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Early this week I backed Monbeg Notorious at 12/1. Happy to see Jack Kennedy riding him.
He has to make up for Cheltenham as I backed him at a for the 4miler there.
Glad to see that Elliot has kept in Sutton Manor (AKA Sutton Manner
), he must have
been running out of jockeys. Decided to top up at 33s, but those nice people at Ladbrokes
boosted him to 40s
Can’t believe the price is holding Graham, and I’m happy with the jockey booking.
Tempted to take a bit of the 40’s with Coral, but I’ve got more than enough on at the 33’s, and bigger on the exchanges, so I’ll definitely have to hold fire now lol
I would have gone to Coral first Bobby, as they were best priced at 40s, but
I’m persona non grata with them. God knows why
That’s a good sign Graham. If it was me I’d be sending some abuse Lost Soldiers way.
I’ll be more than happy to do it for you lol
My 2 bets for this race
SNOW FALCON 25/1 EW 5 places NAP
GENERAL PRINCIPLE 33/1 EW 5 places
Good luck all
There seems to be a lot of support on here and in the market for Monbeg but no mention of MOULIN A VENT who on 3 pieces of form is weighted to finish in front of him and is 3 times the price. So it is M A V and stablemate SNOW FALCON both 25/1 for me
I’m disappointed that A Genie In A Bottle doesn’t go, but it’s a big day, so I might even go as far as 2 more.
I am definitely having Arkwisht each way to the 6 places at 25-1
Added Outlander 45/1
A bit of hit and miss with Outlander. His Cheltenham run was bad, but before that he two very decent runs. He runs on a high mark, but the jockey taking 7 pounds off. Distance and ground shouldn’t be a problem and at that price he is worth a bit of money.
Forever Golds price has annoyingly shortened since Ben Linfoot tipped him up but he’s still slightly overs at 33s.
Nice form at Fairyhouse including his Porterstown run behind PP which isn’t too shabby and the yard had a winner this weekend also. Good claimer onboard too.
As I said earlier in the thread, if it came up soft, I would back Monbeg Notorious.
He’s progressed to a classier horse now and his win in the Thyestes was as easy as you could hope to see. He travelled like the best horse all the way and found plenty when given the office.
Up 15 lbs since that win but novices do well here and he surely has scope for more still.
I still feel 10/1 is fair value and his last run in a four runner affair was not seeing him at his best.
Big field of course but this looks a suitable test and he should go close.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
ps Forgot to mention Kemboy at 25/1. He’s young and got a racing weight at 10 st 6 lb and was 4th in the JLT. The trip is a huge leap up but the pace should be more sedate here. Just felt him worth a few quid in the hope that he stays.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
I adore Outlander but the weight is a huge issue in this race and he tends to save his best for the autumn months. A token bet is all I can have on him for tomorrow, even allowing for first-time blinkers.
Westerner Point was lucky to win at the course in February after Drumacoo jumped absolutely appallingly and still finished a short-head 2nd. Drumacoo disappointed in a handicap hurdle subsequently but Westerner Point still remains a good price simply on account of his 50% strike rate over fences.
Oscar Knight‘s last 2 hurdle runs have been absolutely top draw behind some very well handicapped rivals in Glenloe & Total Recall. Those were off lower marks than 136 but I don’t believe his run over Christmas was truly reflective of the leniency of his chase mark.
Bless The Wings was a horse I feared was gone at the game at the start of the season following a series of disappointing runs. However he has returned back to his best (or very close to it) and runs off the same mark as last year. I can’t envisage him winning but place prospects are very achievable.
Kemboy 27s
Dounikos 18s
Mall dini 11sDounikos my main bet, can still hear GE in my head saying he wished he was allowed to run him in the 4 miler
Has davy deserted mall dini or is this a retention based decision? As far as i was aware i thought he was able to jump onto a reynolds horse as a pre-arranged agreement, telling enough if hes chose dounikos…. sorry if someone has answered this already, i havent had a read through.
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