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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

mbugg4

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Viewing 6 posts - 1 through 6 (of 6 total)
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  • in reply to: Winter Derby 2014 #472839
    mbugg4
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7

    I fancy REBELLIOUS GUEST at the price his last run looked good,the question mark is he is coming back to group company but this time on what I believe is his preferred terms

    other than that Grandeur

    in reply to: Touble in America #472803
    mbugg4
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7

    Lets hope he gets longer than 6 months this time, and no horses can be raced from that yard during the suspension. Its always a wrong to me when they ban the trainer but allow the assistant to carry on

    Most importantly though hope it shows the world that horses can not be treated this way

    in reply to: Gingers Jumpers #472457
    mbugg4
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7

    Hi Ginger

    Thanks for the extensive reply

    Will look at doing something similar regarding staking

    Not sure why you times it by 6 then again I have not read it fully due to being at work

    Cheers
    Michael

    in reply to: New Members Thread #472348
    mbugg4
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7

    Hi All

    Im Michael from Nottingham

    Been into racing since the 90s my Favorite horse was ONE MAN I Unashamedly shed a tear when he fatally fell

    Im a big speed ratings fan and use Inform Racing

    Having trouble with some of my posts not showing up is this me or the site?

    in reply to: Gingers Jumpers #472344
    mbugg4
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7

    Hi Ginger

    Love the thread

    I to create a book not as good as yours as I cheat by putting my horses in order top should win etc etc, but use the current betting forecast for the race and put my top rated as the shortest price and then work down, then I convert to a 80% book (20% edge) I will then back any horse that is representing value

    My question is how do you stake? it looks like some kind of Kelly strategy

    whats im struggling with is kelly states you should bet a percentage of you bank, but due to work I may have to put my bets on all at once obviously the bank reduces each time I do this, not allowing me to up or lower my stakes depending on winners/losers until the day after

    Cheers
    Michael

    in reply to: Maguire ruled out of Cheltenham Festival with injury #471301
    mbugg4
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7

    Im gutted for him must be horrible to miss the CF

    I backed Rutherglen in the Triumph anti-post under the assumption he would get the ride

    I hope him a speedy recovery

Viewing 6 posts - 1 through 6 (of 6 total)