Bulwarks lays and plays…

[carvillshill]

You’re not the bloke that got the 8 horse accum up Bulwark are you?

[Bulwark]

Yeah, it was me, but i dont like to aftertime , I cant hit a sausage at the minute, think Im either thinking to hard or not enough, my picking is shocking at the minute, especially mid week, was going to throw that fen game in today and went against it, then saw that coolcashin getting backed well at naas and ignored it, cant hit a thing,

I diid say when I started this that I didnt think Id do well at though. I usually pick mine just before the off, and thats when i do best, think I should maybe stick to that or show a bit more patience in picking them.

This is a good way of assessing where Im going wrong though, time will telll if I can iron out my **** bets, but to be fair I always tend to do best this way, in runs really.

[Bulwark]

One I have just noticed and had almost forgotten about.

Fred Winter – Pertemps Networks 1 pt e/w 1pt win @ 33-1

Caught the eye when he ran an absolute barn stormer in the scottish triumph at musselburough earlier in the month before falling, going like a train at the time. Has the fred winter as his sole entry and seemingly has only one target so looks well worth a bet at the price as one who should be really well handicapped and on the improve.

[Bulwark]

County Hurdle – Bobs Pride 1pt e/w 1pt win @ 20-1

Dermot weld (a trainer who I have a great deal of im for) said last year after his impressive win at the punchestown festival that he was destined for the top of the hurdling division. It has since become clear the horse only seems to like good ground and detests most other goings. Nevertheless, good ground is expected at the festival and he should be well suited by it, he is entered to run on friday in the race against harchibald and co and it is not inconcievable that he could go well. The betting seems to indicate that he is going to the county hurdle and is reasonably weighted for open imrovement, if he goes well in his all weather run at dundalk his price may dwindle. He had no similar prep run at the same time last year prior to putting in two rock solid runs at fairyhouse and punchestown, he is stoutely bred and we may not have seen the best of him yet.

[Bulwark]

Am doing a few Lucky 63s for Cheltenham and have thought about one with the chance of Nicholls cleaning up, in my view he has a really strong hand and its not inconcievable that he could do so. Have just went though his better priced ones who have been well supported recently.

Celestial Halo – Triumph Hurdle @ William Hills 7-1

The horse is clearly a classy individual and where I do think he will be suited by further, the likely pace of this years triumph should suit and nicholls reckons hes come on bundles since his last run, he has been well supported

Rippling Ring – Supreme Novice @ Hills 8-1

Was really impressed with the way this horse burst clear on his debut and he is clearly a smart horse, nicholls reckons we will be hearing a lot more about him this year and next, so it would appear he is well fancied, has been supported to boot.

Dear Villez – Jewson Novice Chase @ 7-1

Nicholls reckons this is his best chance of all of his handicappers and he would look wel fancied

The Tother One – Albert Bartlett Novice Hurdle @ 8-1

The defection of elusive dream has coincided with heavy looking support fopr this one right into 6-1 with some firms, is clearly a decent horse who’s record speaks for itself and he would appear to be well fancied.

Silverburn – Royal and Sun Alliance Chase @ 8-1

This horse has always looked a bit of an anticlimax to me but there is no doubting that he looked to be getting it together in his last run, and nicholls reckons that he is currently in the best shape he has ever had him, I have watched him backed in from 20s (with some firms) to a general 8s which would back up belief that statement

Turko – Ryanair Chase @ 10/1

There is a question about many in the ryanair but cant help but think of walsh bringing taranis up the hill to hold of our vic last year and I think turko looks a similar sort of horse to that and could go well.[/b]

[Bulwark]

1pt e/w bowmans boy – 235 kelso @ 50-1

+same race 1pt e/w danish rebel – 16-1

[Bulwark]

Havent had time for to put my bets on here as been out and about. But have placed a few bets.

Supreme Novice – 4 points on Deep Purple (I was wanting to get a bet on the horse and muggishly got a win from my spare change on the roulette machine, so it should really only be a point)

Arkle – 1 point Tidal Bay

Done another 3 lucky 63s and a lucky 31 aswell

E/W Lucky 63

Triumph – Won In The Dark @ 16-1

Supreme – Deep Purple @14-1

Fred Winter – Pertemps Networks @ 25-1

County Hurdle – Bobs Pride @ 16-1

Albert Bartlett – Uncle Junior @ 14-1

Arkle – Tidal Bay @ 8-1

Lucky 63

Arkle – Tidal Bay @ 8-1

Supreme – Khyber Kim @ 8-1

R+SA – Silverburn @ 8-1

Albert Bartlett – The Tother One @ 8-1

Ryanair – L’antartique @ 8/1

County Hurdle – Jered @ 14-1

Lucky 63

Albert Bartlett –The Tother One @ 8-1

Triumph – Celestial Halo @ 11/2

QMCC – Masterminded @ 11/4

Arkle – Tidal Bay @ 8-1

Supreme – Khyber Kim @ 8/1

Coral Cup – Leg Spinner @ 6-1

E/W Lucky 31

Triumph – Won In The Dark @ 16-1

Coral Cup – Pace Shot @ 25-1

Fred Winter – Thousand Stars @ 25-1

Gold Cup – Halcon Genelardais @ 33-1

Ballymore – Venalmar @ 20-1

Just a bit of fun for over the week really, because you never know.

[Bulwark]

I have to have a little go on the outsiders in the. Am going for 1/2 pt e/w on Bayonyx @ 66-1 and Mr Crystal also @ 66-1, I would expect them to be in the top half of the field finishing and its just a matter of how far up that field they are.

Sophocles in the supreme Novice looks over priced and should put in a better run at 40-1 and drifting, he was a big price and unfancied last year also, so the market weakness doesnt bother me. I think the sheer class of this years race and the size of field could bring about a fast pace which will suit him, and which he hasnt had all season. 1pt e/w

[Bulwark]

Hoping today is a good day for e/ws so

1230 – WhiteOak 1 pt e/w 25-1
105 – Hold Em 1pt e/w 25-1
140 -The Package 1pt e/w 16-1
215 – Won In The Dark 1pt e/w 16-1
330 – A fistful of dollars 1pt e/w 33-1
405 – Eagles Pass 1 pt e/w 20-1

e/w lucky 63

Also 1pt e/w on dark bolero @ 33-1

[Bulwark]

William Hill Lincoln Handicap

2 pts win PRINCE FOREVER @ 16-1

I had loads of bets come in 2005 from backing Giants Causeways first crop in 1m and 1m2f races, with the 2006 and 2007 crops however, coolmore appear to have aimed their best broodmares at other up and coming sires, and largely they havent been as great, but the vibes are that this one is on target for this race and if that is the case I would expect him to have a very good chance.

1pt win VITZNAU @20-1

A decent little horse by Val Royal who showed some decent improvement last season and comes to this race fancied with a good chance.

1 pt e/w RAPTOR @ 33-1

Burke acquired this german listed winner last season and he was well fancied to put in a good run in last years lincoln (despite his SP of 25-1) but only managed a respectable fourth, could potentially be carrying less weight this year and should have a good chance having looked to have made progress since last year.

[Bulwark]

Doncaster

215
1pt e/w 1pt win RICHO @ 33-1

1pt Doncaster Rover @ 8s

1pt Shadow Bay @ 6s

250
1pt e/w Regal Parade @ 25-1

315

1pt e/w Temple Place @ 50-1

[Bulwark]

Just got phoned with a tip for Lagan Handout in the 215, dont know what exactly to make of it, but will have a 1 pt e/w 1pt win just in case, it is an advised 50-1.

[Bulwark]

Dubai Duty Free

Finsceal Beo – 1pt e/w 1pt win @ 14-1

goes well fresh, beat the track record at newmarket last time was fresh, was supposed to be retired and studded to teofilo at the end of last season but bolger (the filly master) has decided to keep her in training and he seldom travels with one unless a good run is expected. Always looked a real superstar when at her best, doesn’t deserve to be such a big price in relation to darjina.

Majestic Roi – 1 pt e/w @ 25-1
Very good filly on gd-fm and goes well fresh, too big a price.

I also like creachadoir in this race but have a suspicion having watched him last season that he takes a few runs to get into his swing and he is the second string.

Dubai Sheema Classic

Like Youmzain for this race and he is definitely worth a 1pt win @ 5s, however John Oxx is a trainer to follow when he travels with one and with Mourilyan being supported ahead of a bid it looks a bet 1pt e/w 1pt win @ 12s. Watching the ground for an e/w on west Wind.

2,000 Guineas

Fast Company 1 pt win @ 12s, made mistakes and ran a stormer in the dewhurst, would ideally want a bit of cut, being by danehill dancer, but is high up the list.

Ibn Khaldun 1pt win @ 8s, dubai destination has made a decent impression with his first crop of 2yos and the gamble that has begun on this one (who looks better bred for a guineas than a derby) suggests he has trained on.

Ravens Pass 1pt win @ 6s, the one to beat on firmer conditions, wont be 6-1 on the day, watch this space.

1,000 Guineas

Spacious – 2pts @ 8-1 have been watching all last seasons first croppers and was expecting Nayef to be good with his fillies, being a mr prospector, indeed he has done quite well and spacious looked to be the best of the bunch and looks more of a guineas horse than an oaks horse on breeding, the betting suggests that she is well fancied at this stage and she looks a good chance.

Saoirse Abu 1pt @ 20-1

This horse is well bred for the task and has done nothing wrong in her last three runs she has won two group 1s, one at 6f against the colts and one at 7f against the fillies, she was then beaten in a testing fillies mile (which looks a better trial for the oaks than the guineas) but ran with credit nevertheless. With no Zarkava, she is the one to beat and is a ridiculous price. She too is in the hands of the filly master.

Oaks

Listen 5 pts win @ 7-1, her 1 mile two year old form looks top drawer and I dont think o’brien will risk her in the guineas as she looks like the oaks winner, my antepost banker as with 2-3 improvement likely on pedigree I can’t see one to topple her form between now and epsom.

Lush Lashes 1 pt e/w @ 16-1– Should have improvement in her and being by galileo, this should be her distance, a good safety for Listen.

[Bulwark]

Just gouing back through my winners and losers and make my losers come in at -72 points but with

Won In The Dark placed with 3pts e/w @ 20s + 1pt e/w @ 16s = +19

Tidal Bay won 1pt @ 8s = +9

Whiteoak won 1pt e/w @ 25s = + 31.25

-72 + 59.5 = -12.5

Thought it would be worse than that so am quite happy.

[Bulwark]

With Bulwark out in the second race of tomorrows aintree card in a big field 3 mile race, with pace likely, I had to have a go on him at 100/1.

1/2 pt e/w 1 pt win @ 100/1 (Ladbrokes)

[Gingertipster]

Temperamental, best ignored, carries head awkwardly, one to treat with caution.

That’s Bulwark.

Ginge

Value Is Everything

[Bulwark]

The slander of it, ginge, The slander of it…

[Author]

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