Basic Van der Wheil

[Formath]

Carrying on from where I left off in December last I will attempt to find a suitable race daily and support the selection to the staking plan VDW advised, but nothing shorter than 6/4. A bank of 120 points will allow for an initial straight losing run of 15.

Stke_Res__Won_Lost_Aim_Debit Due_Credit
1___ Lost_______1___+1____2
2___ Lost_______2___+1____5
3___ Lost_______3___+1____9
4___ 2-1W_8 pts_____+1____2
3___ Lost_______3___+1____6
4___ Lost_______4___+1____11
5___3-1W_15 pts_____+1____0_____10 points

"Stakes are increased by 1 point each bet until the debit (due) is reduced to zero. However, note that stakes should not exceed debit by more than 1 point…(The ‘aim’ point added is the profit required for each race)."

[Formath]

I could have taken the Lei 2.20 but you are not going to get any kind of return. Odds shown are my calc and in some cases are at varience with the stars/comment:

Leicester 1.50 Jan 8
Stars
6 Marcus,(5/4) has bested some of these and could make a decent chaser, 15/8F lost -1pt, due 2 pts, bank 119[/color:123jg74j]
6 Flying Falcon, (5/2) lightly raced and concerns about the D?
4 Rimsky, (11/2) won LTO and a contender here
3 Portland Bill, (11/2) fenced well LTO and has claims
3 Gidam Gidam, (25/1) useful staying hurdler but difficult today
2 Sheriff Roscoe, (12/1) looks vulnerable over D on G?

[Formath]

C’est mois! I’m back, been under the weather physically and literally but feeling better now – so on we go

Newcastle 2.05 Jan 16
Stars
5 Negus De Beaumont, good mudlark & may improve (4/5 my form odds) 11/10 fell -2pts, due 5, bank 117[/color:28egpowm]
5 Gidam Gidam, course & going are ideal (6/4)
3 Money Trix, progressive hurdler so need to note market here (16/1)
15/8 won so the market was spot on[/color:28egpowm]
3 Ellerslie George, others preferred on this ground (16/1)
3 Rathowen, handled similar conditions winning 7 weeks ago in aweaker race (16/1)

[Formath]

Thought I might have another go today on the best of the AW on offer – doesn’t look like a bet at the odds tho’

Lingfiled 2.50 Jan 16
Stars
5 Baylini, C&D2 won here last week should be hard to beat (my form odds 5/4) 10/11 lost – no bet at the odds[/color:2bk9bkpy]
4 Baan, will do well to win today (3/1)
3 Kindlelight Blue, C&D3 and could be thereabouts (7/2)
3 Art Man, C&Dbut needs more today (10/1) 7/1 won[/color:2bk9bkpy]
3 Oakley Heffert, may place (10/1) 8/1 2nd[/color:2bk9bkpy]
2 Three Thieves, good deal to prove here (15/1)
1 Lorikeet, best watched today (33/1)
1 Italian Romance, disappointing & this is a tougher race (?)

[Formath]

It’s a struggle to find anything worthwhile today with the best the UK mainland can offer a class 5, penalty value £3,276, on the AW.

Southwell 3.30 Jan 17
Stars
5 Mentor, 2nd over C&D last time and open to improvement (my form odds 15/8 ) 13/8 lost -3pts, due 9, bank 114[/color:2w1b97xx]
5 Jord, C&D and could be thereabouts (3/1)
4 King’s Ransom, well handicapped today (7/2)
4 Cha Cha Cha, not been convincing on AW needs to improve (7/2)
3 Subador, disappointing to date and first AW outing (10/1)
1 Intersky Charm, would have to find best form (33/1) 8/1 won thrashed the field [/color:2w1b97xx]

[Formath]

Just a pot-boiler to keep the posts going.

Wolverhampton 3.30 Jan 18
Stars
5 Pacifism, improver that may be better over longer D. (my form odds 15/8 ) 2/1 2nd -4pts, due 14, bank 110[/color:3lus64g4]
5 Sweet Hope, rise in weights may be a problem? (85/40)
4 Age Of Reason, progress expected after maiden win (10/3)
3 Elusive Lady, on a roll but up in class? (9/2)
3 Marino Prince, was progressive earlier but toughest task to date (33/1)

[Formath]

The going could be the fly in the woodpile today IMO.

Ascot 2.55 Jan 19
Stars
5 Material World, very game stayer, off track 310 days? (my form odds 85/40) 5/2 lost -5pts, due 20, bank 105[/color:2j2wu4fg]
5 Gaspari, back to form and going OK but D is a concern? (95/40)
5 Refinement, contender if getting D on G?
2 Label Thou, smart hurdler and one to consider (10/1)
2 Petite Margot, going is OK but tough task today (10/1)
1 Hendre Hotshot, plenty to find in this company (10/1)
1 Chico Time (16/1)
1 Sovietica (33/1)
0 Supreme Cara (??)

[Formath]

Class 5 on the AW and I could be heading into oblivion at this rate.

Wolverhampton 4.20 Jan 20
Stars
5 Alfie Tupper, C&D2 and back to a winning mark (my form odds 13/8 ) 7/4 lost -6pts, due 27, bank 99[/color:1fia02b3]
5 Glenridding, worth considering will need best ever run (13/8 )
4 Rigat, C&D but below form recently (9/2)
2 He’s Mine Too, open to improvement (15/1)
2 Rising Force, Irish import possibly too high in the weights (7/1)
1 Schelm, 3-time winner in Germany with something to prove here (33/1)

[Formath]

We are not acting on the going at all

Folkestone 3.10 Jan 21
Stars
5 Killard Point, very reliable and has been going well (my odds 3/1)
11/4 lost -7pts, due 35, bank 92[/color:3iyt0ujf]
4 The Outlier, going should suit (2/1)
4 Captain Corelli, interesting at the weights (11/4)
4 Lindsay, may not get the D on the G? (15/2)
3 Alfafdora, 6 wins out of 10 past ten months but difficult to fancy today (10/1)
1 Money Line, showed little last time out (33/1) 14/1 won [/color:3iyt0ujf]:oops:
1 Ask The Gatherer, stepped up in class? (??)

[Formath]

Class 2 on firbresand today and not a bad race.

Southwell 2.30 Jan 22
Stars
5 Red Romeo, C&D and in form but up in class tho’ (my odds 3/1)
7/1 lost, -8pts, due 44, bank 84[/color:2sz42vhh]
4 Bonnie Prince Blue, won here LTO over 6f and a strong contender (9/4)
4 Jamieson Gold, AW debut best watched (4/1)
4 Kabeer, 10yo with 5/25 on AW & could be thereabouts (6/1)
3 Electronic Warrior, up in class and vulnerable? (6/1)
2 Evens And Odds, out of form and AW debut? (35/1)
2 Will He Wish, veteran 12yo & very late for AW debut? (11/1)
1 Lucky Kyllachy, Irish import best watched (16/1)

[Formath]

Huntingdon 3.10 Jan 23
Stars
5 Le Briar Soul, Improver may be more to come (my odds 15/8 )
5/2 lost -9pts, due 55, bank 75[/color:19tdwevc]
5 Antonius Caeser, C&D has ability (11/4)
4 Flying Falcon, trier, placed but never won a chase yet (11/4)
3 Stoway, said to be in better health so of interest (9/2)
3 Sherwoods Folly, better effort LTO than previous 2 outings (16/1)
2 Appleaday, needs to improve to win today (33/1)
0 Loch Vic, too much to do on chasing debut on known form (??)

[Formath]

Warwick 2.40 Jan 24
Stars
5 Sobers, progressive hdlr possibly more to come has to jump (my odds 11/10)
2/1 Won +18pts, due 38, bank 93, next stake 10pts[/color:xzer3gwi]
5 Pauillac, useful hdlr mistake LTO should do better (15/8 )
5 Good Company, Irish import could improve (85/40)
2 Stolen Moments, disappointing has to do better (33/1)
2 Off Spin, not shown anything since bumper (33/1)
0 Tooka, modest hdlr may not get D?
0 Farmer Brent, likely to struggle
0 Tuesday Club, not shown anything

[Formath]

Wolverhampton 4.00 Jan 25
Stars
5 Fajr, needs a good pace (my odds 20/21)
6/5 Lost -10pts, due 49, bank 83[/color:ezmp7e9w]
5 Baharah, progressive and chance to confirm beating Fajr not proven at D (9/4)
5 Capricorn Run, stamina to prove (3/1)
3 Murfreesboro, useful but modest and may not get D? (18/1)
1 Neveronamonday, to all intents and purpose has no chance

[Formath]

Cheltenham 2.40 Jan 26
Stars
5 Our Vic, major player if getting D on G (my odds 5/4)
3/1 Lost -10pts, due 60, bank 73[/color:26hqwqfb]4 State Of Play, solid claims could bounce back (10/3)
3 Neptune Collonges, capable of a big run, 276 days off track? (10/3)
3 Faasel, has ability if getting involved (8/1)
2 Simon, goes well on soft but tough test at weights (17/2)
2 Madison Du Berlais, progressive & amy be more to come (28/1)
0 Billyvoddan, may not get D, 70 days off track?
0 Knowhere, disappointing?

[Greyhound]

Carrying on from where I left off in December last I will attempt to find a suitable race daily and support the selection to the staking plan VDW advised, but nothing shorter than 6/4. A bank of 120 points will allow for an initial straight losing run of 15.

"Stakes are increased by 1 point each bet until the debit (due) is reduced to zero. However, note that stakes should not exceed debit by more than 1 point…(The ‘aim’ point added is the profit required for each race)."

Hi Formath,

Good to see you’re trying this with the staking plan too. As I recall, the advice in the pamphlet was to have at least 300 points, or better still 500.

Hope you’re keeping well.

[Formath]

Taunton 4.10 Jan 29
Stars
5 Alphabetical, thereabouts if jumping holds up (my odds 15/8 )
Lost -11pts, due 72, bank 63[/color:21zh0rlt]
4 Roll Along, on a favourable mark (11/8 )
4 Charlie’s Future, not at best lately (15/2)
3 Rajan, has some chance (15/2)
3 The Hairy Lemon, needs a better effort than LTO (25/1)
2 Brave Villa, may not get D? (12/1)
2 Malaga Boy, won this last year, changed yards (12/1)
1 Bring Me Sunshine, shown nothing recently
0 Copper Bay, questions to answer?

[Formath]

Only 2 previous winners in this race (Edgeover 26 & O’Sogood 20) so the £Class factor has been replaced by best known SF.

Leicester 3.00 Jan 30
Stars
5 Edgeover, progessive but stronger opposition today (my odds 6/4)
Lost -12pts, due 85, bank 51[/color:1n7had5j]
5 Bold Policy, likely improver that could go well (2/1)
3 Crofters Lad, could be thereabouts (4/1)
3 Just A Thought, has struggled hurdling
2 Clishmaclaiver, ran OK in a Cheltenham bumper (14/1)
1 O’Sogood, has struggled hurdling (28/1)
0 Shampers, modest pointer outclassed here
0 No Telling, has never shown anything

[Author]

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