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There is a whole host of runners, and I wouldn’t disagree with any of your selections, as it still remains to be seen how the colts have wintered.
The one from left-field I like is
Tonnerre
for Sir Michael Stoute. He’s well bred as you would expect being owned by Ballymacoll, and comes from the family of North Light, and he may even make up into a Leger type as his pedigree is full of stamina. However he ran very well on debut, in a very hot 17 runner maiden at Haydock which is working out very well, keeping on from a mile back to take third. Despite the winner and second pulling well clear, it was a very promising effort especially as his yard send their juveniles out well short of peak fitness, and it will be interesting to see how he gets on this season.
His entered in a number of maidens over the coming weekend, which implies Stoute maybe thinking of a Derby trial should everything go to plan. It’s also worth noting that the Newbury maiden his entered in was won by a closely related relative of his Gamut, who we all know didn’t turn out to badly. While Stoute also won the Leicester maiden his entered in with Derby runner-up Tartan Bearer.
Currently avaliable at 699/1 on the machine, which doesn’t exactly inspire confidence!
I didn’t see many two year-olds last season who I immediately thought would be serious contenders in OPEN middle distance races, but something is bound to come out the woodwork, and maybe even
Frankel
may be more of a stayer than a miler.
But despite three year-olds having a far better record than the older horses, you can’t ignore the fact that it’s very likely
Workforce
will have improved enormously from three to four.
Stoute has a few interesting three year-old maidens to go to war with this season, with the best of those on pedigree being owned by Ballymacoll Stud. They are
Tonnerre
,
Dumbarton
and
Fiorente
, and all hold entries in the Derby and Irish Derby, which is normally a good indicator, and I believe they will all be beginning their campaigns shortly.
Along with the ones you have mentioned, I think a horse that should not be forgotten is
Silver Pond
, who despite dissapointing today, will be seen to much better effect when held up next time out in the Prix Ganay. Looked sure to be one of the best of his ‘Classic generation’ last season before being hit with an injury, and in all starts bar today where he was forced to make the running, he has showed a fantastic turn of foot. I imagine after the Ganay he will be stepped up in trip, and no matter what price he is in the Arc if he gets there, I will be backing him, as the nature of the race will suit him ideally!
Day two:
Aberdale 100pts
Megastar 100pts e/w
The Giant Bolster 100pts e/w
Woolcombe Folly 100pts
Ballyhaunis 100pts e/w
Celtus 100pts Banker
Divine Rhapsody 100ptsDay One:
Spirit Son 250pts Banker
Medermit 100pts
Fair Along 50pts e/w
Peddlers Cross 200pts
Maljimar 100pts
Sparky May 100pts
Swing Bill 5opts e/wWould anyone give
Fiveforthree
a chance, on hurdles form he’d be right up there, and I understand the plan is to go chasing?
It’s a terrible shame
Tell Massini
suffered a fatal fall, as he would of gone very close.
For Bill
would be the one from left field, Im sure she will improve from her debut run where she appeared to blow up.
Zarkandar, also trained by Nicholls is a half-brother to Zarkava, and showed a fair level of form on the flat in a copule of starts, and Nicholls has already said "his got some engine."
I think Illustrious Blue offers value at 69/1 on Betfair, considering he has a nice draw, will love the strong gallop, and has a nice turn of foot!!
I dont think the ground will be a worry, because when they say its soft in Australia its near enough what we would call good-soft(good in places)!!
I can’t be having Frankel at 8-11 simply because last time out he beat listed horses by 10l, whereas Dream Ahead beat G1 and G2 horses by 9l!!
I dont think Native Kahn is quick enough in a finish to trouble most of the field, and I would like to see him run in the RP Trophy.
I think Strong Suit would be intersting on good ground at 33-1, but it’s unlikely he’ll run.
Saamid already has time to make up with Frankel in terms of times both horses set at Doncaster, but there might just be more improvement from Saamid after only two career starts!
I think if the ground was soft then Dream Ahead will take the beating, but at the prices on good ground I think Saamid could spoil the ‘Frankel show’!
I think Vision D’Etat will take all the beating here, arguably on of the best horses over 10f in the world, with his only defeats over 10f coming in a prep race for the Ganay(which he won) and then that farce of a race the Dubai World Cup!!
I think everyone is backing Youmzain because on Arc day at Longchamp for some strange reason he seems to run 12lb or so above himself, which in any Arc puts you bang there!!
Also I need someone to clarify whether or not SILVER POND is going to run in the race, because if he is, he could be the one to spring a suprise?
I think that Rewilding has a fantastic chance of repeating last years success for Godolphin, after a bloodless success in the Voltigeur.
However I really like the way
Joshua Tree
travelled and then when he was asked to go he stayed on really well, and he should improve alot for what was his first run in almost a year.
I think Twice Over will run a massive race and hopefully get his head in front against a proper G1 opponent in Rip Van Winkle.
As long as it’s good ground, and he’s allowed to run past beaten horses it should make it a cracking spectacle for the neutral against his old rival!!
I still like Ceilidh House despite being a tad dissapointing today!!
I think the ride given to her by Jim Crowley today was not the best, and I think with Seb Sanders on board and being held up off a strong pace, we would see massive improvement!!
I can’t look past Zeitoper at this stage in time!!
Out of the brilliant Mare Kazzia who won the Guineas and Oaks, and by Singspiel who also won over CD by winning the Coronation Cup. You could say he is bred to win the race and already has solid form including a nice win at the course!!
33/1 is a steel!!
I will keep saying it time and time again, Weird Al has top be the best bet. For me Long Run and Punchestowns dont jump well enough, Pandorama needs bottomless ground to be seen at his peak along with Weapons Amnesty, and finally Mikael D’Haguenet would need at least one run to be anywhere near full fitness.The only Danger will be Diamond Harry providing he can get one more run before the festival, as he jumped very well today
WEIRD AL is a very interesting runner although I would like to see him in another race with more pace on before Cheltenham. The last race he won was run in a very slow time so his jumping would not have been put under much pressure.
He is certainly one to consider, however.
You make a good point, however the way he jumped on both outings at Cheltenham suggests to me that the face past wont hinder him at all. I think if your goin to back a Novice at Cheltenham especially in the RSA Chase they have to have course form.
