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AP now favourite for Sports Personality

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  • #27504
    Avatar photobetlarge
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2806

    Best prices:

    4-1 AP
    9-1 Hamilton, Murray, McIlroy
    16-1 Ennis-Hill, O’Sullivan
    28-1 Farah

    AP’s actually been cut from 5’s yesterday, but it seems to me like he’s there on sufferance due to lack of alternatives. Unusual that three of the top four in the betting have already won it (AP in 2010). I can’t see Hamilton keeping the award as he’s already 8/11 to win the drivers and it would just look a bit soft. It’s hard to see Murray bettering his 2012 achievements of Wimbledon/Olympic Gold and there’s some question regarding his general popularity. If Rory Mac didn’t win it last year after two Majors and a Ryder Cup, he’d basically need to Slam this year!

    The athletes may be in with a squeak as their sport is at least live on terrestrial TV in August, but they probably peaked a couple of year’s ago and I’m not sure the Worlds has the same kudos as an Olympics. Ronnie would need to regain his World Title and probably the UK which is at least on the Beeb and is bang before the event in November. Can’t see it unless he announces his retirement too!

    England skipper Chris Robshaw is a standout 50-1 with Stan James. At 33’s – with England a general 7-2 to win the World Cup – if one allows for that, you are getting better than 11-2 on him with the World Cup ‘in the bag’ so to speak. This will be shown in saturation coverage on terrestrial TV a few weeks before SPOTY. Without such ‘big’ personalities such as Wilkinson and Johnson (who were SPOTY winner & runner-up in 2003) Robshaw could be very short with an England win.

    It would be great to see AP win again, truly an achievement for racing although he’s likely to disappear altogether from the public consciousness in May and SPOTY is in December.

    Mike

    #504930
    RubyLight
    Member
    • Total Posts 320

    Where is Ruby Walsh in this list? Oh, he is the even money favourite. At least he should be.

    #504933
    Avatar photobetlarge
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    • Total Posts 2806

    Where is Ruby Walsh in this list? Oh, he is the even money favourite. At least he should be.

    He’s Irish.

    Mike

    #504934
    Avatar photoBachelors Hall
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 1667

    Where is Ruby Walsh in this list? Oh, he is the even money favourite. At least he should be.

    Wouldn’t Ruby be ineligible on account of his Irishness? I know Barry McGuigan won the award in the eighties but he was a British citizen.

    #504937
    RubyLight
    Member
    • Total Posts 320

    Is AP british? Didn’t know that.
    Sorry

    #504938
    Avatar photobetlarge
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2806

    Is AP british? Didn’t know that.
    Sorry

    Maybe a better question is why hasn’t Walsh won RTE’s Sports Person Of The Year? AP (NI counts in both awards) and Barry Geraghty both have.

    Mike

    #504943
    Avatar photoyeats
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    • Total Posts 3683

    Best prices:

    4-1 AP
    9-1 Hamilton, Murray, McIlroy
    16-1 Ennis-Hill, O’Sullivan
    28-1 Farah

    AP’s actually been cut from 5’s yesterday, but it seems to me like he’s there on sufferance due to lack of alternatives.

    Surely he’s there solely because he announced his retirement? He was available at 66/1 plus prior to it.

    #504951
    BlackGold
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1502

    AP will be forgotten by the time it gets around to voting for SPotY. Ridiculous to even try and make a bet this early, despite the tempting odds. I can never understand people placing bets so far in advance of the event.

    #504965
    Avatar photobetlarge
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2806

    Best prices:

    4-1 AP
    9-1 Hamilton, Murray, McIlroy
    16-1 Ennis-Hill, O’Sullivan
    28-1 Farah

    AP’s actually been cut from 5’s yesterday, but it seems to me like he’s there on sufferance due to lack of alternatives.

    Surely he’s there solely because he announced his retirement? He was available at 66/1 plus prior to it.

    Yes, of course. I notice Steven Gerrard is also in the lists @ 33-1 as he’s playing his last season for Liverpool.

    Ryan Giggs won in 2009 in a similar ‘lifetime achievement’ situation.

    Mike

    #504970
    Avatar photogrey dolphin
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    • Total Posts 650

    Only way AP wins if he has a stonking Festival and/or wins the National.

    AP obviously eligible by virtue of being born in the North.

    Agree rugby looks most likely to provide a standout performance but would it be the captain or another player?

    Rory McIlroy the other obvious contender as he’ll surely win at least one major.

    #504983
    Avatar photophil walker
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    • Total Posts 1374

    If AP gets anything it will be something like a lifetime achievement award, but the BBC hates racing and didn’t get a look in during last year’s SPOTY so question if that will happen.

    #504985
    Avatar photobetlarge
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2806

    If AP gets anything it will be something like a lifetime achievement award, but the BBC hates racing and didn’t get a look in during last year’s SPOTY so question if that will happen.

    To be fair, the BBC hates all sports!

    Mike

    #504986
    Avatar photophil walker
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1374

    Except football and snooker Mike :)

    #504988
    Avatar photoThe Young Fella
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 2064

    This time last year, in what turned out to be quite a lean year for British sport, Lizzy Yarnold was favourite for Sports Personality.

    The public will soon forget McCoy.

    #504989
    Avatar photostevecaution
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 8241

    AP is flavour of the month for now. When was the last time he would have made the headlines for riding a winner at Ayr on a Tuesday for instance?

    For the moment it seems like we’ll get an update if AP’s motions are a bit looser than normal in the morning, but I can’t see it lasting once the press are able to say with certainty that he’s ridden his last horse as a professional.

    Something always seems to emerge during the year that eclipses the early market leaders.

    Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

    #505000
    Avatar photoCarryOnKatie
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    • Total Posts 598

    Except football and snooker Mike :)

    …and Formula bloody 1 :roll: :roll: :roll:

    #505005
    Avatar photoBurroughhill
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1635

    Except football and snooker Mike :)

    …and Formula bloody 1 :roll: :roll: :roll:

    And tennis!
    (Nowt wrong with Formula 1 anyway 8) )

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