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Simply no way I can keep up to date posting my bets. Need to concentrate + time is of the essence today.
A number of lays though, and a few backs.
Awful start. Working Title won. One saving grace is that I laid him at 4.8 and he won at 8.6.
Well, my lays today were mostly good. I laid 2 winners – Bishops Court and Working Title. Everything else was comfortably beaten.
My backs were ABYSMAL. The only good thing I backed was Royal Vacation – and I only backed him for a place! 54/1 BSP. Awful. Bendomingo getting collared up the run-in was painful. God knows what happened to Jenkins. He’s won on both seasonal debuts, and been beaten on both second starts.
Still, I’m a decent amount up today courtesy of getting on MTOY + Silviniaco Conti at silly odds/place terms. I don’t even know how much – I think it’s something around £150. I’ll go through tonight and work it out after Newcastle (hopefully!) beat Sheffield Weds.
Have to start studying for tomorrow’s racing now…
How so?
Well yesterday was pretty good, but the Welsh National was a disaster of a race for me.
Firstly, I forgot to back Houblon Des Obeaux EW before the race. Far too much racing on and I got distracted. Bad.
Secondly, I laid Native River at 3.95. Nothing wrong with that, he was far too short IMO.
HOWEVER, as soon as Onenightinvienna was pulled up (RIP :( ), I should have traded out for a loss of around £1.50 on my Native River lay. I didn’t, and it cost me £28. Not backing Houblon EW cost me another £40-odd.
Then for the second day in a row I decided to have a football bet on the late game. On the 26th it was backing Newcastle, yesterday it was backing U2.5 goals in the Liverpool-Stoke game. Cost me a total of £50, which is ridiculous. My stakes should have been £5-10 instead of £30 and £20.
Anyway, for the 26th + 27th I made a total of around £160.
So let’s just say I’m sitting on £360.
Not much happening today. Had no inclination to study the jumps today given the inspections (Catterick’s off already, Leicester will likely follow).
But there are 3 I fancy at Leopardstown, and a lay at Lingfield.
Leop 12.15, Montalbano £21 1.87
If this wins, I’ll put the stake + winnings on VVM in the Xmas Hurdle, followed by the same thing on Carter McKay in the bumper. So basically a £21 Willie Mullins treble. I very much hope Valseur Lido wins the Lexus, as I’m on him at 16s for the Gold Cup, and I’d very much like a shorter price to trade my bet off for a profit. Nothing gets close to Thistlecrack.
As for the lay…Lingfield 3.30 I’ll Be Good, I’ll be either place laying or 4 place laying to win £21, so I should break even today at the very least.
Montalbano wins, so that’s £38.50 running onto VVM at 1.79.
Leicester’s on! So we can look for a few lays here.
Bit of a punt on Paddy’s The Deejay in the 12.55. Unless they’ve been playing games, I think he’s up against it. 1st time cheekpieces, a 5lb claimer + a career low mark, BUT a big drop in trip and he’s up against three decent looking rivals.
Lay at 4.2 to win £10.
First one beaten, despite being sent off 9/4f. Bizarre market move.
£369.60
(-£21 for Mullins treble, unsettled)
This looks a very hot beginners chase at Leopardstown.
Place laid Gwencily Barbas (sic?) at 3.3 to win £10
Vroum Vroum Mag does the business, so we’ve got £67 running onto Carter McKay at 1.51 in the 3.35.
Laid Don Poli in-running at 5.8 to win £10.
£388.60
Carter McKay, Judgement Day, Zarib + I’ll Be Good to come.
You can learn valuable lessons from my **** ups. Bendomingo – should’ve traded out at 1.17 odd for a guaranteed win. Native River – should’ve traded out as soon as Onenightinvienna was out for a slight loss. Zarib – should’ve traded out as soon as Master Dee messed up the last. Has cost me over £100.
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