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Not as bullish about Millisle as was regards Kameko but she has best speed figure posted as yet( in my opinion), bettering the rest of the field. Obvious stamina and for me draw worries but has a chance of getting trip on dams side of pedigree. She gets my tentative vote.
I personally believe if you devalue the Newcastle form then you have to say that the closest O’Brien runners all ran below par?! I don’t believe that they did…but we could argue/debate that all day long! Regarding Kameko I’d be more worried about the actual course and maybe first time out exuberance/buzziness than the surface itself. I still believe that if he runs up to his merits then he will be a major force in this year’s 2000 Guineas…..Time will tell
I think Frenchy has made some valid points and although I am no breeding expert his post commands respect, makes interesting reading and he has a sensible point of view. I work more on “time figures” to find the answers and in Kameko we may have a slightly under rated animal. All his four starts last year were solid and he raised the bar in winning the futurity at Newcastle. Being on the a.w. many people may undervalue the form but the race was run at a solid gallop throughout ( the O’Brien brigade made sure of that no doubt trying to set it up for the “Galileo Gang”). Kameko traveled well under cover and produced a turn of foot that soon finished the contest. There is a worry about the course as he may not have handled the dip too well on his previous try over c/d. For me he ran a bit free ” choke out” that day and probably got too much daylight too early. If he can be switched off, find sufficient cover and travel in a race that is historically run at a decent gallop then I also believe he is a cracking alternative to the favourite and merits serious e.w. consideration.
Hello Dynamite, I’ll be the first to admit that I am far, far away from being computer savvy and with my antiquated methods I often get bogged down and behind on keeping figures up to date and as accurate as possible. I probably try to look into too many races on the whole as I enjoy* and have been successful through tote betting in the past (i.e combo placepots, exactas, trifectas ). You can go a while between drinks but as long as you are ticking over then a reward can be just around the corner. This obviously is time and effort consuming so it’s a case of trying to remain profitable but keep the happy medium between work and hopefully some pleasure!.. Not easy, far from it.
You are right there is no “easy/quick” way to make a profit long run. Hard work, discipline, accurate figures, experience and all round knowledge will help. I’ve produced my own speed ratings for around 25 years now and in the height of the summer when there is a plethora of racing and evening meets it feels like a never ending working day. I have periods of “I’ll think I will call it a day” but I always seem to bounce back. I have been betting professionally/semi professionally for a long time now and it takes time, self discipline and a lot of patience as well as the ability to “switch off” emotion (that must basically go out of the window). This enforced break is the longest I’ve had in years!…..but missing the challenge now and look forward to a gradual return.
