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Above link Nausered…. Karl Burke talks about LAURENS chances prior to the 1000 Guineas and it’s looking good for this classy filly. Also Mark Johnston talks about the chances of Elarqam
I’m making a bold prediction that this will be the year that AOB doesn’t train either the 2000 or the 1000 Guineas winner. Ryan Moore only ride one winner at The Craven Meeting and it wasn’t for AOB, so that narrows down the field a bit…
I hope Laurens flys the flag for the smaller yard this year in the absence of September she could have been handed this on a plate.
Frankie now on Altyn Orda Raymo
no better jockey to be riding her and should manage to calm her nerves pre race.It’s very open but agree that Laurens is the class filly here..Jac
Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...Thanks Triptych, I’d not seen that. I like him as a trainer, I love P J as an up and coming hungry jockey. He’s right, she has nothing at all to fear from any horse in the race on form. The long dragging on winter we have had in South may help her too, being a Northern filly, she may have been a bit behind if it had been cold up there, and blazing hot down here as is so often the case. But it’s not been at all, the stable has been in good form, the stars could all be aligning for this filly.
When September came out, I cannot believe that she was about the only filly that did not shorten. I make you right Triptych, I saw September as the danger. On a double line through Magical, Happily has a good few lengths to make up on Laurens… She could well do that and more. But at 9-1, against 5-2, with the CD form already in the book (it was not her only top class run)… It’s a no brainer.
A lot of these are not going to stay a scorching mile, a lot will not handle the dip, she will. Takes it off the Irish pacemakers 3f out, and wins by 2L
“The money for I Can Fly is mainly because she has was tipped by Pricewise a few weeks ago and mentioned again on the RP podcast this week. So under the radar? I would say not.
In an open year hard to rule out any at single figure odds.”
Fair enough, thanks Mike, I wasn’t aware of that. I was purely going off the amount of noise, or lack thereof, being made on sites such as this and amongst my racing friends. She has hardly got a mention on here.
Whether the market move is because of shrewd money or not, I still really like the prep run angle and think there is more to come from this daughter of Fastnet Rock.
Although I am sweet on Soliliquy I really need William Buick to be on board to reinforce my hopes.
James Doyle will ride the other one out of Soliliquy and Wild Illusion and he has been interviewed saying he’s been on Wild Illusion and Buick has been on Soliliquy in their recent work. Hopefully that’s a sign that Buick is riding my pick.Fingers crossed on Laurens, two tickets 25’s and 20’s She’s in good order and done some great work at home. Good luck if your ‘on’
I think I’m veering away from the mindset of ruling out an AOB filly because she hasn’t had a prep run. Last year, Kevin Blake mentioned how AOB had been aware of this trend and so they had changed their preparation to make fillies turning out 1st time more ‘forward’. We saw the benefits with Minding, who was brilliant, but let’s not forget that last year Rhododendron was badly hampered at a crucial time and ran well to still finish 2nd. I don’t think she was any worse off for not having had a run, and there was no shame in being beaten by Winter!
Good luck HomeofRacing, some nice tickets there..
Let’s hope she makes all. JacThings turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...I am happy with my main two. In fact I have just been and backed WILD ILLUSION again at 8/1. I can’t work out how Laurens is so close in the betting because on a form line through Polydream WI has the beating of her !!
I am surprised to see Liquid Amber take her chance here. She has been off the track for a while and initially her target was given as the Irish Guineas. I backed her for the Oaks at 33/1 but didn’t do so for Newmarket as it seemed she would wait for the Irish version.
I’d settle for a running on 3rd or 4th here, as I felt she would need more than a mile in time. There seemed no fluke when she turned over the hot O’Brien favourite on her second start and she stayed strongly to the line that day for an easy success which was a big step up on her debut form. The trainer said they were putting her away for the season and he was excited by her potential.
Money has come for Liquid Amber and even at 16/1 now, I feel she is better value than several in the race. Her stable are 80% for horses running to form over the last fortnight and the win percentage over that period is 20% with two wins from ten runners.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Not confident with Wild Allusion here. It’s a wide open race.
Just disappointed that September isn’t here as the drying ground would have made her run a huge race and rattle home – convincing O’Brien to send her to epsom.
Good luck all. A weak race imo.
Wide open, yes. Weak, can’t have that. Pile of these looks like they have the potential to be proper G1 fillies.
Laurens ive adored since her debut, and although I think she will want 10-12F this season a fast run 8 here on quick ground will see her keeping on strong at the finish. Terrible cliche in the main but I do think Lauren’s would be near the head of the market if she was trained by Gosden, Stoute et all and she’s overs at 9s.
Anna Nerium caught my attention when she beat Eirene last season and I decided to track her. She came out again and disappointed NTO so I took the Salisbury run as Eirene disappointing. She then came out FTO this season and bolted up lengthening away from a decent handicap field in a good time. 14s is probably about right for her chances but I’m happy to take a chance on her with 4 places being offered in places.
Thought about whether to add another to my Soliliquy 12-1 ew bet today but as Appleby/Buick bagged a 4 timer on the track yesterday I’ve decided not to.
Would be a nice guineas double for me if she pulls it off.Good luck all.
Totally agree with Laurens today Kev
and just getting ready to go back to Newmarket and cheer her home.I do think RIchard Hannon will gain a big price place in a race that he likes to win with a filly that he has not spoken much about but I know he thinks a lot of..Vitamin, I took 50/1 with Paddy Power last night as it was obvious at HQ yesterday that the bookies shortened their odds dramatically throughout the day not leaving a great deal of value for the poor old punter.
My 3 against the field…
Laurens – WIN
Vitamin – EW
and a small saver on Altyn Orda because she is a very capable filly.
Good luck and enjoy the race…JacThings turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...
no better jockey to be riding her and should manage to calm her nerves pre race.
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