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I read it on line but for the life of me cannot remember where, may have been twitter! Came str8 on to let you know but this new system has screwed me, I just don’t have a scooby how to do anything, the old format was so much easier
One week to go and still we’re none the wiser about so many horses actual targets,particularly Willie Mullins stars.I would hate to have backed Vatour for anything Ante-Post as he could be going anywhere.
Vautour has been going nowhere bar the JLT or a long time, bar something prevents Un De Sceaux from running in the Arkle. If Un De Sceaux is fit and well, there’s absolutely no chance Vautour will run in the Arkle, and he won’t run in the RSA.
Check out this Roi Des Francs Gord, on him at 12/1 or the Martin Pipe, has come the same route as Don Poli but isn’t half as lazy as next year’s Gold Cup winner
I have finally got round to the Grand Annual and I have taken 18s about Eastlake :-). Horses running down the field the previous year and he has the required course form as well as being owned by JP
One week to go and still we’re none the wiser about so many horses actual targets,particularly Willie Mullins stars.I would hate to have backed Vatour for anything Ante-Post as he could be going anywhere.
How the **** do I highlight just the horses name?? and why do I need to know I have edited my last post 4 times now??….I dont!
**** sake Its highlighting everything now and that bloody edit thing is jus makin me look a T*at!!
Just select the horse’s name and once you have selected only the name you click on the b button on the left side of the text box to get “Faugheen slams The New One
”Agree that the edit list is messy. Should just give the last edit in my opinion.
I’ve gone for a Mugs Double on Ned Buntline and Ned Stark at 10/1 each. To hell with this studying malarkey.
Gord, just noticed there’s a keep a log of this edit box, under the reply box. Take the tick out and you should be rocking and rolling.
I’ve tried a few edits and notice that the ones made with the box ticked stay there but those where it was removed don’t show. Looks like you have to uncheck the box every time you edit as the tick seems to return by default?
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
I cant see the bloody tick Steve never mind the bloody edit box……
The New One beats Faugheen easily!! Testing,testing
Well played Steve…Now how to deal with this stupid ****** edit malarkey!!
Sorted Steve..Thanks for yo help pal.
This forum is beginning to take shape again now someone has been so kind to actually educate those of us who aren’t of the analytical mind shall we say!
Cheltenham 2015, here we come……
Biggest Certainty of week…The New One
The Strictly on form lucky 15…The New One 3/1, Dodging Bullets 4/1, Don Cossack 4/1, Many Clouds 8/1.
Handicap snip Chaser….Shutthefrontdoor 14/1,should be in Gold Cup.
Handicap snip Hurdler….Un Atout 25/1 Coral Cup, Regal Encore 10/1, Pertemps.
Gold Cup Dark horse….Houblon des Obeaux 66/1 e/w Hennessey form solid.
Laid out all year….Ned Buntline 10/1 Grand annual, Get Me Out of Here 25/1,Coral cup.
Jonjo banker…Holywell 10/1,Gold cup.
Jonjo Dark horse…Sebastian Beach 12/1, Fred winter.
Jonjo,he’s done nothing all year…Taquin de seuill 10/1
TAPK’s Ante-Post Price busters….Vibrato Valtat 20/1 e/w, Dodging Bullets 40/1 e/w Holywell 50/1 e/w , Saphir du rheu 33/1.
False favs…Aux Ptit Soins,Coral cup. Zarkandar, World hurdle.
Gordon Elliot best horse…No more Heroes
Alan King best chance…Ned stark 10/1 3m chase.
Paul Nicholls best chance…Southfield theatre 10/1 RSA
One horse from Mullins yard…Valseur Lido.
Lays..Un des sceaux, Silviniaco Conti.
Top Jockey…Bryan Cooper 10/1The Supreme hurdle 2m
This has always been a favourite race of mine and one I target months in advance.I wouldn’t put anyone off the joint 5/1 favs ‘L’ami Serge’ and ‘Douvan’,one of which has the form in the book the other a talkin horse but both will have their Ante-Post supporters clutching double figure prices.The horse I like is also Mullins trained but owned by JP Mcmanus an owner who likes a tilt at this so I’m pretty confident he’ll be trained for the race.
Alvisio Ville
is a big raw Grey but has scope in abundance,the 10/1 has gone and this fellow will be backed again.I’d like to see him go straight for a Grade 1 next like the ‘Delloitte’ at Leopardstown in February that would certainly bolster confidence.Of course ‘Douvan’ could take the same route but I dont see any similarity in profiles as ‘Douvan’ looks like a great lollopy galloper nothing like ‘Vautour’ for sure.
Selection-; Alvisio Ville 8/1
Edit,11/01/15
Douvan
,did what was expected of him at Punchestown yesterday and is now the 5/2 fav for this,short as it seems this fellow certainly has an engine and jumps well,he’s not the biggest horse in the world and has a definite dip to his backend but looks dont win ‘Supreme’ hurdles.
Edit,03/02/15
The ‘Delloitte’ on Sunday will provide us with a Cheltenham winner,I just hope its
Alvisio Ville
who does the business.trouble is its a race right bang in between the ‘Supreme/Neptune’ trip.
Edit,07/02/15
,Good to see
Alvisio Ville
stand his ground for the ‘Delloitte’,its a proper Grade 1 and this fellow is just that,still hoping he goes the ‘Supreme’ route…Better to drop back 2f than up into unknown territory of the ‘Neptune’ imo.
Here we go then and I’m sticking with what looks like an outsider on paper now in Alvisio Ville,since his ‘Delloite’defeat he’s drifted like a barge in the betting but that hasn’t put me off.I have to go with Shaneshill on the day though too both e/w of course.
Final Selections;- Alvisio Ville 25/1 down to 8/1, Shaneshill 16/1 both e/w
The Arkle 2m
No way could I take Ladbrokes 7/4 about this over-hyped ‘Un de Sceaux’ winning this,he’s Lay material.I can see him hairing off and falling early,Cheltenham will catch him out.I reckon ‘Vautour’ would be a far better proposition for this as he has everything ‘Champagne Fever’ has and more.
I rate ‘Gilgamboa’ as a serious Chaser and 12/1 appeals far more than the 10/1 about ‘Josses Hill,if ever a horse had bookies running scared its this fellow,he should be 20/1 for this.I thought ‘Vaniteaux’ was an ideal candidate for this but Nicky keeps finding one too good for him over hurdles,he could still surprise and turn up yet.My long term Arkle horse was ‘MTOY’ but injury has ruled him out of the whole campaign and he was my first Ante-Post casualty having backed him at 20/1 last year.
The horse that has really got his act together this season isVibrato Valtat
and at 20/1 looks a solid e/w proposition,he has Grade 1 form something the Fav hasn’t and he’s run around Cheltenham which is also bodes well,with ‘Ptit Zig’ looking all over a 21/2m sort the doors open for his stable companion here.No way will he go off 20/1 on the day.
Edit 03/02/15
, ‘Un des Sceaux’ sits Odds-on for this now and the race could cut up because of it,my fellow has been solidly supported into 14/1 and still looks a solid place bet,anything happens to the Fav and
Vibrato Valtat
will trade single figures.
Edit,07/02/15
,
Vibrato Valtat
keeps delivering,he ticks every box for the Arkle and trades as low as 7/1 now after cruising round Warwick today.Even money was Xmas!
Selection,; Vibrato Valtat 20/1 e/w
Again I’m sticking with my original Ante-Post selection Vibrato Valtat and hope for a place at worst,I’ll give an e/w shout for Sgt Reckless at 20/1 too,he’ll love this ground and handles the course well.
Final Selections;- Vibrato Valtat 20/1 AP and Sgt Reckless 20/1 both e/w.
Festival Chase 3m
TAPK confidently put up ‘Holywell’ for this last year at 16/1 knowing he was improving faster than the handicapper.I generally look for an improving handicapper whose mark is lenient for this, ‘Mon Parrain’ was such but the man with the heavy Pen has his measure now,I also like his stable companion ‘Just a Par’ and can see both running,at 20/1 both appeal as e/w players however if there’s a horse being trained specifically for this it has to be
Our Father
,connections generally have one ready for this and at 16/1 I’m happy with this progressive Grey.
Selection,; Our Father 16/1 e/w
Lost on ‘Our Father’ Ante-Post and backed ‘Shutthefrontdoor’ NRNB,today I’m all over my old pal Cape Tribulation at 40/1 and 33/1,he’ll love the conditions of this race imo.
Final Selection;- Cape Tribulation 40/1,33/1 and 6’s to 5 places.
Champion hurdle 2m
The Professional bet for this was taking the 6/1 about
The New One
after his hard luck story last year,he’s 5/2 now and is still the horse to beat.’Faugheen’ hasn’t met anything like Twisters Charge and will set the race up for last years 3rd.I am however looking for an e/w shot who’s over-priced and that is exactly what
Rock on Ruby
is at 20/1.Had there been a 21/2m hurdle race he’d be fav but this past winner still has ability and I reckon connections will take their chance in this rather than trying the 3m world hurdle route.Common sense tells you that the trip is crucial and 3rd in this is still worth £15k more than 3rd in the World hurdle.
Edit,18/01/15
After yesterdays less than inspiring performance from ‘The New One’ many judges thought that exposed his limitations.I dont,I still rate him as the horse to be on and now that ‘Rock on Ruby’ is not declared I have taken the 7/2 about Twisters horse,he’s the one to beat imo.
Edit,03/02/15
, My e/w selection ‘Rock on ruby’ is taking the World hurdle route and certainly adds spice to the field.I have now gone in hard on ‘The New One’,his form with ‘MTOY’ makes him a serious player and in some ways will appease the defeat of Hendersons smart horse if he can win this year.Nigels horse is my strong fancy for this and certainly my day 1 banker.
Selection,;The New One 3/1
My banker of Day 1 is ‘The New One’ 4/1 and I’ve done ‘Vaniteux’ e/w at 40/1 too.
Final Selections;- The New One 4/1 and Vaniteux 40/1,28/1 e/w.
Mares hurdle 3m
I’ve said it for sometime now that
Annie Power
is the new ‘Quevega’,I thought she should have run in last years renewal of this but she certainly didn’t disgrace herself in the World hurdle.Being owned by the Ricci’s it wouldn’t surprise me to see her in the World hurdle again and the 20’s on the machine is massive for what is a 5/1 shot in reality.At even money for this now I wouldn’t touch her particularly as she is trained by jump racings equivalent to Sir Michael Stoute,a man who wouldn’t tell his own Mother.
Edit 03/02/15
, I still believe this is the wrong race for the mare,she is a serious World hurdle horse and 16/1 is massive.
Selection,; Annie Power,Evens, No Bet.
Cant oppose Annie Power,if she’s 100% she wins.
Final Selection;- No bet
Good luck this week Gord………….you’ll need it, I’m on your 2 in the first haha
And you too Bob,we do love the challenge though.
National hunt Chase 4m
3/1 about ‘Don Poli’ is a joke,he is an RSA horse so wont be running in this,20/1 about ‘The Tullow Tank’ is too as he wont turn up either.My idea of the winner is
Southfield Theatre
,he’s a tenacious stayer who will keep finding and even though he too is good enough to run in an RSA I see this a more appropriate target for Paul Nicholls horse.
Edit 03/02/15
, I see ‘Pricewise’ has gone for my selection here..In the RSA itself,he’s a serious player in either.One who also could run here though again seems too good is
Rule the world
.Oh the merry go round of Ante-Post.
Selection,; Southfield Theatre 14/1 e/w.
Lost on ‘Southfield Theatre’ Ante-Post but today am all over ‘Very Wood’ at 4/1.
Final Selection;- Very wood 4/1.
Novices Handicap Ch 21/2m.
The horse I’ve selected for this looks a proper 21/2m sort,he ran ‘Stellar Notion’ close at Kempton and even though the winner looked the better horse I have a sneaky feeling the placings could be reversed at Cheltenham.
Selection,; Knock House 16/1 e/w.
I still think ‘Knock house’ has chances but also fancy ‘Killala Quay’ today.
Final Selections,- Knock House 20/1,16/1 e/w and Killala Quay 16/1 e/w.
Day 2,
Neptune hurdle 21/2m
Tricky,tricky,tricky this one.The obvious horse for this is
Shaneshill
and at 10/1 he’s worth the risk, target wise.He met a good one in ‘No more Heroes’ and I hope that fellow goes for the Albert Bartlett.I cant see ‘L’ami Serge’ taking this route but ‘Douvan’ could easily step up in trip.I do believe the talkin horse ‘Tell us More’ is definitely being targeted solely with this race in mind and saw an unfit beast the other day get beat.I’m certainly not as confident as some about this fellow as I much prefer form in the book for a Neptune sort so my tentative selection is Willies Wylie horse.I’m not a ‘Parlour Games’ fan at all even though connections rate him highly.
Edit 07/02/15
,Money talks and Willie Mullins stable are shouting
Alvisio Ville
for this,20/1 was freely available and now he’s 7/1.TAPK has missed the boat for this but still sails first class on the next one out having grabbed 10/1.I rate this horse highly and expect Champion hurdle quotes after tomorrows ‘Delloitte’ romp! <!– s:wink: –>
<!– s:wink: –>Selection,; Shaneshill 10/1 e/w,Alvisio Ville 10/1 e/w
Having lost on both ‘Shaneshill’ and ‘Alvisio Vill’ Ante-Post and not backing ‘Nichols Canyon’after his ‘Delloite’ victory,a race that throws up many Festival winners I’m taking a chance on a very unexposed sort from Rebecca Curtis yard.
Final Selection;- Beast of burden 12/1 e/w.
RSA 3m
Another fav race of mine and again the old will he/wont he run in this? question surfaces but at 25/1
Rule the World
is the over-priced horse of the race,his form is that of an RSA horse and potential Gold cup horse so I’m on e/w at the moment keeping my fingers crossed.My main fancy for this ‘was’
Saphir du Rheu
16/1 but he’s still a great big baby and needs to grow up fast if he’s even going to line up,his jumping is good but he cant find a leg when he needs one and that concerns me,I haven’t lost faith in him yet though.Another horse I’ve been lucky with is
Whisper
but I have taken 33’s about him winning the World hurdle a while back so I’d prefer him not to run in this.’Coneygree’ is another ‘Carruthers’ a grand sort but not an RSA horse,’Kings Palace’ is too short for what he achieves he let his supporters down at last years festival and I dont trust him.Anyone who’s got double figures on ‘Don Poli’ will be sitting comfortably knowing he is a proper RSA horse too but at the prices I’m going to have a sneaky tilt at
Rule the World
to make up for my dissapointment in ‘First Lieutenent’ getting beat in this.
Edit 15/01/15
Big day tomorrow for
Rule the world
,2 circuits of Naas will decide whether my RSA horse takes this route or the JLT.Anything other than a victory I’m afraid just wont do against these.
Edit,03/02/15
,this is still a tricky one,I have usually nailed my colours to the mast of one by now but am finding it harder than normal this year.I’m still tentatively siding with
Rule the World
.
Selection, Rule The World, 50/1,25/1
.
I was all over ‘Saphir du rheu’ for this and we all know what happened there but I’m confident in Pauls ability at identifying an RSA sort and like his run in last years ‘Pertemps’.
Final Selection;- Southfield Theatre 10/1 8/1 e/w
Coral cup 21/2m
I’m waiting to get a price on
Get me out of here
for this,for some strange reason he’s not been quoted in any lists and yet I’d make him a 10/1 shot now.I’m reliably informed he’s in good order so I’ll just sit and wait,patience is critical at this game.I will say ‘Bayan’ the current fav is now in the grip of the handicapper so cant put him up for Ante-Post purposes,’Activial’ is the dark horse here at 14/1.
Selection,; Get Me Out Of Here.
Lost on ‘GMOOH’ Ante-Post but like the Gigginstown horses here now.
Final Selections;- Un Atout 20/1 14/1 e/w,Marinero 16/1 e/w.
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