Basic Van der Wheil

[Formath]

Mar 28

Kempton 4.35<br>Scored<br>10 Lindsay (100/30 lost) – 3rd of 15 -.75 of a length, prominent, hit 7th, every chance, stayed on. Shortlisted after encouraging return. Min odds req 100/30. Stake 23pts lost

10 Roznic (5/1 won) – 3rd of 5 -13 lengths, keen, headway, went 2nd, no chance. Hasn’t been the same since last year. Min odds req 100/30. Stake 23pts = +138 return<br>

8 Roofing Spirit (13/2 lost) – 8th of 9 -28 lengths, held up, brief effort, gradually weakened. Break may help a bounce back. Min odds req 9/2, Stake 19pts lost

Result = return 138 – 65 stake = +73pts

Others<br>5 Rooster’s Reunion<br>5 Kety Star<br>4 Marfinca<br>3 Espoir Du Bocage<br>2 Master T

(Edited by Formath at 6:20 pm on Mar. 28, 2007)

[Formath]

Mar 29

Lingfield 4.20<br>Scored<br>15 Orchard Supreme (2/1 lost) – 8th of 12 -1.75 lengths, held up, ridden, did not reach leaders. In form and the one to beat. Min odds req 7/4. Stake 37pts lost

9 Impeller (11/2 lost) – 3rd of 12 -4.25 lengths, held up, ridden, went 3rd, never nearer. Better over further. Min odds req 7/2.  Stake 23pts lost

8 Bomber Command (100/30 lost) 2nd of 13 -.5 of a length, ridden, hung right, ran on. Has some chance. Min odds req 4/1. No bet

Result = -60 pts

Others<br>4 Chicken Soup<br>4 Banknote<br>1 Neardown Beauty

(Edited by Formath at 6:14 pm on Mar. 29, 2007)

[Formath]

Mar 30

Ascot 4.05<br>Scored<br>10 Rakalackey (11/4 lost) – 4th of 9 -13.5 lengths, ridden, weakened. Not out of it. Min odds req 5/2. Stake 29pts lost

9 Notanotherdonkey (11/1 lost) – 5th of 8 -26 lengths, jumped slowly, ridden, never troubled leaders. Something to prove on the ground. Min odds req 100/30. Stake 23pts lost

7 Inaro (15/2 won) -4th of 8 -10.5 lengths, progress, no impression, blundered. Yet to prove at the distance? Min odds req 6/1. Stake 15pts = 127.5 return

Result = return 127.5 – 67 stake = +60.5

Others<br>6 Kitski<br>6 Dream Alliance<br>6 Bengo<br>5 Ballyfinney

(Edited by Formath at 5:44 pm on Mar. 30, 2007)

[Formath]

Mar 31

4.15 Asc<br>Scored<br>12 Tamarinbleu (4/1 PU) – won 1st of 6 +shd, headway, led, not fluent, rallied, drivn. Should be thereabouts. Min odds req 100/30. Stake 23pts lost

8 Turgeonev (25/1 lost) – 4th of 9 -27 lengths, led, weakened, hit 2 out. Vulnerable to younger runners. Min odds req 11/2. Stake 16pts lost

7 Mister McGoldrick (12/1 lost) – 6th of 10 -27 lengths, hampered, always in rear. Needs to be at his best to win this. Min odds req 13/2. Stake 14pts lost

7 Misty Dancer (10/1 won) – 12th of 23 -28 lengths, headway, weakened. Stamina over distance not proven? Min odds req 13/2. Stake 14pts = return 154pts

Result = return 154 – 67 stake = +87pts

Others<br>4 Hoo La Baloo<br>4 Magic Sky<br>4 Bishop’s Bridge<br>2 Bohemian Spirit<br>2 Fork Lightening<br>1 Kalca Mome

(Edited by Formath at 6:07 pm on Mar. 31, 2007)

[Formath]

Apr 3

Wetherby 3.40<br>scored<br>12 Three Mirrors – (3/1 won) won 1st of 6 +3.5 lengths, led, mistake, headed, led, clear, easily. Conditions suit. Min odds req 85/40. Stake 32pts = 128 return

9 Dumadic – (5/1 2nd) won 1st of 6 +7 lengths, upsides, led, stayed on strongly, easily. Has definite chance. Min odds req 7/2. Stake 23pts lost

7 Kids Inheritance – (7/1 lost) 6th of 7 -41 lengths, soon ridden, weakened. Should fare better with going in favour. Min odds req 5/1. Stake 17pts lost

Result = return 128 – 72 stake = +56

others<br>6 St Mathew<br>4 Silver Sedge<br>3 Jimmy Bond<br>2 Turnstile

Just for interest the straight forecast paid £17.53

(Edited by Formath at 6:14 pm on April 3, 2007)

[Formath]

Apr 5

Ludlow 4.00<br>Scored<br>12 High Calibre – (3/1 2nd) 3rd of 9 -11.5 lengths, chased, ridden, mistake, no chance, one pace, hit last. Doubts about getting the distance on the going? Minimum odds req 5/2. Stake 29pts lost

10 Rehearsal – (4/1 lost) won 1st of 11 +11 lengths, chased, led, clear, ran on well. Should stay beyond 16f. Min odds req 100/30. Stake 23pts lost

9 Tighe Caster – (11/4 lost) 6th of 8 -27 lengths, held up, effort. On a handy mark. Min odds req 4/1. No bet

Result = -52pts<br>others<br>6 Le Seychellois<br>4 Handy Money (12/1 won)<br>2 Sky Warrior<br>2 Gastornis

(Edited by Formath at 5:17 pm on April 5, 2007)

[Formath]

Apr 7

Haydock 3.35<br>scored<br>11 Tarotino – (5/2 lost) 4th of 16 -6.75 lengths, effort, outpaced, kept on same pace. Progressive and right for this race. Min odds req 100/30. No bet

8 Oscardeal – (8/1 lost) won 1st of 10 +29 lengths, made all, led, unchallenged. Impressive last time and going suits. Min odds req 5/1. Stake 17pts lost

5 Mr Potter – (8/1 lost) won 1st of 9 +3.5 lengths, prominent, mistake, led, driven, stayed on. Thereabouts if handling the going. Min odds req 8/1. Stake 11pts lost

5 The Sawyer – (12/1 lost) 7th of 16 -14 lengths, chased, ridden, weakened. Held by Tarotino here. Min odds req 8/1. Stake 11pts lost

5 Nevertika – (12/1 lost) 4th of 9 -32 lengths, held up, ridden, never able to challenge. Not ruled out. Min odds req 8/1. Stake 11pts lost

Result = -50pts

<br>others<br>4 Mr Strachan<br>3 Anglicisme<br>2 Sharp Reply<br>2 Or Jaune (11/1 won)<br>1 The Rocking Dock<br>1 Ellerslie George<br>1 Youll Do For me

(Edited by Formath at 12:00 pm on April 7, 2007)<br>

(Edited by Formath at 11:53 am on April 8, 2007)

[Formath]

April 8

Towcester 3.40<br>scored<br>10 Seafield Bogie – (2/1 won) won 1st of 6 +2 lengths, chased, led, driven out. Bold bid likely. Min odds req 15/8. Stake 35pts won = return 105pts

10 Magnetic Pole – (7/2 lost) 2nd of 6 to Seafield Bogie -2 lengths, held up, headway, not fluent, satyed on. Another to consider. Min odds req 15/8. Stake 35pts lost

Result = return 105 – 70 stake = +35

others<br>6 Thedublinpublican<br>3 Alfadora<br>2 Magot De Grugy<br>

(Edited by Formath at 5:15 pm on April 8, 2007)

[Formath]

April 9

Fakenham 4.20<br>scored<br>14 Kirkabellec – (5/2 lost) won 1st of 11 +7 lengths, led, stayed on well, driven out. Weight increase is a concern? Min odds req 6/5. Stake 46pts lost

6 Insurgent – (9/4 lost) won 1st of 12 +3 lengths, held up, headway, led, kept on well. Going suits. Min odds req 5/1. No bet

6 Dalriath – (13/2 lost) 5th of 8 -6.75 lengths, held up, headway, jumped left, no further progress. Place chance. Min odds req 5/1. Stake 16pts lost

Result = -62pts

others<br>5 Day Du Roy<br>4 Roman Rampage<br>3 Spider Boy<br>

(Edited by Formath at 11:49 am on April 10, 2007)

[Formath]

Irish Grand National

I wasn’t going to even attempt to assess this race owing to the degree of difficulty, but it is the best race of the day lol

scored<br>8 Juveigneur 7/2 req. Stake 23pts<br>5 Distant Thunder 7/1 req. Stake 13pts<br>5 Cane Brake 7/1 req. Stake 13pts<br>5 Kings Advocate 7/1 req. Stake 13pts

others<br>4 Whyso Mayo<br>4 Cloudy Lane<br>3 Gazza’s Girl<br>3 Dix Villez<br>2 Butler’s Cabin<br>2 Oulart

[Formath]

I thought I might take up where I left off in April now that the flat form is getting established, using VDW’s staking plan with a starting bank of 120 points. No change to the ‘platform’ headings except for an additional ‘class’ column for 3-y-o, which will be Topspeed top 3 ratings plus any joint-rated

Redcar 3.15<br>Stars<br>7 Lacework – 1/12 +1.75L (LTO), r.o.to lead,soon clear. Worth respect. 1 pt win. (SP 5/4 won = +1.25pts. Bank 121.5).<br>6 Packers Hill – 1/12 +3L (LTO), hdway to lead, pushed clear. Reasonable chance<br>5 Salaasa – Don’t write off<br>5 Arena’s Dream – May prefer easier ground<br>5 King Charles – Something to prove<br>3 Deadline <br>2 Greek Envoy<br>1 Plane Painter

Redcar 3.50 (No selection in this race as there are too many conflicting factors. I have a fancy for Dan Dare, down 18 lbs, IMO could run up to a mark of 105, Stoute/McEvoy).<br>Stars<br>6 Goodbye Mr Bond – 1/8 +.5L (penult), effort, led, kept on well. At top of his game recently.<br>5 Hassad – 1/16 +.5L (LTO), hdway, qcknd, led, clear. Stamina to prove<br>5 Bailieborough – 3/17 -1.5L (LTO), hdway, riiden, kpt on u.p. Weight today? (SP 12/1 3rd).

5 Chantaco – 4/6 -3.5L (LTO), effort, kpt on, never near to chall. Enters betting calculations.<br>4 Dan Dare<br>4 Flipando (SP 14/1 won)<br>3 Prince Of Light<br>3 Benandonner<br>2 Motive<br>1 Blue Spinnaker<br>1 Wind Star (SP 28/1 2nd).<br>1 European Dream<br>1 Collateral Damage

(Edited by Formath at 4:05 pm on May 28, 2007)

[Formath]

May 29 and not a day to set punters alight. I struggled to find a race to assess to day finally deciding the Redcar 4.20 was the least worst. I did an initial assessment of the Chepstow 4.10 A class 5 where Nos 4, 2, 6, 3 gained most stars, but the class/form conflicted so I took it no further.

Redcar 4.30<br>Stars<br>8 Nifty Fox – 4/11 -3.5L (LTO), riddn, driven, kept on same pace. Looks the one to beat here. Stake 1pt. (SP 15/8 won = +1.87. Bank 123.37).<br>8 Tobermory – 5/8 -8L (penult), led, weakened. Has been disapponting in hcaps?<br>7 Now Look Out – 9/12 -5.75L (LTO), effort, soon riddn & beaten. May prefer Soft?<br>4 Ice Mountain (SP 6/1 2nd)<br>3 Feeling Foxy<br>2 Flying Valentino

<br>

(Edited by Formath at 6:22 pm on May 29, 2007)

[Formath]

May 30, I considered 2 races today, Brighton 2.35 & Beverley 7.50. There were too many contenders in the Brighton race so I discarded that in favour of the better class Beverley race. There is one other race the Southwell 8.05 that could be looked at but I havn’t done anything with it.

Brighton 2.35 (No selection as too many appear to have a chance)<br>Stars<br>5 Misaro – On a roll with 3 wins<br>4 Seamus Shindig – Looks to have a fair chance<br>4 Dvinsky – Should be thereabouts<br>4 Who’s Winning – should go well<br>4 Marko Jadeo – Could go well<br>2 Lucayos<br>1 Jayanjay

Beverley 7.50<br>Stars<br>7 Morinqua – 1/11 +1.75L (LTO), quickly away, riddn, kpt on strongly. Likely to take pegging back. Stake 1 point (SP 5/4 won = +1.25. Bank 124.62)

5 Siren’s Gift – 4/9 -3L (LTO 264 days ago), hdway, kpt on same pace. Fitness? (SP 7/4 2nd)

5 Jack Rackham – 1/12 +2.5L (LTO C&D), badly hamp, hdway, str run to lead, ran on. Today demands further progress.<br>4 Daddy Cool<br>2 Deserted Dane<br>0 Bovered<br> <br>Just for interest, the sf paid £3.84 (exacta £4.60) and the field finished in the order predicted, leaving out non-runner Daddy Cool

(Edited by Formath at 8:15 pm on May 30, 2007)

[Formath]

May 31

Sandown 7.15 (I found it difficult to decide between Mashaahed with C&D plus suitable going, or Pinpoint that could have the speed to eclipse him).<br>Stars<br>6 Mashaarhed – 2/6 -2L (LTO)(C&D), chsd, drvn, kept on well, no imp. In with a shout. Stake 1 point (SP 5/2 3rd = -1, due 2, bank 123.62)<br>5 Pinpoint – 2/16 -shd (LTO) hld up, ev chnce hung, ran on. Don’t rule out.<br>5 Tam Lin – 2/9 -.75L (LTO 258 days ago), rdn, flashed tail, held, no ext. Has to prove with new yard & on going?<br>5 Mighty -3/5 -3.25 (LTO), led, riddn, headed, staying on not much room. Not ruled out. (SP 8/1 2nd)<br>4 Papal Bull <br>3 Take A Bow (SP 11/1 won)<br>0 Fire And Rain

<br>

(Edited by Formath at 7:34 pm on May 31, 2007)

[Formath]

Jun 1

Epsom 3.25<br>Stars <br>6 Sixties Icon – 1/5 +3L (LTO), prom, chsed, led, styd on strngly. Looks the one to beat. Stake 2pts lost (SP 11/8 7th = -2, due 5, bank 120.62<br>6 Sir Percy – 4/14 -1.75L (LTO), no room, every chnce, not quickn. Big effort likely.<br>5 Maarahel – 1/4 +hd (LTO), led, rddn, headed, rallied to lead. Stamina?<br>2 Septimus (SP 3/1 2nd)<br>2 Scorpian (SP 8/1 won)<br>0 Hattan<br>0 Rising Cross

Just for interest I took a look at the Oaks.<br>Stars<br>6 Passage Of Time – has to make a bold bid<br>4 Dalvina – stamina and going?<br>3 Light Shift – some concern over stamina?<br>3 Four Seasons – ground may not be suitable?<br>3 Measured Tempo – more required today<br>3 Simply Perfect – doubt over longer trip?<br>3 Peeping Fawn – tough task at D?

(Edited by Formath at 11:58 am on June 2, 2007)

[Formath]

June 2<br>Musselburgh 3.20<br>Stars<br>6 Gull Wing – 6/7 -17L (LTO), riddn, weaknd, no chance. Should go better on this ground. Stake 3 pts<br>5 Secret Tune – 1/8 +1.5L (LTO), prssed, led, riddn ran on. Improver<br>5 My Secret – 7/7 -21L (LTO), led, chsd, riddn, beatn, weaknd. Going suitable today<br>4 Sadler’s Kingdom – 1/12 +1.5L (LTO), hdway, led, styd on well. Capable of a decent show.<br>3 Aureate<br>3 Polyquest<br>2 Fushe<br>2 Chookie Hamilton<br>0 Rumpus <br>0 Patavian

(Edited by Formath at 12:40 pm on June 2, 2007)

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