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Tomorrow will tell a bit more…but on better ground with better luck in running Melon might have won the 2018 CH…and he’s improving.
Too late in the season to teach a horse to jump fences anyway, especially slickly enough to win an Arkle, particularly so if they are lanky rather than a wiry neat shape, and have never been over P2P fences.Still waiting for Cilaos Emery to make an appearance before I put any money down on the Arkle.
Seems an open race but I have looked at adding in some restrictions when looking at this race. I’m avoiding any of last seasons novice hurdlers that contrasted supreme or ballymore. And also dismissing Lalor as I simply don’t like the horse and not from the best of yards and just doesn’t have the class to win a race if this Cali really if you ask me. I mean it’s hurdles form was nowhere near good enough to be an Arkle class chaser in my opinion.
Melon is suited to slower ground i think GAG, that’s what WPM has indicated and part of the reason why the big plunge came in the CH i believe.
I wouldn’t give up on either Lalor or Kalashnikov. One loss isn’t the end of the world, they can still win another race, festival or not.
Lalor with some nicer ground and with a better break in between his races could come back to his November form, which was brilliant.
Kalashnikov looks like he wants a more galloping track than Kempton, hence his good win at Newbury last year, and maybe a bit of softer ground also which it normally is come day 1 of the Fez with the watering.
Le Richebourg does look solid but i thought that race the last day wasn’t overly great, Us And Them is no Grade 1 chaser and went off hard enough to spoil VDR.
Cilaos Emery is running tomorrow. Happy days. Fingers crossed for a good run that enhances his chance for this.
I wouldn’t quite be as extreme as Potato, but i am quite a big fan of the horse.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Well if you haven’t written a poetry book about the horse then you’re not a fan by his standards
Delighted with that.
Poetry in motion lol
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Nice on Jack
I have a few quid at 12s and 14s myself at NRNB from a fortnight ago after hearing about them having him ready but waiting for soft.
I could still see him being a bit too inexperienced for the race (it’s a proper jumping test for novices is the Arkle) but he was always going to shorter up after today provided he won. Did it well. A live contender
Ruby sounded a little bit reserved about Cheltenham during his RUK interview i thought, although the usual pinch of salt was swallowed. G2 at Navan middle of next month looks perfect for a second run, 2 miles and Navan is a good test.
I was very impressed with the Jumping of CE, and the way in which he pulled away from a very decent field
I’m completely uninspired by this year’s Arkle. Cilaos Emery has to go to Cheltenham with a live chance. He jumped cleanly, he seemed to run well within himself and seemed very settled. He didn’t demolish the field but I don’t think he had to either.
I’m on Defi a Du Seuil at goods odds but there’s a real danger he doesn’t turn up here.
I’m quite baffled by this race and hope we see something more compelling in the next few weeks.
He looks a nice spot Jack, and he has to be a player.
I was there yesterday and he looked terrific. Good luck
I have every confidence he’ll be the best horse in the race. My worry would be his lack of experience. It’s a pity the ground left him pretty rushed.
I suppose Lalor is relatively inexperienced chasing-wise as well.
I was never worried about Dynamite Dollars.
Kalashnikov is a danger with his very good Supreme run. Though his form doesn’t look fantastic last time, losing to DD getting 5pds, he has ran twice Right Handed in his career, and guess what? Lost. Might be absolutely nothing but i will fear him.Paloma Blue, who i fancied for DRF, probably could do with another run for me. I do think his jumping will steadily improve with racing.
All of those have had 3 or less runs, so really CE isn’t too unexperienced to beat them.
Le Richebourg is the issue, as he is vastly experienced and performs just like that. He rarely makes an error and brings a strong level of form, without being amazing. He’s a beatable Arkle favourite i have no doubt, but, i wouldn’t be surprised if it’s Punchestown where CE beats him and shows he’s the better horse. The good to soft might not be 100% to his liking on day 1. He’ll be fine on it, but maybe it’ll just give the others a small bit more of a squeak.
Hope i’m wrong of course….
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Cilaos Emery could be very good but his form is flattering for me. Especially the Punchestown G1 win a few years back, Melon & Pingshou cut each others throats almost like last years Arkle. The 16L fifth in the Supreme would concern me, might not be home at the track and could prefer a RH track like Punchestown.
Lalor is one to take on, i don’t believe that debut chase win for all it was very impressive.
Le Richebourg has jumped, travelled and won nicely twice at Grade 1 level but both times he’s beaten Us & Them.
Us & Them for me is a G3/handicapper type, so to me he’s not beaten a true G1 field yet, and Hardline beat U&T further than LR did and he then let that form down badly behind LBAR in the Flogas. Think he wants quick ground also and the ground will be at least heavily watered to start on Good To Soft(Soft) which isn’t ideal for him either.Kalashnikov won nicely first few starts this season and then was very disappointing behind Dynamite Dollars at Kempton, but going RH on a sharp turning track on quick ground isn’t his bag. Time and time again Festival form stands up for the following years races and his run in the Supreme after a gruelling Betfair was good. He could prefer slower ground but as above, it’ll be heavily watered to give GS ground which should be fine and back on a left handed galloping track he’s the one to give the fav the most to think about. Hopefully runs very nicely at Sandown tomorrow.
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