The home of intelligent horse racing discussion
The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Antepost for Next Year's Cheltenham!

Home Forums Archive Topics Trends, Research And Notebooks Antepost for Next Year's Cheltenham!

Viewing 17 posts - 1 through 17 (of 21 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #1156
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    Having looked at the prices for next years big four races, I cannot see anything that stands out this time. Exotic Dancer was 16/1 before it ran for next years Gold Cup, but I didn’t think it would be cut to 10s if it got beat.

    The other markets look tight too.

    So out of interest if Denman and Kauto Star run in next year’s Gold Cup who will ride Denman? They don’t really have an alternative race for Denman do they?

    #46886
    Avatar photoDanny
    Member
    • Total Posts 790

    Betfred have Kauto at 5/2 and Denman at 5/1 :o . short odds considering how hard it can be to get a horse through a season injury free.

    (Edited by Danny at 7:23 pm on Mar. 16, 2007)

    #46889
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    That’s what I thought but they aint giving anything else away are they?

    #46892
    Flash
    Member
    • Total Posts 1144

    They are barmy odds. A year is a hell of a long time in racing. It’s a long time just to stay well.

    #46895
    Avatar photoDanny
    Member
    • Total Posts 790

    KAUTO COULD RUN IN THE CHAMPION AND DENMAN COULD GO FOR THE GOLD CUP IF NOT MAYBE DENMAN COULD GO FOR THE NATIONAL UNLIKELY BUT IT’S A OPTION.

    #46896
    Alderbrook
    Member
    • Total Posts 349

    Denman could go for the Champion Hurdle, or the Nunthorpe.  They are unlikely too.

    #46898
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    Yes I thought the Champion Chase for Kauto would be an option but how can you not run the Gold Cup if he is fit and healthy to defend his crown? You can’t imo.

    The only horse I have backed btw is Katchit ew @ 14s for next years Champion Hurdle.

    #46899
    Avatar photoDanny
    Member
    • Total Posts 790

    I’m on Witcha Lineman for the World Hurdle @ 10s.

    #46904
    PaulB
    Member
    • Total Posts 75

    I think its far to early to be backing antepost imo i feel them prices are crazy that are on offer now!!

    #46906
    Avatar photocormack15
    Keymaster
    • Total Posts 9336

    If Sublimity is still 7/1 for the 2008 Champion Hurdle then look no further for next year’s value.

    #46910
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    It was 1hr ago Corm. The reason I have gone for Katchit is because when you look at the champion Hurdle scene you have from Ireland.

    Brave Inca<br>Hardy Eustace<br>Macs Joy<br>Harchibald

    All of whom form a large chunk of the betting. How many of those will even run next year let alone be at their peak still?

    So that leaves

    Sublimity<br>Detroit City<br>Katchit<br>Kawagino?<br>Asian Maze?

    Does Detroit City have the required speed? Debatable

    So therefore Sublimity and Katchit look cracking value imo.

    #46913
    Flash
    Member
    • Total Posts 1144

    On reflection I think Detroit City should be aimed towards to the World Hurdle rather than the Champion. Didn’t go at all on Tuesday and Hobbs team has had a winner since – Massini’s Maguire and Fair Along ran well enough in the Arkle so the stable doesn’t seem to be too under the weather.

    #46914
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    Managed to talk myself into a bet on Sublimity for next year! There didn’t seem any fluke about the win at all; it travelled beautifully and left two previous champion hurdle winners for dead on the run to the line. I’ve plonked £60 on with Betfred @ 7/1

    #46917
    PAULCS
    Member
    • Total Posts 529

    <br>I heard that Detroit City was going to go chasing at some stage but he’s only 5 so I don’t think that will happen just yet.

    If BJK comes back to form at Aintree or Punchestown, maybe Wichita Lineman will go chasing as well…

    #46920
    davidjohnson
    Member
    • Total Posts 4491

    Wasn’t Iktitaf going as well as Sublimity when he came down. Anyone who has taken 7/1 Sublimity now should have their wallets and betting accounts seized to stop themselves doing any further damage.

    #46923
    FlatSeasonLover
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2068

    Quote: from davidjohnson on 12:00 pm on Mar. 18, 2007[br]Wasn’t Iktitaf going as well as Sublimity when he came down. Anyone who has taken 7/1 Sublimity now should have their wallets and betting accounts seized to stop themselves doing any further damage.

    LOL – Maybe DJ, but what would Iktitaf have found? I have never trusted/ backed the horse, and i don’t think it would of run on up the hill.

    #46928
    Friggo
    Member
    • Total Posts 1593

    Betting a year in advance is crazy, especially with Cheltenham’s recent form for having big contenders dropping like flies in the weeks leading up to the festival.

    Here is your template ‘Cheltenham 2008’ market:

    • 2007 winner: 2/1-3/1<br>2007 Novice equivalent winner: 5/1-8/1<br>2007 placed horses: 10s-16s<br>2007 also rans: 20s bar.

    :biggrin:

    The only place your going to get value at this stage is horses that for whatever reason didn’t make it this year, i.e. Kicking King, War of Attrition, Trabolgan etc.

Viewing 17 posts - 1 through 17 (of 21 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.