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Cheltenham 2020 bets

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Viewing 15 posts - 76 through 90 (of 126 total)
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  • #1476616
    Ray1891
    Participant
    • Total Posts 122

    I just had a £5 trixie on; CHAMPAGNE CLASSIC 10/1 (National hunt chase), FLORESSA 10/1 (Mares novice hurdle) & PAISLEY PARK 7/4 (Stayers hurdle)

    Very happy with that. Probably my first normal bet for the festival, All the rest are silly little trebles a couple of quid here and there!

    #1477431
    Venture to CognacVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 17551

    Completely different approach for me this year, and time will tell whether it’s a good idea or not.

    Spent the last few days laying off/cashing out where I can on those on my earlier list, and thankfully profits big and small on them all, bar Dallas Des Pictons for RSA/JLT, who I had to take a small loss on. Knew that would be the case though, as although 365 have him same price as when I bet him, they’ve tightened way up, and wouldn’t give me full amount back. Can hardly blame them.

    I’m stuck with Midnight Run and Dallas Des Pictons (Exchange bet) as I can’t get out of them.

    Not too concerned though, and I’m happy, mid December, to be in front.

    Specials
    Lostintranslation to win King George/Cheltenham Gold Cup 40’s

    #1478263
    MarkTTMarkTT
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2705

    The big handicap hurdle at Leopardstown today needs several replays and I’d be surprised if the first six home didn’t produce a Dublin or Cheltenham festival winner between them.

    #1478294
    Venture to CognacVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 17551

    Agree with that Mark, perfect race to dissect, and even beyond the first six, Plenty will be Festival bound.

    Ilikedwayurthinking was a big eyecatcher, but no secrets really with him, as he’s been well touted already.

    #1478308
    MarkTTMarkTT
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2705

    Yes, VTC. Also, Thatsy is a good horse, has form with Last Exhibition and is on a good mark for something like the Martin Pipe ( assuming the usual hike by the British handicapper)

    I like Navan form for Cheltenham

    #1478395
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1763

    I was hoping that the ante post landscape would be a little clearer after the big races over christmas

    But with chacun, laurina, kemboy, presenting percy, samcro, fakir doudaries, lostintranslation and andy dusfresne all being beaten the opposite has happened

    Have to say I’m glad most of my ante post bets have been free bets so far

    #1478410
    SteeplechasingSteeplechasing
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5769

    Keep the faith with Lostintranslation for Gold Cup – not for the first time Tizzard has gone to the well too often/soon (that £1m bonus is becoming a poisoned chalice)

    Can’t see why Defi Du Seuil hasn’t hardened to go clear fav for the Queen Mother Champion Chase

    Never argue with a fool. He will drag you down to his level and beat you with experience, then onlookers might not be able to tell the difference. https://lazybet.com/

    #1478976
    grw123grw123
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2

    These are my Cheltenham hopefuls.

    Accumulator (x1)
    * W
4th Jan SANDOWN 14:25 NOVICES’ HURDLE 1m 7f 216y – Win 

2. Fiddlerontheroof 
2/1
    * W
4th Jan SANDOWN 15:00 HANDICAP CHASE 3m 0f 37y – Win 

10. Jepeck 
7/2
    * 
11th Mar CHELTENHAM Cheltenham 2020 – Cross Country Chase 
10. Tiger Roll 
7/4
    * 
11th Mar CHELTENHAM Cheltenham 2020 – RSA Chase 
10. Champ 
7/2
    * 
12th Mar CHELTENHAM Cheltenham 2020 – Stayers Hurdle 
10. Paisley Park 
6/4

    Stake:
    £50.00
    Potential Returns:
    £20,882.81

    Accumulator (x1)
    * W
4th Jan SANDOWN 14:25 NOVICES’ HURDLE 1m 7f 216y – Win 

2. Fiddlerontheroof 
2/1
    * W
4th Jan SANDOWN 15:00 HANDICAP CHASE 3m 0f 37y – Win 

10. Jepeck 
7/2
    * 
11th Mar CHELTENHAM Cheltenham 2020 – Cross Country Chase 
10. Tiger Roll 
7/4
    * 
11th Mar CHELTENHAM Cheltenham 2020 – RSA Chase 
10. Champ 
7/2

    Stake:
    £100.00
    Potential Returns:
    £16,706.25

    #1478978
    Venture to CognacVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 17551

    Good luck with those GRW

    #1479536
    Venture to CognacVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 17551

    Skybet are NRNB all races now.

    #1479539
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1763

    Thanks for that VTC

    Been waiting for NRNB to back lisp in the grand annual

    #1479619
    Lemons68Lemons68
    Participant
    • Total Posts 429

    Champion Hurdle – Sharjah 10-1

    Pertemps – Sire Du Berlais 11-1

    Foxhunter – Wishing and Hoping 14-1

    Gold Cup
    Native River 20-1
    Bristol De Mai 50-1 ew

    #1479854
    SteeplechasingSteeplechasing
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5769

    As soon as the NRNB markets open I like to have a few multiple bets safe in the knowledge that my money won’t be lost on non runners.

    Skybet are NRNB on all festival races while Bet365 are NRNB on the 5 major races: The Gold Cup, The Champion Hurdle, Queen Mother Champion Chase, Stayers Hurdle and the Ryanair.

    I’ve only had a cursory look through the Skybet markets and no obvious value jumps out. It doesn’t help that they’re only quoting around half the likely fields in the handicaps. Anyway, onto my recommended value bet.

    The Gold Cup

    I was impressed by Al Boum Photo’s recent win at Tramore and I’ve already tipped Lostintranslation at 14/1. But the standout value in this Bet365 market is Sizing John at 50/1, three or four times the price he should be if he turns up here. He won the Gold Cup in 2017, followed up at the Punchestown Festival and disappointed Leopardstown where he finished distressed and was declared clinically abnormal by the vet.

    Two years passed before we saw him back on track in Ireland on December 31st. He looked on very good terms with himself as he travelled well in the 20f hurdle and had just moved into 2nd when he stumbled after landing over two out and came down. He seemed none the worse for it and is due to turn out at next month’s Dublin Festival, after which I’d expect his Gold Cup odds to shorten dramatically.

    The Champion Hurdle

    Still something of a dark horse is Saldier although he is just 6/1 for this. He’s improved hugely in his last three runs, winning the Grade 1 Morgiana Hurdle on his first run this season. There looks to be quite a bit more to come from him especially as his trainer Willie Mullins has reportedly altered his training routine this season to give his horses a (‘quieter time’). Patrick Mullins said this recently on Racing TV, speculating that, given how almost every Mullins horse this season has needed its first run, they’ve no idea what Saldier could be capable of.

    Queen Mother Champion Chase

    I’ve tipped and backed Defi Du Seuil for this at 20/1 and 16/1. He’s a 7/2 chance now and Hobbs has yet to commit him to this saying The Ryanair remains an alternative depending on ground and opposition. I’ve backed Defi Du Seuil at 7/2 NRNB for the Ryanair to save my Queen Mother Champion Chase stakes. If you have backed him for the two miler I suggest you also save your stakes via that NRNB Ryanair option.

    So, the value in the current market is another Mullins horse I’ve always liked: Cilaos Emery. He’s 8/1 for this after landing the Grade 2 Hilly Way Chase last time out, following up his seasonal debut victory in a Grade 2. He’s 3 from 3 over fences, already a much better chaser than he was a hurdler and could still have quite a bit to come.

    Stayers Hurdle

    Many will be avoiding the hotpot here in Paisley Park, but Summerville Boy stands out as value at 25/1. His novice season was his best, capped by winning The Supreme. He lost his way the following season although he raced in quality company most of the time. At the start of this season he was put over fences, resulting in a win at Uttoxeter and a fall at Sandown.

    Back over hurdles in The Relkeel next time he was up in trip to 20f and he made the running, the first time those tactics have been tried since very early in his career. He seemed to relish both changes – trip and tactics and I think he is a much better horse than his overall profile suggests. I doubt he’ll have a problem with the extra half mile here – it might even bring out more improvement – and it will be fascinating watching him go from the front again if that’s what his connections choose to do.

    In Summary

    I recommend and EW Lucky 15 with Bet365 who pay as a bonus in Lucky 15s: double the odds for one winner only, and a 15% bonus to win money (not the EW part) if all four come in.

    Gold Cup – Sizing John 50/1

    Champion Hurdle – Saldier 6/1

    Queen Mother Champion Chase – Cilaos Emery 8/1

    Stayers Hurdle – Summerville Boy 25/1

    A £1EW Lucky 15 pays £129,149.60. for the win part and £951.68 for the place part.

    Never argue with a fool. He will drag you down to his level and beat you with experience, then onlookers might not be able to tell the difference. https://lazybet.com/

    #1479941
    botchy1botchy1
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3651

    365 now NRNB & BOG on the 5 championship races.

    #1479943
    Ray1891
    Participant
    • Total Posts 122

    I’ve recently gone for this Yankee; Champagne Classic 7/1 (NH CHASE) Allmankind 7/1 (TRIUMPH HURDLE) Notebook 5/1 (ARKLE CHASE) A Plus Tard 6/1 (RYANAIR CHASE)

    £2 Yankee pays £4,495.50

    Gonna get my prayer mat out!

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