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A listed race and two class 2 handicaps. Border Music looks a cracking price in the listed race at 2.20. He won this corresponding event last year when it was a mere minor event and his style of racing looks ideally suited to polytrack, hence his much lower turf mark and the fact he’s 6 from 8 on the surface. Goes well fresh so the absence is no massive concern but I presume he had a bit of a problem. Outside draw not ideal but has the pace to overcome it. A well run race will suit this strong traveller ideally and should get that with Party Boss and Kings Caprice in the field. Really want to be against Jack Sullivan. He’s had tendon trouble and his yard have had a terrible time of things in the year since he last saw the track. Even if he retains most of hia ability, this looks a prep for Dubai.
The Lincoln trial looks terribly trappy but I’d be inclined to go with those that have recent polytrack form and have showed their well being. Speedy Sam is a horse I like, continues to go the right way and has recent form here, the majority of his rivals have shown themselves to be best elsewhere, notably Waterside who is remarkably having his first start at Wolverhampton depite running in excess of 30 times on A/W.
Anyone else have any opinions on the races there as I seek refuge from the Cheltenham build up.
In the first race (1:50) I am a little perplexed as to why Rambling Light is 8/1, having been down in the post as 7/2. It looks to be a dead-cert for a place and so I have confidentally backed it e/w. Its no surprise the money has come for Kindlelight Blue as I backed it a lot last season and there was always money for it, though usually on course. Elyaadi has a favourites chance but 5/4 looks skinny and so Art Professor would be the 2nd choice. Happy with 8/1 Rambling Light e/w though.
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Certainly the best card of the day, with plenty of decent races to get stuck into.<br>I quite like King’s Caprice in the 2.20, def has the form to win if fit enough, and it apppears to be a warm up for Jack Sullivan over what looks an inadequate test.<br>Very Wise looks big at 7/1 in the Lincoln trial with Speedy Sam the danger.<br>Maltese Falcon, even from his car park draw, may be good enough to hang on until the line in the sprint, and if all else fails, there is always Wild Pitch in the last, probably the best bet of the lot. Meets slightly better horses than lto, but the way he slaughtered them sugggests he should be up to it.<br>
It is an excellent day .. I’ve just priced up 5 races, I’ve not had a bet yet, going to see what the prices are on Betfair near to the off.
Good Luck All !!
<br>Maltese Falcon has been taken out of the sprint unfortunately.
There’s a donkey in the last that wasn’t expected to do too much by his owner and trainer from his revised handicap mark after a three month break – until he worked better than ever on Thursday morning and then tried his best to unseat said trainer on the way back from the gallops. The top weight looks the form pick, but if we can get the run of the race – he needs to be travelling close to the lead – then Salute might once again reward each way support on his favourite track.
AP
It really is a good card today, personally I much prefer Lingfield, but there’s only a fortnight to wait for their big AW day!
In the Listed race, I can see Party Boss trying to make all. I’d love him to win, but I’m scared of Jack Sullivan even over a sharp trip. If he is close to his best, imo JS will be too good for these. Head says no bet, heart says back Party Boss to make all.
I’ll be kicking myself if My Paris wins the Lincoln trial. I fancy him, he’s well weighted, & ran OK when favourite for this last year off an 8lb higher mark. I’ve been put off him by K.Ryan saying he’s quite not match fit, & I’m guessing they don’t want him to get a penalty for the Lincoln either. Very Wise probably needs a penalty to get in the Lincoln, so I guess he’ll be trying, so I’ll stick with him.
Imo Maltese Falcon would never have lasted home over 6f here, so in a way it’s a shame he’s a non runner (if that makes any sense). I’ll go with Ajigalo, who’s back to down to 6f & has come down in the handicap a little.
I think Alan’s horse Salute is running in the last, so good luck to the owners for later. He won well last time, but he’s up 10lb last two wins & has been off for a couple of months, instinct says he may be up against it. Would think he’d get an easier oppourtunity as the season goes on. Nawamees has a terrible win record but I quite liked the look of him. You could see Ryan Moore having a few winners today.
I was wanting to find something to take on Ektimaal with in the 2.55, but couldn’t find anything. Gifted Gamble probably has the ability, but he’s not one to have complete faith in. So Ektimaal to complete a four timer.
Not sure about the other races. Will be interested to see Whodunit run in the first maiden. He’s not a betting proposition, but I’m sure he must be better than his Lingfield run, he quite well bred.
Clearly, AP, Salute has thoroughly enjoyed his racing and I’ll be watching carefully. Thanks for sharing the information.
I’m keeping my powder dry for Monet’s Garden and Jaunty Times on Wednesday, (which will make or break the week), but I suspect that Jane Chapple Hyam’s Chief Commander has been set up for his race, (emptied quickly on the Fibresand LTO seemingly needing the race) and I wouldn’t be surprised to see Red Cape run a bit better today.
Good luck all. Nasty local derby for me today.
I’ve had a close look and have decided as follows:
2.20 Woodnok<br>2.55 Lay Ektimaal all day long, Gallantry the value<br>3.30 Humungous<br>4.00 Head To Head speculatively<br>4.35 Ajigolo<br>5.40 Lay Wild Pitch<br>
(Edited by dandan at 1:14 pm on Mar. 10, 2007)
A great card for Wolverhampton and a top class ultra competitive sprint for Shoes to get his teeth into:biggrin:
Lots of runners who it is easy to make claims for hence 5/1 the field. I prefer class in these top class A/W sprints and I always start going from top to bottom to find a selection. After reviewing lots of races on ATR’s video race history – I like the look of Red Cape. He looks the one with most improvement and will be very hard to keep out of the frame. I was a bit worried about no certain front runner – but with plenty of dough available to the winner and placed horses I’m confident we will get a decent pace.
Ripples Maid will be one to keep an eye on in the paddock, she looked a little small last year, and will be interesting to see how she has fared over the last few months. She has tons of heart and plenty of pace, if she comes back fit she could be the one to make them all go.
(Edited by Sailing Shoes at 1:16 pm on Mar. 10, 2007)
Very well done with Border Music David; the much hated all-weather treated me kindly thus far, just need the favourite in the last to oblige for me
Good call with Rambling Light yourself. Forgive the aftertiming but I did back him myself as his form was of very similar standard to Channon’s and had the fitness advantage. No surprise if they drop that back in trip whilst I expect Channon will step the runner-up to 10f+.
Thanks LOL time for me to aftertime when I say I backed Border Muisc myself (one of my umm, disputed 4PP picks).
You looking forwards to the flat DJ?
Congratulations Alan!!!!!!!!
What a fantastic horse for you and thanks for sharing the info. took your advice and 20/1 yah beauty.:clap:
Regards
Kevin
Well done Alan. He looks rejuvenated. Should give a big thankyou to whomever it was that tipped Salute off you were thinking of sending him chasing.
<br>The funniest bit was watching Rab Havlin, who got off him to ride Pass The Port, tracking Salute into the straight thinking he’d go past when he liked – and Salute just ran away from him.
I wonder when a horse last completed a hat trick at 20/1 – and thankfully he was even bigger than that on BF.
Full credit to the trainer who had him spot on after his break.
AP
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