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I think you’re right.  I’ve noticed that there are a few RSB entries across the various forums.  I have been interested in RSB but the price puts me off.  I have used data from the old SSR database in the past, but it means handcoding my own queries.
LookingForAWinner
John,
I’ve been doing some analysis of past races, trying to pull out some statistics that will point to winners. Under certain circumstances, my early computer program will generate a 70% strike-rate. Unfortunately, there are only about 15 to 20 bets a year, a loss is made over all, and it gets worse in more recent years. I think this is because more statistics are available to the general punter and bookie alike.
For example, if all the tipsters pick a selection, many punters will take notice and the bookies will lower the odds accordingly. The selection may win although this is not guaranteed. From the win to lose ratio, the bookies will set the prices so that us punters will always make a loss.
At the moment, I am trying to look for an angle that is generally overlooked and will lead to profits. It may be a long while coming!
In the meantime, my computer system selects Joly Bey as the winner in your chosen race – although the conditions do not satisfy the 70% strike-rate!
Best of luck, and search for the angle,
Looking For A Winner.
John,
Form is more consistent if the weather remains unchanged. But the bookies know this too, so the prices tend to be depressed. Perhaps the seasons are a factor, with some months being more profitable than others.
Looking For A Winner.
John,
Have you discovered any factors that lead to your wins, and those that lead to losses?
Do the computer systems you use specialise in particular race types?
Many moons ago, I purchased the Brimardon system, well before the prices were hiked up. The software asked particular questions depending on the race type. For example, for hurdles, one question was for races over 2m6f.
I imagine each system is stronger for some race types and conditions than others. It might be worthwhile keeping a log of the selections made, and the conditions of the race. After a suitable review period, you might be able to spot the systems strength. Based on these findings, you should add value by applying some external logic such as Spotform’s selections for PostData’s ticks. There is always your gut feel too, which you should also document.
Without keeping a history I would keep making the same mistakes each year, or cycle of years. I am re-reading all the books I have purchased, and notes I have taken. Hopefully, profit is on the horizon!
Best of luck,
Looking For A Winner.
John,
What computer system have you used to provide the initial selections?
Have you evaluated any others, and if so, can you post your views?
Looking For A Winner.
