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In a very English way we seem happy to criticise our premier classic. However, in recent years the race has produced winners at the Breeders Cup (High Chapparal twice), multiple Arc winners (Sinndar, Sakhee who was second in Sinndar’s Derby) and King George winners (Galileo. Some truly outstanding horses have won the Derby in recent years.
I think what everybody is forgetting is that the opinion polls now count for very little in the grand scheme of things. We probably have the most open primaries since 1992 and, in November 1991 Clinton was eleventh. In November 2003 John Kerry was only running around fifth.
Personal, I think that Obama is a media talking horse and will probably be found out in New Hampshire or Iowa. Key to Edwards chances are that he has been working Iowa and NH furiously and a victory in these early primaries can give a campaign irresistible momentum.
The GOP primary looks equally fasinating.
By the way, the "shrewdies" at political betting get things wrong at least as often as they get things right.
We have discussed the primaries on my blog. WOrth a look if you are interested:
Knight is now saying that RD goes for the Ryanair only a few days after saying that he goes for the big one. As the ground dried out in the intervening period I have trouble believing that she blamed the state of the ground. I hope the race doesn’t cut up too much.
I cannot see the ground being heavy on Tuesday but surely MWDS will take his chance. Every chance thet Fair Along will burn them off but perhaps twist Magic or Buena Vista have potential as outsiders.
I’m not sure why this topic has met such a negative response from some people. The rudeness shown to the poster is a shame as this forum has always been distinguished by the courtesy posters show to each other – marking it out from the Betfair Forum for example.
I’m not sure how the post was spam as blogs are generally not a profit making thing. There was a similar topic a few months ago and quite a few members have their own blogs – all of which were well received.
For information, and risking the wrath of some forumites, my blog is http://sportinvestor.wordpress.com
I agree that there should be a bloggers folder.
Looks like Royals Darling is a non runner for this one sadly. Shame as I think that Henderson is missing out on a good pay day at Sandown. You never know – we might be surprised by the decs tomorrow but the peril of ante-post punting is losing out with non runners (normally in the week before Cheltanham). The disadvantage of non runners is always surpassed by the advantage of securing the far superior prices at ante post level.
I was recently in a William Hill shop and they had integrated Timeform ratings into the betting shows on screen, along with leaflets to explain to customers how to ‘use the ratings’. I don’t know whether this was a lasting experiment or merely a last ditch attempt to discourage the attentions of Betfair.
Stolen Horse – a very good read.
Can I just sneak in a quick plug for my blog, which can be found at
http://sportinvestor.wordpress.com
We try to preview the big race every week (got State of Play last week) as well as having an ongoing Cheltenham portfolio with the aim of trading off and going into the Festival ‘risk free.’
We also look at cricket, darts, rugby league, snooker, NFL and, occasionally, football, rugby union and golf.
