up investment in these fields.
February 27, 2012 at 20:44 #393921Had my latest and last bets before the Festival this eve, as off to sunnier climes later in the week, until Champ Hurd day.
Synchronised at 14s in the Gold Cup
Shadow Catcher at 20s in the Triumph
Cross Kennon e/w at 100s in the World HurdleAll NRNB
March 5, 2012 at 22:59 #394960Have got 21.5 pts of losing ante-post vouchers so far. Decided to look into what my current bets are worth to see if ante-post betting was worth it.
Have checked the vast majority of bets – some of them are EW accas that it’s not worth checking, some of them don’t have markets open anymore to check their worth. 257.4 pts staked, at the current prices would have to stake 709.6 pts.
So yes, it was worth it
March 6, 2012 at 08:40 #394972Have this 32 bet 6 perm (6 timers) to small stakes
Champion Hurdle: Hurricane Fly 9/4 & Grandouet 6/1 NR
Ryanair: Captain Chris 10/1 & Noble Prince 6/1
Arkle: Al Ferof 7/1 & Sprinter Sacre 5/2
Champ Chase: Sizing Europe 5/2 & Finians Rainbow 7/1
Jewson: Peddlars Cross 11/2
King George Chase: Long Run 11/4 & Grands Crus 7/2March 6, 2012 at 09:20 #394975Boston Bob (Albert Bartlett), Quevega & Tottenham to beat Stevenage tomorrow night
5pt treble at 9.3/1
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