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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

onefurlongout

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Viewing 15 posts - 154 through 168 (of 168 total)
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  • in reply to: Assessing a race #108881
    onefurlongout
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    • Total Posts 197

    Having hit a brick wall of late when assessing races it looks like I need to get myself a decent system.

    And i suppose there in lies the problem

    in reply to: Assessing a race #108848
    onefurlongout
    Member
    • Total Posts 197

    Oh and should any classifiaction of races be avoided??

    in reply to: Pontefract races #108793
    onefurlongout
    Member
    • Total Posts 197

    cheers perks I’ll remember that one for the next time

    in reply to: Help and Guidance #107820
    onefurlongout
    Member
    • Total Posts 197

    Here are selections for some of the York races today

    2.10 – Webbow
    2.40 – Pick a name
    3.15 – Fortunate Isle
    3.50 – Tagula Sunrise

    Fingers crossed!

    in reply to: July Cup 2007 #107783
    onefurlongout
    Member
    • Total Posts 197

    Very disapointed with my selection, Asset.

    I havent seen the race yet but was he hampered in running?

    onefurlongout
    Member
    • Total Posts 197

    Thought so

    in reply to: Help and Guidance #107651
    onefurlongout
    Member
    • Total Posts 197

    Sorry that i have not posted on here for a few days. Will hope to have some more rating up for discussion next week.

    onefurlongout
    Member
    • Total Posts 197

    Did I miss something on this?

    in reply to: Can Authorized be beaten? #106318
    onefurlongout
    Member
    • Total Posts 197

    The only question to answer tomorrow is how far will authorized win by. I dont think any of the other horses can live with him, but at those prices I’ll be leaving him alone.

    Archipenko might be a decent bet without the fav

    in reply to: Help and Guidance #106145
    onefurlongout
    Member
    • Total Posts 197

    Not the best result with the winner being number 4 with 3 in 2nd 10th 3rd and 2 finishing 4th.

    I’ll produce further ratings for the weekend and see if its any better

    in reply to: Help and Guidance #106089
    onefurlongout
    Member
    • Total Posts 197

    Thought that was the case but just wanted to check.

    Ive compiled rating for the 8.20 @ kempton (4/7)

    Anything over 70 merits consideration
    Horse 1 = 30
    2=75
    3=50
    4=70
    5=65
    6=35
    7=80
    8=75
    9=NR
    10=65

    Now I dont usually look at the all weather as I find it attracts a lower class of animal but for the purposes of the post I will try anyway. I’ll post for a better race on Fri or Sat.

    Based on the above I’d consider 2,4,7 & 8 With 7 being the top rated and at a price of 16/1 seems a little on the high side.

    The top two in the market are 6(f) @35pts and 10 at 65pts

    Lets see how it gets on

    in reply to: Help and Guidance #106071
    onefurlongout
    Member
    • Total Posts 197

    On some of the posts it talks about betting points, can I just ask what this means?

    Ive had a look at the artemis article and it is interesting bit confused on some of the terminology but i think I get the jist of it all

    in reply to: Help and Guidance #106059
    onefurlongout
    Member
    • Total Posts 197

    Not had chance to properly digest the site yet but I plan on reading the RP rating and Artemis article.

    inital thoughts are that I need to radically overhaul my thought process in order to make a better profit. Perhaps by reading the above posts I’ll be in more of a informed decision.

    Either way it looks like a bit of a long road to follow

    in reply to: Help and Guidance #105980
    onefurlongout
    Member
    • Total Posts 197

    Thanks for the quick responses guys. I will post an outcome for a race on friday/saturday one using my exisiting system and one using the advice from Dave.

    In response to your Q dave I do allocate on an arbitary basis. My thoughts on course are that each course has its own charactersitics. Right hand, LH, galloping, tight etc and having formulated a table for each course in the UK I base my points this table. With regards to distance I feel this is an area that could let me down as I take no consideration in to the assciated going as thistaken into account separately. Perhaps i should combine these two factors.

    I do however feel that the jockey is important and I take on your point about apprentice jockeys, should I therefore consider horse/jockey partnerships or just drop the jockey thing all together?

    in reply to: Help and Guidance #105942
    onefurlongout
    Member
    • Total Posts 197

    I agree with it being a bit OTT on the categories hence the post.

    I tend to use it in every race except the all weather again open to suggestions as to the best races to use.

    Thanks for the post and I hope to get a few more ideas from the knowledgable crowd

Viewing 15 posts - 154 through 168 (of 168 total)