[Bricoman]

One selection for 1st May:

3.05 S’WELL  CAROUBIER  (F/C: 4/7F) WON 1/2

OUT             IN             P/L             ROI             S/R          

14               19.64        +5.64         40.30%       64.29%

(Edited by Bricoman at 5:00 pm on May 1, 2003)

[Bricoman]

Selections for 30th April are:

3.40 EXE  IDAHO D’OX  (F/C: 5/4) WON 11/8

5.45 KELSO  WELCOME TO UNOS  (F/C: 4/7) LOST

6.50 KELSO  XAIPETE  (F/C: 5/1) 3RD 4/1

OUT            IN             P/L             ROI             S/R            

13               18.14       +5.14         39.55%       61.54%

(Edited by Bricoman at 8:00 am on May 1, 2003)

[Bricoman]

One selection for 29th April:

2.10 N/ABB  MISBEHAVIOUR  (F/C: 5/1) WON 7/2

OUT             IN             P/L             ROI             S/R

10 PTS         15.77       +5.77         57.67%       70%

It’s good to get a decent priced winner for a change – dosn’t do the ROI any harm. :)

(Edited by Bricoman at 4:46 pm on April 29, 2003)<br>

(Edited by Bricoman at 12:45 pm on May 25, 2003)

[Bricoman]

3.05  HEXHAM  FLORRIES SON  (F/C: 5/6F) WON 8/15

<br>All the best for tomorrow – whatever you’re backing.

OUT            IN            P/L            ROI            S/R

9                 11.27      +2.27        25.19%      66.67%

<br>(Edited by Bricoman at 5:17 pm on April 28, 2003)<br>

(Edited by Bricoman at 12:44 pm on May 25, 2003)

[Bricoman]

Meager pickings for 26th April:

3.55  M/RASEN   ALLIMAC  (F/C: 1/6) WON 1/5

<br>OUT          IN          P/L          ROI          S/R

8               9.73      +1.73      +21.63%  62.50%

I’ve Had worse days!

(Edited by Bricoman at 7:01 pm on April 26, 2003)<br>

(Edited by Bricoman at 12:42 pm on May 25, 2003)

[Bricoman]

Just one selection for 24th April:

3.05  FONTWELL  THROWALINE (3* 64) (61.5) (+4.5)      (F/C: 4/6) WON 2/5

OUT          IN          P/L          ROI           S/R

7Pts          8.53      +1.53      +21.90%   57.14%

<br>Every little bit helps!

(Edited by Bricoman at 5:15 pm on April 24, 2003)

[Bricoman]

Thanks snowman, Yesterday was a headache with all the meetings but I quite enjoyed the research. Shame there wasn’t much reward to show for it.

No selections for April 22nd

Update:

OUT           IN               P/L             ROI            S/R

6 PTS        7.13 PTS      +1.13        +18.89%       50%

(Edited by Bricoman at 8:37 am on April 22, 2003)<br>

(Edited by Bricoman at 12:41 pm on May 25, 2003)

[Bricoman]

<br>(Edited by Bricoman at 8:07 am on April 22, 2003)<br>

(Edited by Bricoman at 12:40 pm on May 25, 2003)

[Bricoman]

Selections for Easter Monday are:

2.30  PLUM  PENNY PICTURES  (F/C: 1/8) N/R

4.35  UTTO  FRAGRANT ROSE  (F/C: 2/9)  WON 3/10

5.10  YARM  SKY QUEST  (F/C: 9/2)  LOST

Thank the Lord the system didn’t pick out Discreet Brief at a forecast of 1/25.

Good luck for tomorrow<br>

(Edited by Bricoman at 8:01 am on April 22, 2003)

[Bricoman]

For all those punters that follow ROI (including my good friend snowman) – I would like to start putting the results down in terms of ROI, so as it stands at the moment:

OUT       IN          P/L          ROI

4 PTS     5.83      +1.83     45.83%

Just an afterthought.

[Bricoman]

Selections for 19th April are:

2.10 STRA  QUEDEX  (F/C: 10/11F) WON 5/6

2.35 CARL  HALLYARDS GAEL  (F/C: 1/2F) VOID

3.55 N/AB  KILMENY  (F/C: 10/11F) FELL

<br>2 WON     2 LOST    50% S/R   +1.83 PTS LSP

<br>Regards

Bricoman

(Edited by Bricoman at 5:38 pm on April 19, 2003)

[Bricoman]

Thanks for your support Matron & Dave Jay.

NO SELECTIONS TODAY – 17TH APRIL

1 WON   1 LOST    50% S/R    +2 PTS  LSP

<br>

[Bricoman]

Hi Everyone,

I have observed that systems tend to do well until they get in the public domain. <br>The 5/4 system (currently going through a bad patch) started off with a chi score of 99% and since it has become popular the prices have (on the whole) plummeted. It dosn’t suprise me that a 2/1 shot 3 months ago would now be an odds on shot.

I would also assume that when punters realise that they are not getting the returns that they expected, they will stop backing the selections, the prices will get better, and the remaining "die-hards" will start making money again.

It’s just my theory – but it’s an obvious one!

Regards

Bricoman

[Bricoman]

Hi Everyone,

What was that all about with Navale getting withdrawn today?

I was sat down watching the Racing Post build up to the race, and Navale was nicely placed having drifted out to Evens. Throwaline had come in to about 6/5 and the crescendo was building… Then suddenly every price went to SP and when they came back, Throwaline had zoomed to 2/5. There was no indication that Navale had been withdrawn until 10 minutes after the race.:angry:

Well my stake is still intact, but I was frustrated to say the least, because it was my only bet of the day.

Regards

Bricoman

[Bricoman]

Hi snowman,

Thanks for your two previous posts.

Let’s just say that I have a betting style that dosn’t suit rushing around at the last minute with two gigantic thumbs and a microscopic mobile.:biggrin:

As for the minimum price proviso, well that could work against me on the bigger price selections, and could affect overall profitability.

What I may do, is take the optimistic Sporting Life price and the Racing Post price and split the difference… How’s that sound?

So "Navale" would just about qualify at Hereford.

Regards

Bricoman

[Bricoman]

Hi snowman,

Thanks for taking the time to review my thinking.

I’m pretty sure that I will be trying to back evens or better – The trick is trying to predict the SP. Take today for instance, the selection was quoted as 9/2 in the Sporting Life and 6/4 in the Racing Post, but finished up at 11/10. As I have explained before, most of my bets are placed at SP, before I go to work, so if I could predict the odds I think we could be in clover.

Anyway I played around with the figures and deducted all of Year 2001 bets, so taking the last 9 months on the trot. Guess What! The evens or better average points increase from 6.63 to 7.55 pts and the odds on average decrease from 1.03 to 0.20 pts – That’s Right! A measly 0.20 pts profit each month:(

If anyone out there has a foolproof method of predicting the SP…. Pleeaassee let me know.:)

Regards

Bricoman

[Bricoman]

Hi Snowman,

I’m saying 19.85 at evens or better and 18.46 at odds on. For example…

During August 2001 there were 37 bets at evens or better, 15 of these won and accrued 32.74 pts but 22 of the bets lost, so the points overall for bets placed at evens or better during August 2001 are 10.74.

Using the same format for bets placed at odds-on during August 2001 we get… 33 bets placed, 26 were winning bets and accrued 15.99 pts, 7 were losing bets so the overall points for all bets at odds-on during August 2001 are 8.99 pts.

Now taking each month at a time, the "Points Won" V "Points Lost" figures for betting evens or better are:<br>10.74, 4.88, 3.63, -1.00, 14.97, -2.18, 12.50, 8.84, -0.38, 9.19, 6.19, 10.09 & 8.73 giving an average 6.63 pts over the 13 months.

the figures for odds-on betting are:<br>8.99, 2.26, -0.83, 1.10, -5.07, 3.98, 1.51, -3.45, 5.38, 0.31, -1.05, -2.50 & 2.73 giving an average of 1.03 pts over 13 months.

I don’t know if it’s a fluke or just the way things have panned out but when the evens and better have had negative months (3 in total), the odds-on bets have had positive months, and Visa Versa. So the weakness of odds-on betting are amplified in the figures shown.

Hope this answers your question Snowman.

Regards

Bricoman

(Edited by Bricoman at 6:18 pm on Mar. 5, 2003)

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