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Only 6 runners go to post. HELLOVASINGER, MORE SALUTES and EXCELINTHEJUNGLE stand next to no chance and can be ruled out with total confidence.
There has been money about for Lycetts DONT JUMP GEORGE but he stands next to no chance. 4th on debut over 1 mile, drops to 6f today and will be left behind when they quicken. Being ran to get well beaten tonight with future handicap mark kept in mind.
Stoute has the 4/7 fav and all the media is saying MUBAKKER is a certainty but they are wrong and he shouldnt be favourite.
He was unplaced on 2yp debut before winning a weak novice race at Wolverhampton on the tapeta.
This is his first run of the season and he may well need this run.
MUBAKKERS is out of SPEIGHTSTOWN whos 3yos upwards at kempton over 6f have ran 13 times and lost 13 times with 11 of the 13 unplacing. This will need further this season.
On top of that he has to carry a 7lb penalty for the 2yo tapeta win which makes his task even harder.
Stoutes worst all weather track for 3yos is Kempton and he has just
a 13% strike rate here (22,21,19 and 18% strike rate at the other aw tracks with 3yos).He is running against an absolute beast here .
IMHOTEP is trained by charlton who is bang in form with 6 wins in the last 2 weeks. 3 of his last 6 runners have won. Charlton has a strong record with 3yos on the all weather.
Jockey Adam Mcnamara is 8 wins from 29 rides on charlton 3yos on the aw. Its a positive jockeuly booking.
IMHOTEP is the son of Kingman who won on his first career start and went onto win 4 group 1s.
The dam AFRICAN ROSE was a group 1 winner over 6f and won on her racecourse debut. She has had 5 children who have raced on thr flat sp far. HAKKA is her son amd he won on his only polytrack start.
Charlton trained 2 of her offspring. HERCULEAN also k abdullah owned, won on racecourse debut.
FAIR EVA also abdullah owned, charlton trained. won on racecourse debut before winning an ascot group 3 on 2nd run.
Charlton gets them ready 1st time up, K Abdullah loves getting 3yo winmers at kempton. IMHOTEP will be ready, he will know his job and he will leave the Stoutr ‘certainty’ trailing in his wake when Mcnamara says go. The turn pf fpot will leave Stoutes penalised runmer standing.
Absolite certainty I believe. 100/30 bit should probably he 30/100 odds on fav.
TELL THE TEAM
GET READY
THIS IS A BEAST:yes:Thank you Lemons, I have been trying to come across as shy and reserved though
7 40 Chelmsford
EW-SEA IT MY WAY @ 16/1
This horse has one hell of a chance. No way should this be 16/1. Only 2 places available but the team are aiming for 1st.
The market says this is a 2 horse race. Prescotts BATTLE OF PARADISE is one of the 2 favourites but Prescott has only had 2 3yo novice winners in his entire career. Was sent off 1/2 fav when last seen but got turned over. Gets a handicap mark after today and probably will need the run his first for 197 days. The team are taking this on all day long.
Stouteys is the horse to beat and we wont be surprised if it wins. Its not solid though and is well worth taking on. May need first run for 141 days, Stoute has had 51 3yo novices run on the aw in his training career and 44 of them got beat. He brings his horses along slowly and although this isblikely to prove the best horse in time there are no guarantees it will be best tonight. At the odds it simply has to be taken on. The team say its a NOONOO for JUNOOH.
OVERBECK has had plenty of money flying about for it today. No doubt thays because this is a camelot. This makes his debut as a 4yo and so has tp carry a penalty against the 3yos.
Dean Ivory is 0/14 in his career with 4yos in novice races.
Camelots actually have an abysmal record at Chelmsford and the team say NO WAY HOSEYBYRON GREEN is a no hoper as is HONEY LANE.
STAR GUIDE gets his handicap mark after this race and although his trainer is in good form he wont be winning this.
ITS TIME TO PUT THE TINMAN IN THE BIN MAN
FANSHAWE has a new superstar and his name is SEA IT MY WAY.Fanshawe is in decent form and has a strong record with his 3yos at Chelmsford.
The son of Sea The Stars must have a big chance here. The sires progeny when runnng over 10f at Chelmsford is 10 wins, 5 placed from 32 runners.
SEA IT MY WAY made his debut at Windsor. It was no suprise he didnt show much as it one of Fanshawes worst tracks historically. He missed the break and wasnt given a hard time.
Expect him to leave that form well behind this evening and the Sea The Stars love affair with Chelmsfords 10f looks likely to continue here.
MASSIVE CHANCE at a MASSIVE PRICE
EVERYONE WILL BE A FAN FOR SURE
WHEN SEA IT MY WAY PUTS THE PEDAL TO THE FLOOR2 25 Newton Abbot
WIN-ROCOCO RIVER @ 7/4
This looks more like a 1/3 shot to me. i expect it to win easily and make all and never get caught for a nice and comfortable pillar to post never tested win.
Has a penalty and gives weight away all round but the Shirocco offspring will be very suited by todays tight track and will be very hard to pass.
Theres nothing to worry about from the 4yo Jacamar.
Track wont suit Rebel Leader
Bathiva has been quite heavily backed though will never look like winning and I dont think a tight track will suit.
POINT AND SHOOT for Lizzie thr Wizzie
I’m on this myself, Spud. Worried about Lizzie (don’t think she rides this course too well) but should appreciate the rainfall.
Hope we’ll be high-fiving…
Alas it wasnt to be. Dissapointing that he comfortably beat the gambled on 2nd fav amnd 3rd fav but got chinned by the 4yo who I clearly completely underestimated.
Ground looked much worse than the official gd/sft I thought but thats life.
2 20 Worcester
WIN – MAJESTIC TOUCH 5/1
Should be able to comfortably win this one.
REALLY SUPER may have already won twice at this track over hurdles but this is a big ask for her to win on her chase debut at thr age of 5 taking on the boys. Unlikely to place.
SEVEN DE BAUNE lacks experience and has only had 4 races. Unlikely to win on chase debut.
WHATTHEBUTLERSAW has experience though looks an unlikely winner at 10 years of age.
MELLOW BEN will do better when stepped up to 3m plus.
FRANKEY DE BURLAIS is the danger horse having won a novice hUrdle over this CD under a penalty. Has so far been dissapointing over fences though getting beat 3 times at short odds.
Looks a great opportunity for Hobbs and Johnson with MAJESTIC TOUCH. He has the experience of having ran in 7 handicap hurdles including 2 runs in class 2 handicap hurdles. He is in his prime aged 8, comes here in good form. He can improve for femces and has been found the correct race to make his chase debut. The trip and ground are ideal and this track will suit.
All RJ needs to do is get the horse in a nice jumping rhythm and that should be enough. The fences are bigger dangers than the field today though no reason at all why he wont be a fantastic jumper of a fence. 5/1 is a great price.That was not a bad race; pity Majestic Touch seemed to pull his chance away as he looks to have ability. I like Francky but didn’t back him as stable not been in their usual summer form. Winner a good natural jumper, more to come from him.
1 25 Ayr
win – TELL ME ALL 5/1 bet365
Prescott is 5/9 at Ayr over the last 5 years and does not travel this far north without very good reason.
Colin Keane looks an eyecatching booking.
Prescotts 2yos are 0/17 on the aw this year but he is 3 wins from 14 when on the turf.
Tell Me All carries top weight and is the best horse in the race. He is almost certain to show massive improvement on his first run in handicap company and is highly likely to be very well in.
Drawn in the carpark in stall 10 but its not the end of the world as 5 of the last 10 winners were drawn high including last years who was drawn 11 of 11.
I think this is going to win pulling a train.
Nice winner for Prescott. The first 2 were a different class to the field. Colin Keane riding ice cool.
3 15 Ayr
ew- ROSE OF KILDARE 8/1
After winning her novice race she then won another under a penalty earlier in the season.
She was considered good enough to take on the top boys at royal ascot and was sent off just 8/1 to beat Pinatubo. She didnt get anywhere near him perhaps unsurprisingly though is clearly well thought of.
After winning a competitive 13 runnee nursery at newmarket off 81. She has ran 2 good races in class 2 handicaps at york and Goodwood the last twice.
Steps up to group 3 company but will appreciate racing against her own sex and is a 2yo who continues to improve and progress. This race should suit her and she could be hard to beat.Piece Of Paradise won here yesterday over 5f and is clearly in good form, its a big ask to win the next day sent uo in trip in a better race. Dangerous to rule out however.
Faheys 2yos dont usually find too much improvement on 2nd run.
Orlaith and Lambeth Walk heas the market but look vulnerable.
Looks a cracking opportunity for ROSE OF KILDARE and odds of 8/1 look superb.
Thank you. She is unlikely to ever find a group 3 race as weak as that one.
5 55 Wolverhampton
win -MR FUDGE 5/1 bet365
Looks a 2 horse race between AMNAA and MR FUDGE.
Makin trains the fav but has never had a 2yo aw winner. Doesnt appeal.
Its beem 3 months since Moore trained a winner and DONTSTOPHIMNOW makes no appeal.
D Quinn runs 2 but its been 26 runners since his last winner. The watson and Burke fillies dont appeal.
Usher hasnt had a winner for 56 days.
Rated 9lb superior to Dods horse off levels and rated 13lb superior to Dascokbes off levels.Only 2 horses look possible of winning and AMNAA is worst drawn of the 2 in stall 7. She has a useful 7lb claimer and could be dangerous on 1st run for Botti but they could also be using the race just to have a look at what they have acquired .
Fahey is vicious in the 2yo aw seller with 4 winners from 8 runners in the last 5 years. They almost always go close. Fahey does much better with his 2yos on tapeta than any other aw surface. Nicely drawn in stall 4.
Dont worry about his runs the last twice in handicap company at hamilton and in a seller at redcar. should prove hard to beat under Connor ‘The Corageous’ Murtagh on 1st run in an aw seller.The sire Anjaals offspring are 2 wins and a place from 6 runs on tapeta. Not only will Mr Fudge love the tapeta he will love going round the bend also.
He missed out on the gold cup today with Growl but surely a wolverhampton class 6 2yo seller victory will make up for that.
MR FUDGE ONLY NEEDED ONE NUDGE
2 00 Hamilton
win- FUGACIOUS 5/1 bet 365
The team are expecting this horse to be hard to beat today.
1 50 Leicester
ew- MOSTAQEL 20/1
ew-WELL PREPARED 33/1Leicester is one of Charlie Applebys worst tracks for 2yos. Just 2 from 19 over the last 5 years which for him is poor. The odds on fav has been 2nd both runs at evens and 2/1. Wont be the worlds biggest surprise if he did win but is one to take on.
Hils is 0/6 with his 2yos this september and DULAS doesnt appeal.
Stoutes 2yos are always left with a lot to work on so HIGHEST GROUND (or REAL POET) doesnt appeal at short odds.
Both Hannons runners look capable of winning here on debut and both look vastly overpirced so backing both.
Crowley has a 39% strike rate this year on Hamdams 2yos and 20/1 is an insullt to the team. But its Well Prepared who may be the sharper first time up. Could go either way but both have very decent chance here.The team will be shocked if any money is lost here.
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