Cheltenham 2019 Bets

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This topic contains 143 replies, has 36 voices, and was last updated by botchy1 botchy1 7 months ago.

Viewing 15 posts - 106 through 120 (of 144 total)
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  • #1397738

    potato
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 833

    Henderson is the main one feeling the pinch atm and id wary of horses like top notch going forward who have on record been said to feel the effects of these jabs in the past..

    On what basis is Henderson struggling?

    He only had 3 runners today, none were favourites and all were expected on paper to get beaten.

    Before today following the shutdown he was 3 wins from 6 and that’s a 50% strike rate.

    It’s completely untrue that Henderson is struggling at present. It’s an outrageous claim to make and it has no foundation whatsoever.

    Almost all major stables will be doing the flu jabs at the same or very similar time period.

    The unusual thing today was the number of runners Nicholls had today and that was due to the shutdown, he had more that he wanted to run than normal.

    Without using a calculator that’s about a 30% strike rate. Its nothing unusual.in terms of strike rate on a Saturday. He has had better than that strike rate before, much better many my times. :good:

    In actual fact going into todays racing Februaru 2019 was Nicky Hendersons 2nd best ever February strike rate. It isnt ofer yet but it is on course to potentially be his best ever February in terms of strike rate as there is still 12 racing days left. Even with an average run over next 12 days this is still likely to be his 2nd best Feb of all time.

    #1397748

    ham
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2276

    Never said henderson was struggling in the sens your saying, i said hes feeling the pinch with jabs, the likes of santini, angels breath amongst many others inelegible to run

    The rest of what you said is just nonsense… not worth the strain on my fingers lol

    #1397880
    Vautour
    Vautour
    Participant
    • Total Posts 596

    I’ve backed evevry grade 1 now NRNB, a few antepost, but mostly NRNB. I’ve also backed the National Hunt Chase and Cross Country. Will leave the handicaps, the Foxhunters and the Mares Novice until closer the time.

    As usual I have a bias towards Mullins/Elliot and my week rests with them; hopefully they can repeat last years heights

    Supreme: Klassical Dream 7/1e/w NRNB, Tornado Flyer 25/1 e/w NRNB
    Arkle: Cilaos Emery 5/1 NRNB
    Champion Hurdle: Laurina 4/1 NRNB
    Mares Hurdle: Benie Des Dieux 7/4 Ante Post
    National Hunt Chase: Ballyward 4/1 Ante post
    Ballymore: Carefully Selected 16/1e/w NRNB
    RSA: Delta Work 7/2 NRNB
    Champion Chase w/o Altior: Min 5/2 NRNB
    Cross Country: Tiger Roll 5/2 Ante Post
    Champion Bumper: Blue Sari 4/1 NRNB
    JLT: Hardline 12/1 e/w NRNB
    RyanAir: Footpad 5/1 NRNB
    Stayers: Faugheen 9/1 e/w NRNB
    Triumph: Tiger Tap Tap 11/1 e/w NRNB
    Albert Bartlett: Dinons 16/1 e/w NRNB
    Gold Cup: Bellshill 10/1 e/w NRNB

    Mainly a Mullins bias for the graded races; will have more of an Elliot bias for the handicaps.

    #1397910

    ham
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2276

    5/2 min w/o altior nrnb?!?! Whos gifting that???

    #1397912
    Vautour
    Vautour
    Participant
    • Total Posts 596

    Was Paddy Power; got it after the 4 Championship races went NRNB. Long gone now

    #1398162

    ham
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2276

    Not a market id usually look at antepost, will need to keep an eye on that in the future!

    #1398234
    Vautour
    Vautour
    Participant
    • Total Posts 596

    It wasn’t ante-post, Ham. It was NRNB. They’ve been NRNB for the Championship races for a while now, inclding the without Altior market

    #1398240

    ham
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2276

    yeah i just meant antepost as in a while before the race i would tend to only look at that market the day of or slightly before, with the nrnb concession its a solid price!

    Dont have too many mullins, or as many as i normally would in my antepost bets but i still likenthe look of camelia de cotte myself in the jlt, especially if the weather is similar to now at the time!

    #1398587

    ham
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2276

    Probably wrapped up my antepost bets tonight for this, a fair few done as usual, have a couple leftover, made a mess of more races this year than any other

    Supreme

    Champagne platinum @25s :unsure:
    Prince daubrelle @78s :negative:
    Galvin @154s
    Aramon @28s
    Klassical dream @20/1 :unsure:

    Arkle

    Cilaos emery @18/1 :negative:
    Hardline @25/1
    Le richebourg @10/1

    Champion hurdle

    Laurina @10/1
    Silver streak @85s :negative:
    Saldier@60s :negative:

    Mares hurdle
    Missy tata @55s and 40/1 e/w

    4 miler
    Ballyward @20/1

    Ballymore

    Galvin @580-590s
    Klassical dream @10/1 NRNB
    Honeysuckle @22/1 NRNB

    Xc
    Tiger roll @5/4 NRNB, all in on this for me, was going to wait until the day but price can only get worse not really worth posting lol

    Bumper
    Abacadabras @25/1
    Malone road @8/1 :negative:

    Jlt
    Hardline :negative:
    Vinndication :wacko:
    Camelia de cotte @25/1 NRNB
    Coquin mans :negative:

    Ryanair
    Monalee @10/1-16/1

    Stayers
    Bapaume @25/1 e/w
    Scarpeta :negative:
    Bachasson :negative:

    Mares novice

    Salasaretta @14/1-28/1 biggest bet antepost, not looking great.
    Honeysuckle @6/1 NRNB
    Sinoria @12/1 NRNB

    Albert bartlett

    Cap york @150s
    Rhinestone 25/1 e/w & 55s
    Easy game @25/1 :negative:

    Gold cup
    Al boum potato @20-50s

    Have a few multis about, never worth posting as there usually a mile off, wish i was sharper with a few, hovered over sir erec at 20/1 and delta work at 20/1 and sat them out, will likely back both on the day. Think thats it until i get to the track and start laying everything i initaially liked LOL

    #1398685
    Venture to Cognac
    Venture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15794

    Some nice ones in there Ham, good luck.

    #1398992

    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1093

    After some cashing out and late subs, my Cheltenham antepost ew portfolio is done….

    Klassical Dream NRNB Supreme Nov Hurdle 8-1
    Elixir Du Nutz NRNB Supreme Nov Hurdle 9-1

    Lalor Arkle Chase 10-1

    Give Me A Copper Ultima Handicap Chase 14-1

    Laurina Champion Hurdle 12-1
    Apple’s Jade NRNB Champion Hurdle 6-1

    Ballyward National Hunt Chase 33-1
    Champagne Classic NRNB National Hunt Chase 9-1

    Battleoverdoyen Ballymore Nov Hurdle 14-1
    Champ Ballymore Nov Hurdle 10-1

    Topofthegame RSA Chase 14-1
    Santini NRNB RSA Chase 4-1

    Tiger Roll Cross Country Chase 4-1

    Lostintranslation JLT Nov Chase 6-1
    Defi Du Seuil JLT Nov Chase 6-1
    Master Dino JLT Nov Chase 12-1 LOST

    Monalee NRNB Ryanair Chase 8-1

    Sir Erec (win) Triumph Hurdle 9-4

    Commander of Fleet Albert Bartlett 10-1
    Dickie Diver NRNB Albert Bartlett 14-1

    Presenting Percy Gold Cup 8-1
    Clan Des Obeaux NRNB Gold Cup 8-1

    #1399080
    peter .h
    peter .h
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1150

    This is the first time I’ve ever done multiple antepost Cheltenham bets. Almost always wait until the day before or morning of as it’s such a minefield leading up to it. For whatever reason however I decided to have a go this year. So far my lost bets are…

    Lil Rockefeller – Gold Cup
    Bright Forecast – Supreme (nrnb)
    Didtheyleaveyououto – Supreme
    Tiger Tap Tap – Triumph (cashed out)

    My current bets are…

    Gold Cup
    Thistlecrack 20
    Elegant Escape 25

    Stayers
    Paisley Park 25
    Lil Rockefeller 50

    JLT
    Defi Du Seuil 5
    Lostintranslation 6

    Ryanair
    Aso 20

    Triumph
    Sir Erec 6

    Ballymore
    Bright Forecast 33

    Multiples include…

    Ew Trixie
    Paisley Park 10 (Stayers)
    Aso 20 (Ryanair)
    Thistlecrack 8 (Gold Cup)

    Ew 4 Fold
    Buveur D’Air 7/4 (Champion Hurdle)
    Paisley Park 2 (Stayers)
    Defi Du Seuil 5 (JLT)
    Sir Erec 11/4 (Triumph)

    Ew 6 Folds
    Buveur D’Air 7/4 (Champion Hurdle)
    Paisley Park 2 (Stayers)
    Defi Du Seuil 5 (JLT)
    Lostintranslation 6 (JLT)
    Sir Erec 11/4 (Triumph)
    Topofthegame 7 (RSA)
    Thistlecrack 8 (Gold Cup)

    It isn’t the most professional approach, but it certainly filled an evening or two!

    #1399085
    raymo61
    raymo61
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4510

    After Mullins putting me off ante post bets for Cheltenham I have been far more circumspect this year being the first year back so to speak!!

    No handicap bets yet I will save the study for them for the Sunday before!! :wacko: :wacko:

    Here are mine that still have a chance of running!!
    SUPREME
    Aramon 16/1 14/1 17.5
    ARKLE
    Voix De Reve 12/1 20/1
    Paloma Blue 16/1
    CHAMPION HURDLE
    Buveur D’Air 2/1 7/4
    Brain Power 20/1
    OLGB MARES
    Mia’s Storm 25/1 20/1 32
    Roksana 16/1 14/1 19
    NATIONAL HUNT CHASE
    Mister Malarkey 20/1 16/1
    BALLYMORE
    Battleoverdoyen 6/1
    Downtown Getaway 33/1 40/1
    RSA
    Drovers Lane 33/1 25/1
    Now Mcginty 66/1 50/1
    QUEEN MOTHER
    Altior Evs
    Diego Du Charmil 40/1 50/1
    RYANAIR
    Frodon 25/1 20/1 12/1
    Aso 25/1
    STAYERS
    Paisley Park 12/1
    Kilbricken Storm 40/1 33/1
    Triumph
    Adjali 25/1
    Red Force One 40/1
    ALBERT BARTLETT
    Lisnagar Oscar 12/1
    Ask Ben 33/1
    GOLD CUP
    Thistlecrack 12/1
    Al Boum Photo 14/1

    I will be happy if over half of these turn up let alone win!!

    Good Luck Guys :good: :good: Two weeks to go :wacko: :wacko:

    #1399086
    raymo61
    raymo61
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4510

    As well as these I do have eleven losing bets but I thought it would be daft listing all them and rubbing my own nose in it!! :cry: :cry:

    #1399921

    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1093

    I’ve done a treble of Benie Des Dieux, Altior, Tiger Roll. Arguably they are the 3 strongest favourites of the week and it pays 4.2 to 1 which isn’t too shabby.

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