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January 11, 2020 at 11:23 #1479539
Thanks for that VTC
Been waiting for NRNB to back lisp in the grand annual
January 12, 2020 at 10:07 #1479619Champion Hurdle – Sharjah 10-1
Pertemps – Sire Du Berlais 11-1
Foxhunter – Wishing and Hoping 14-1
Gold Cup
Native River 20-1
Bristol De Mai 50-1 ewJanuary 15, 2020 at 20:37 #1479854As soon as the NRNB markets open I like to have a few multiple bets safe in the knowledge that my money won’t be lost on non runners.
Skybet are NRNB on all festival races while Bet365 are NRNB on the 5 major races: The Gold Cup, The Champion Hurdle, Queen Mother Champion Chase, Stayers Hurdle and the Ryanair.
I’ve only had a cursory look through the Skybet markets and no obvious value jumps out. It doesn’t help that they’re only quoting around half the likely fields in the handicaps. Anyway, onto my recommended value bet.
The Gold Cup
I was impressed by Al Boum Photo’s recent win at Tramore and I’ve already tipped Lostintranslation at 14/1. But the standout value in this Bet365 market is Sizing John at 50/1, three or four times the price he should be if he turns up here. He won the Gold Cup in 2017, followed up at the Punchestown Festival and disappointed Leopardstown where he finished distressed and was declared clinically abnormal by the vet.
Two years passed before we saw him back on track in Ireland on December 31st. He looked on very good terms with himself as he travelled well in the 20f hurdle and had just moved into 2nd when he stumbled after landing over two out and came down. He seemed none the worse for it and is due to turn out at next month’s Dublin Festival, after which I’d expect his Gold Cup odds to shorten dramatically.
The Champion Hurdle
Still something of a dark horse is Saldier although he is just 6/1 for this. He’s improved hugely in his last three runs, winning the Grade 1 Morgiana Hurdle on his first run this season. There looks to be quite a bit more to come from him especially as his trainer Willie Mullins has reportedly altered his training routine this season to give his horses a (‘quieter time’). Patrick Mullins said this recently on Racing TV, speculating that, given how almost every Mullins horse this season has needed its first run, they’ve no idea what Saldier could be capable of.
Queen Mother Champion Chase
I’ve tipped and backed Defi Du Seuil for this at 20/1 and 16/1. He’s a 7/2 chance now and Hobbs has yet to commit him to this saying The Ryanair remains an alternative depending on ground and opposition. I’ve backed Defi Du Seuil at 7/2 NRNB for the Ryanair to save my Queen Mother Champion Chase stakes. If you have backed him for the two miler I suggest you also save your stakes via that NRNB Ryanair option.
So, the value in the current market is another Mullins horse I’ve always liked: Cilaos Emery. He’s 8/1 for this after landing the Grade 2 Hilly Way Chase last time out, following up his seasonal debut victory in a Grade 2. He’s 3 from 3 over fences, already a much better chaser than he was a hurdler and could still have quite a bit to come.
Stayers Hurdle
Many will be avoiding the hotpot here in Paisley Park, but Summerville Boy stands out as value at 25/1. His novice season was his best, capped by winning The Supreme. He lost his way the following season although he raced in quality company most of the time. At the start of this season he was put over fences, resulting in a win at Uttoxeter and a fall at Sandown.
Back over hurdles in The Relkeel next time he was up in trip to 20f and he made the running, the first time those tactics have been tried since very early in his career. He seemed to relish both changes – trip and tactics and I think he is a much better horse than his overall profile suggests. I doubt he’ll have a problem with the extra half mile here – it might even bring out more improvement – and it will be fascinating watching him go from the front again if that’s what his connections choose to do.
In Summary
I recommend and EW Lucky 15 with Bet365 who pay as a bonus in Lucky 15s: double the odds for one winner only, and a 15% bonus to win money (not the EW part) if all four come in.
Gold Cup – Sizing John 50/1
Champion Hurdle – Saldier 6/1
Queen Mother Champion Chase – Cilaos Emery 8/1
Stayers Hurdle – Summerville Boy 25/1
A £1EW Lucky 15 pays £129,149.60. for the win part and £951.68 for the place part.
January 16, 2020 at 19:09 #1479941365 now NRNB & BOG on the 5 championship races.
January 16, 2020 at 19:44 #1479943I’ve recently gone for this Yankee; Champagne Classic 7/1 (NH CHASE) Allmankind 7/1 (TRIUMPH HURDLE) Notebook 5/1 (ARKLE CHASE) A Plus Tard 6/1 (RYANAIR CHASE)
£2 Yankee pays £4,495.50
Gonna get my prayer mat out!
January 29, 2020 at 18:19 #1481228Champion Hurdle
Sharjah 10-1
Darasso 33-1 ewRSA – Aye Right 40-1 ew
Pertemps – Sire Du Berlais 11-1
Stayers – The Worlds End 20-1 ew
Foxhunter – Wishing and Hoping 14-1
Gold Cup
Native River 20-1
Bristol De Mai 50-1 ewJanuary 29, 2020 at 21:09 #1481243I’ve managed to cash out most of my earlier ante-posts for my stake, I’ve only 3 left running, all of which I’m very happy with.
Santini – Gold Cup – 33s to 9s
Fury Road – Albert Bartlett – 33s to 14s
Phoenix Way – Pertemps – 27s (price boost)
February 4, 2020 at 15:32 #1481956Supreme Novices
Envoi Allen 16/1Arkle
Notebook 25/1 ewChampion Hurdle
Petit Mouchoir 40/1 ew
Supasundae 40/1 ew
Benie Des Dieux 14/1Boodles Hurdle
Tronador 33/1Pertemps Final
Ronald Pump 16/1Stayers Hurdle
Ronald Pump 33/1 ew nrnbAlbert Bartlett
Fury Road 25/1Gold Cup
Chris’s Dream 40/1 ew
Discorama 100/1 ewFebruary 12, 2020 at 10:59 #1482710Two more added for me
Ryanair – Top Notch 33-1 ew
County Hurdle – Mohaayed 33-1February 12, 2020 at 19:41 #1482771Ryanair – Hardline 50/1 ew
February 23, 2020 at 14:17 #1483697I think that I can safely rip up my Hardline Ticket after that.
March 3, 2020 at 01:25 #1484466No more for me now.
Champion Hurdle (Green)
Ballyandy 33’s EW
Fusil Raffles 50’s EW (Laid 13’s)
Gumball 710’s
Honeysuckle 50’s (Laid 11’s+)
Le Patriote 500’sMares Hurdle
Great White Shark 1000’sNorthern Trust Chase
Galvin 20’s
Galvin 12’s NRNBNational Hunt Chase
Forza Milan 16’s NRNBRSA
Dallas Des Pictons 300’sCoral Cup
Palmers Hill 33’s EW NRNBChampion Chase (Green)
Chacun Pour Sois 50’s EW (laid 4.8’s+)
Dynamite Dollars 50’s EWCross Country
Neverushacon 16’s NRNBBoodles
Recent Revelations 25’s NRNBMarsh Chase
Dallas Des Pictons 410’sPertemps
The Stoyteller 12’sRyanair
Cadmium 130’s
Politologue 240’sStayers
Champ 25’s
Tobefair 66’s EW NRNB
Tobefair 200’sKim Muir
No Comment 16’s NRNB
No Comment 25’s
What A Moment 33’s EW NRNBGold Cup
Delta Work 25’s
Jett 1000’sGrand Annual
Brelan D’As 25’sMartin Pipe
McFabulous 20’s NRNBLaid/Cashed out for profit
A Plus Tard
Annamix
Andy Dufresne
Bigbadandbeautiful
Champagne ClassicLaid/Cashed Out
Edwulf
TedhamLosers
Annamix
Dallas Des Pictons
Early Doors
Midnight Run
Ordinary World
Galvin
MohaayedNRNB Void
Palmers Hill
Early Doors
Edwulf
Put The Kettle OnMarch 3, 2020 at 02:26 #1484471My lot for this year
Day 1
Supreme Novices Hurdle – Chantry House 20/1 E/W
Arkle Chase – Al Dancer 25/1 E/W
Champion Chase – Pentland Hills 8/1
Day 2
Ballymore Novices Hurdle – Sporting John 20/1 E/W
RSA Chase – Slate House 16/1 E/W
Champion Chase – Douvan NR
Day 3
Marsh Novices Chase – Reserve Tank 14/1
Pertemps Final – The Storyteller 10/1
Ryanair Chase – Riders On The Storm 8/1
Stayers Hurdle – Emitom 33/1 E/W
Day 4
Triumph Hurdle – Aspire Tower 6/1
Gold Cup – Bristol De Mai 50/1 E/W
Martin Pipe H’cap Hurdle – Front View 8/1
The very best of luck all
March 3, 2020 at 12:02 #1484495Ultima
La Bague Au Roi 16-1 nrnb
Mister Malarky 12-1 nrnbChampion Hurdle
Sharjah 10-1
Darasso 33-1 ewNational Hunt Chase
Forza Milan 16-1 nrnbRSA – Aye Right 40-1 ew
Marsh Chase
Reserve Tank 14-1 nrnb
Slate House 20-1 nrnbPertemps – Sire Du Berlais 11-1
Stayers – The Worlds End 20-1 ew
Kim Muir
Plan of Attack 20-1 nrnb
Cloth Cap 33-1 nrnbCounty Hurdle
Mohaayed 33-1 ewFoxhunter – Wishing and Hoping 14-1
Gold Cup
Bristol De Mai 50-1 ewMartin Pipe
Column of Fire 11-1 nrnb
Front View 12-1 nrnbLosers, Top Notch, Native River
March 3, 2020 at 20:56 #1484545Supreme
Master Debonair 25/1 EWArkle
Al Dancer 20/1 EWUltima
Vinndication 10/1Champion Hurdle
Cornerstone Lad 50/1Ballymore
Son of Camas 50/1 EWFred Winter
Theatre of War 33/1 EWGold Cup
Lostintranslation 8/1 (main bet)
Al Boum Photo 5/1
Monalee 33/1
Bristol de Mai 33/1 EWMarch 4, 2020 at 20:00 #1484595After promising no more, I bet some more……
Champion Hurdle – Le Patriote 500’s
Mares Hurdle – Great White Shark 1000’s
Grand Annual – Whatswrongwithu 25’s NRNB & 33’s
March 8, 2020 at 00:16 #1484898Where do I begin Backed all my Ante Post bets
With William Hills done
Magners Gold Cup – 13th Mar 2020 – Outright
Lostintranslation @ 8/1To Win Any Race At The 2020 Cheltenham Festival (A-H) – Outright
Envoi Allen @ 11/4Champion Hurdle – 10th Mar 2020 – Outright
Saldier @ 7/1 7.59/1 (Lost)Queen Mother Champion Chase 2020 – 11th Mar 2020 – Outright
Defi du Seuil @ 4/1 4.32/1Stayers Hurdle – 12th Mar 2020 – Outright
The Worlds End @ 20/1 3@1/5 (EW)Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate – 12th Mar 2020 – Outright
Spiritofthegames @ 20/1 5@1/5 (EW)Supreme Novices’ Hurdle 2020 – 10th Mar 2020 – Outright
Master Debonair @ 16/1 3@1/5 (EW)(LOST)Ryanair Chase – 12th Mar 2020 – Outright
Riders Onthe Storm @ 8/1 8.68/1To Win Any Race At The 2020 Cheltenham Festival (I-Q) – Outright
Le Breuil @ 9/1 9.78/1The best things in life are free.
But you can give them to the birds and bees. -
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