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JAR

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Viewing 17 posts - 69 through 85 (of 184 total)
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  • in reply to: Computer Based System #44511
    JAR
    Member
    • Total Posts 188

    April 15 th<br>                 Ripon  3.55   Dispol Veleta   lost

    bank = £ 147.64

    April  16 th<br>                  Ayr 2.20  Allbuhera                  lost<br>                  Ayr 2.55  Venn Ottery              lost<br>                  Ayr 3.25  Dancing Pearl            lost<br>                  Ayr 4.30  SadMadBad               lost<br>                  Ayr  5.00 Gingerbread House   lost<br>           Southwell 7.40  Stravmour            Won 5/2

    bank = £ 122-64

    April 17 th<br>                Ayr    5.50  Captain Murphy   lost<br>             Wolv    8.00   Rules for Jokers   lost<br>              Thirsk  3.00  Selective              lost<br>              Bangor 2.20  Ross River           lost

    Bank = £82.64

    April 19 th       Wolv    6.35   Doctor John  lost

    <br>Bank = £72.64

    20 th April   –  no selection

    21 st April   Epsom 2.20     Bull Run    Won 13/8

    Bank = £88.89

    22 nd April     Beverley  3.20  Wistman           lost<br>                      Perth      3.30   Monet’s Garden won 1/1<br>Bank = £88.89

    23 rd April     Sandown  2.55 African Dream  Won 7/2<br>                     Sandown  3.30 Calling Brave    NR

    Bank = £123.89

    <br>(Edited by JAR at 10:38 am on April 22, 2004)

    <br>(Edited by JAR at 4:29 pm on April 22, 2004)

    <br>(Edited by JAR at 11:08 am on April 23, 2004)<br>

    (Edited by JAR at 5:14 pm on April 23, 2004)

    in reply to: Computer Based System #44510
    JAR
    Member
    • Total Posts 188

    April 3 rd <br>                    Newc 4.40  Miss Adelaide  lost<br>                    Ling  1.55   MilkitMick         lost<br>bank =£203.76

    <br>April 5 th <br>                  Westbrook Blue  won  4/7

    bank = £209.47

    <br>April 6 th    Pont     2.20   Jair Ohmsford    lost<br>                  Exeter  2.40    BreknenLeNoir  lost

    bank = £189.47

    April 7 th      Warwick  4.30  Distant Times   Won  5/4<br>                    Fontwell  2.50  Noisetine          Lost

    Bank = £ 191.97

    April  8 th     Mussleburgh 3.10  Sarraaf lost

    bank = £ 181.97

    April 10 th      Haydock  2.00  Fernery  lost

    bank = £171.97

    April 11 th    Towcester   4.00 Askmewhat lost

    April 12 th   Kempton   2.45 Fire up the Band lost

    bank = £ 151.97

    April 13 th   Newmarket   4.35  Percussionist won 4/6<br>                   Newmarket   2.20   Cornus         won 11/10<br>               <br>bank = £169.64<br>April 14 th<br>               Newmarket  3.30  Gaudalpin       lost<br>               Newmarket  3.45  Celestial Gold  won4/5<br>               Cheltenham  4.55  Chief Yeoman  lost<br>bank = £ 157.64

    (Edited by JAR at 9:22 pm on April 13, 2004)

    <br>(Edited by JAR at 10:07 am on April 14, 2004)<br>

    (Edited by JAR at 9:03 pm on April 14, 2004)

    in reply to: Computer Based System #44509
    JAR
    Member
    • Total Posts 188

    Sorry I have missed a few days, my internet connection was down. Hopefully it is ok from now on.

    Bank = 144.17

    March 29 th<br>                   Newc 410  Etmaan     won 10/11<br>                  Wolv  2.20  Silver Mascot lost<br>                  Wolv 3.50  Semelledevent lost<br>                  Wolv 4.20  Blueberry Rhyme  won 7/2

    Bank = £ 168.26

    March 30 the Folks  3.50  Concert Hall  lost

    Bank = £ 158.26

    March 31 st

                     Notts  3.40  Bahamian Pirate  won 5/2<br>                  Notts  4.10   Alcazar                won 11/8

    bank = £197.01

    April 1 st <br>                   Tauton  2.20  Belcaro            won 15/8<br>                   Leics      5.05  Rarefied          lost<br>                   Aintree   5.30  Inglis Drever   lost

    bank = £195-76

    April 2 nd<br>                    Lingfield 1.40  Fancy Foxtrot   won 2/1<br>                    Lingfield  2.10  Instructor        won 4/5

    bank = £223-76           In profit again   :)

    (Edited by JAR at 4:12 pm on April 2, 2004)

    in reply to: Computer Based System #44508
    JAR
    Member
    • Total Posts 188

    March 25 th<br>                    Ludlow 2.30  Moreluck                nr<br>                    Ludlow 2.00  Young Devereaux  lost<br>bank = £ 154.73

    March 26 th<br>                    Lingfield 4.10  Majhool   lost

    bank = £144.73

    March  27 th<br>                    Kempton 2.05  Bilbury            lost<br>                    Bangor 1.45     King Solomon  won 6/4<br>                    Bangor  2.15     Rodber           won  4/9<br>                    Bangor  4.35     Valleymore    lost<br>bank = £ 144.17

    <br>(Edited by JAR at 8:23 pm on Mar. 25, 2004)

    <br>(Edited by JAR at 11:56 am on Mar. 27, 2004)<br>

    (Edited by JAR at 6:50 pm on Mar. 27, 2004)

    in reply to: Computer Based System #44507
    JAR
    Member
    • Total Posts 188

    18 th March<br>                 Cheltenham 5.10<br>                                       La Landiere  lost<br>bank = £ 167.23

    19 th March<br>                  Fakenham  3.50  All Bleevable  lost<br>                  Lindfield     3.30   Anyhow        lost

    bank = £147.23<br>                                                                 <br>   20 th March  Ascot  5.00<br>                                  GuignardduCochet  lost<br>bank = £137.23

    22 nd March <br>                Hereford 2.05  Wasted Talent    Lost<br>                 Wetherby 4.10  Baron Windrush   Won 7/4

    bank = £ 144.73

    23 rd March<br>                 Lingfield 3.30  Regulated won 4/1<br>                 Exeter 3.50   Sir Talbot      lost

    bank = £ 174.73

    24 th march    Chepstow 3.50 Barnards Green lost

    bank = £ 164.23

    <br>(Edited by JAR at 10:19 am on Mar. 24, 2004)<br>

    (Edited by JAR at 4:24 pm on Mar. 24, 2004)

    in reply to: Computer Based System #44506
    JAR
    Member
    • Total Posts 188

    Thanks<br>LookingForaWinner

    Not any profit yet I’m afraid..<br>Computer systems seem to struggle at this time of the year.

    Kind Regards

    in reply to: Computer Based System #44504
    JAR
    Member
    • Total Posts 188

    17 th March<br>                   Cheltenham 3.20 Azertyuiop  won  15/8<br>                   Cheltenham 2.35 Our Vic       lost <br>bank = £177.23

    (Edited by JAR at 8:17 pm on Mar. 17, 2004)

    in reply to: Computer Based System #44503
    JAR
    Member
    • Total Posts 188

    15 th March<br>                    Plumpton  5.00  Shannon Waters     lost<br>                 Taunton      3.50  Kristoffersen            lost<br>                  Taunton     4.20  Fluff n Puff                lost<br>                  Stratford    3.10 Bakiri                        lost<br>16 th March<br>                  Sedgefield  2.50  Lazy but Lively<br>                                                              bank = £178.48

    <br>(Edited by JAR at 11:10 pm on Mar. 15, 2004)<br>

    (Edited by JAR at 9:46 am on Mar. 16, 2004)

    in reply to: The Lecture #51597
    JAR
    Member
    • Total Posts 188

    Hi   Mr E <br>I cannot really argue in too much detail about Roulette as I simply admit to not knowing much about that particular game.  I was talking about the old fashioned Roulette wheel  that works by gravity on a ball.  I’v no idea how a computer program version of Roulette works or how you could exploit any possible anomaly in a computerised version of Roulette.

    I agree with you’re last post,  the bookmakers do give terrible value on horse races.   It is possible to make a profit on the GG’s for at least one season if not every season providing you can pick winners at odds longer than 2/1 and that is not an easy thing to do on a consistent basis.

    Certainly if you are going to accept very short odds it is better to stick with Roulette.  When I bet short odds on a horse I am only betting for fun and not profit.

    Short odds on horses can be profitable if you use a staking plan to enhance profits.  These staking plans are usually aggresive and rely on not hitting a long losing run.<br>Fat chance of that happening.

    My biggest grumble against bookmakers is that if you start winning they don’t want to know and either refuse to accept a bet or cut the price of a horse.  I’ve only had one bet refused myself probably because I only bet in very small amounts.

    So along come the exchanges such as betfair, great now everyone can lay horses to lose.  Lo and behold, some people allegedly state, before you know it  jockeys are falling off horses.<br>Also a short while ago when there was a jockey dispute over mobile phones.   It seemed to me that a lot of favourites that should have won suddenly started coming in second, coincidence or imagination on my part , I don’t  know.<br>I’d like to see all  the bookmakers cut their margins or only betting exchanges survive.  Bookies to my way of thinking – today are going in for machines too much, with <br>virtual racing, lottery balls, and so on.  

    However I think punters have only themselves to blame, all punters should simply refuse to bet on any horse at odds shorter than 6/4, then see what the bookmakers would do.  <br>We need a punters union where all members promise not to accept odds anywhere shorter than evens , then as the union gets bigger refuse to accept odds less than 6/4.<br>Where’s Arthur Scargill when you need him!

    Kind regards

    in reply to: Computer Systems #51773
    JAR
    Member
    • Total Posts 188

    Hi<br>Not with Boxform at present.  The data must be hand input similar to many earlier computer programs.

    It simply allows you to choose an influencing factor on a race.  Say we think a horse has more chance in a particular because it is a beaten favourite Boxform would allow us to award 0, 1 or more points for this to the eventual calculated total.  It also allows you to use from 1 to 5 handicap ratings in its calculations.<br>It has to be said it is a fairly simple system , although I like it because it allows you to assign different value to some of the factors that affect a race.<br>Hope that helps.

    Kind regards

    in reply to: The Lecture #51591
    JAR
    Member
    • Total Posts 188

    Hi <br>I don’t mind be told when I am incorrect in a view, but I would like to know why?

    Kind Regards

    in reply to: The Lecture #51588
    JAR
    Member
    • Total Posts 188

    Hi<br>At least with horses you can bet against the crowd on betfair and find some value.<br>Since roulette has a fixed advantage and it is straight it follows that there is no value in the long run so no matter how stakes are manipulated you would lose in the long run.

    in reply to: The Lecture #51585
    JAR
    Member
    • Total Posts 188

    Hi<br>Sounds a bit  like expecting "cold" numbers to come up next because they are "overdue", as in the lottery .

    Unless the wheel has a bias I would think every number has exactly the same chance on each spin no matter what happened previously.

    I think taking a sample of spins and then saying a number is overdue, and will now be more likely to occur, because it has not come up the expected number of times in one sample is a bit dodgy.  <br>The idea of a number being "due" without a specific cause bothers me a little.  

    This "ultimately numbers will come into line", but when, now, next hour, next day, next week.  After how many spins of the wheel?  Expected frequency must surely apply only to a very large sample of many spins.  So large that the point when these numbers occur, and play "catch   -up, in the large sample is not predictable.

    Thanks for the info though.

    Kind regards

    (Edited by JAR at 10:47 pm on Mar. 8, 2004)

    in reply to: The Lecture #51579
    JAR
    Member
    • Total Posts 188

    Hi all<br>I don’t know much about Roulette strategy having only played it once and lost at it.

    I believe there is something called the 3Q/A Reverse Select strategy for playing roulette that is supposed to give a 7%<br>advantage to the player.<br>Do any of you guys know what this is?

    Kind regards

    in reply to: Computer Systems #51771
    JAR
    Member
    • Total Posts 188

    Hi Artemis<br>What Nick says is true.  However the same could be said of using the Racing Post .  Many people use this paper including professionals.  They tend to come up with the same results and this affects value.<br>The best way to use computer programs is either write your own and try and design it so it picks horses others do not.<br>Otherwise find a computer program such as Boxform that lets you use a mixture of inputs of your own choice and try and use inputs others are not using.<br>Using this approach though requires a period of paper testing to ensure the inputs you choose actually produce profitable predictions. In most cases finding an angle others do not use will result in a lower strike rate but hopefully more profit.  The bugbear may be the longer losing runs.<br>Kind regards

    in reply to: Computer Based System #44502
    JAR
    Member
    • Total Posts 188

    5 th March  Newb 4.15   Legal Lunch    Lost    Bank £192.39<br>   <br>6 th March  Hunt  2.45  Gods Token   Lost<br>                  Donc  4.15   Amen            Lost<br>                  Donc 2.00  Royal Shakespear Won evens<br>                  Kelso 3.00  Le Duc                  Won 4/5

                                                                bank =£190.39

    8 th March  Wolv 2.50 EnjoytheBuzz  Lost<br>                                                               bank = £180.39

    9 th March Hereford 4.30  Venn Ottery  WON  2/5

                                                                  bank = £184.39

    10 th March  Chepstow  3.35  McSnappy            won 10/11<br>                     Bangor       2.15  Pilgrims progress won 2/1<br>                     Bangor     2.50   Maragun               won 5/1<br>                     Bangor     5.40   Upham Lord         lost

                                                                      bank = £253.48

    <br>11 th March   Towc   4.15   Rakassa      Lost<br>                      Winc   2.55   Hot Shots    Won  5/2<br>                                                                    Bank =£268.48

    12 th March  Ayr  4.55  Jolika                   NR<br>                    Leics 2.20 Canterbury Jack  Lost<br>                     Sandown 4.10  Raffles Rooster  Lost<br>        <br>                                                                    Bank =£248.48<br>13 th March<br>                  Sand 3.45  Duke of Buckingham NR<br>                  Ayr    2.15  Silver Coin                Lost<br>                  Ayr    2.50   Wise Mann               NR<br>                  Newc  2.30   McCracken              Lost<br>                  Wolv  2.25   Muy Bien                 Lost

                                                                     Bank = £218.48

    (Edited by JAR at 5:19 pm on Mar. 11, 2004)

    <br>(Edited by JAR at 10:13 am on Mar. 12, 2004)

    <br>(Edited by JAR at 5:42 pm on Mar. 12, 2004)

    <br>(Edited by JAR at 2:31 pm on Mar. 13, 2004)<br>

    (Edited by JAR at 4:42 pm on Mar. 13, 2004)

    in reply to: Computer Based System #44501
    JAR
    Member
    • Total Posts 188

    Ok<br>Racing Post data available once more, thread is now restarted.

    2 March  Ling 5.00  Long Weekend   Won 13/8<br>2 March Leics 3.20  Strong Magic   Lost<br>                                                                 bank = £155.45

    3 March  Soutwell 4.10  Generous Gesture  Won 3/1<br>3 March Wetherby 4.20  Our Dream –  meeting abandoned

                                                                     bank =£185.45

    4 March  Taunton  3.00  Willie John Daly   Won 4/9<br>               Ludlow   3.50   Rodalko              Won 9/4<br>               Ling        2.10   AndTotoToo       Lost

                                                                    bank =£202.39

    hurray now in profit.

    (Edited by JAR at 11:21 pm on Mar. 4, 2004)

Viewing 17 posts - 69 through 85 (of 184 total)