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SELECTIONS FOR THE NH SEASON 2011-12

Home Forums Betting Chat – Bets & Tips SELECTIONS FOR THE NH SEASON 2011-12

Viewing 7 posts - 18 through 24 (of 24 total)
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  • #390929
    Avatar photoKINGFISHER
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    • Total Posts 1508

    I’ll play it by ear stakes wise as the day goes on but for now I’m on the first three in an ew trixie, and I’ve got 10/1 ante post on Magnanimity (EW 1-2-3)

    Go to Collect now Chelters,absolutely guaranteed to finish in the 3……….barring accidents! Good luck I’m with you to 2 places though!

    #390988
    Avatar photoCheltenhamSpecialist
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    • Total Posts 1968

    Thank goodness for Last Instalment who cleared all losses from the rest of February. Good win bet and doubled up EW (all up to win on Last Inst.) with On The Fringe who just scraped into 3rd place.

    Very disappointing ride again from JT, lay too far off the pace, left the horse far too much to do after wavering left and right trying to make up ground in all the wrong places. Whether he’d have beaten Salsify with a better ride is debatable but unless Nina gets the ride, I doubt if I’ll be on him this year. I can’t see Salsify win The Foxhunters either. I’m leaning towards Bradley for that race right now but there are a few UK contenders entered this week. Shelia Crow has My Flora down to run in a Hunter Chase at Ayr but she’s very much on a recovery mission after Newbury

    Last Instalment is a whole different betting propsition for The Festival and is probably the only potential winner we saw today. Looks the real deal despite a trip too short and having to make the running.

    Cash And Go’s run has to be ignored (injured and bad scope) and I doubt if we’ll see him in The Supreme.

    #391272
    Avatar photoCheltenhamSpecialist
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    • Total Posts 1968

    The Hunter Chase at Ayr offers the perfect opportunity for a free EW bet.
    The ancient Cloudy Lane is a ludicrous 2/9, although very usefulin his prime he hasn’t won since 2009 while the only other horse with a chance appears to be SPECIAL PORTRAIT, an 8-Y-Old with a very good record in Points, a course & distance winner and winning Hunter Chaser last season. He’s generally on offer at 5/1 although I doubt if any one bookie will take a big EW bet it should be easy enough to spread a reasonable sum across a few firms.
    My first try at getting a £100 EW on was refused and £25 EW accepted, I’ll try one or two of the betting shops in town

    #391350
    Avatar photoCheltenhamSpecialist
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    • Total Posts 1968

    All in all I managed to get £240 EW on but was it worth the effort going round half a dozen betting shops for £60 profit?
    Yes, but not for the £60 but only because I really couldn’t lose and could easily have won another £1200 with very little risk.

    #391543
    Avatar photoCheltenhamSpecialist
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    • Total Posts 1968

    GALWAY JACK

    is a confident selection for the 3.00 at Leicester tomorrow, I’d rate him

    the best bet of the Hunter Chase season so far

    . This highly rated pointer didn’t quite get home over 3 miles after setting a blistering pace when making his rules debut. He’s a bold front runner who jumps well, can sustain a relentless gallop and regularly sets best times of the day. He only just gets home over 3miles in points but the 2m4f tomorrow looks the ideal trip. From top handler Gerald Bailey he’s sure to win Hunter Chases this season, hopefully starting tomorrow,

    Top pointer MID DIV AND CREEP (4.35 Leicester) was unlucky last time out, ridculous odds on offer right now 16-1, very unlikely to be out of the 1-2-3

    The next three are all likely to go off around the 6/1 to 8/1 region, some caution is advised but I’ve put them in the order of preference in their respective races tomorrow.

    Far be it for me to encourage anyone to bet in a handicap but winning pointer PRETTY PENNY, who was thrown in at the weights on her handicap debut at Plumpton and won like the good thing she appeared to be, looks equally well in at Leicester tomorrow . She’s gone up to an OR of 79 from OR70 but still looks thrown in at the weights. Previous to her Plumpton win she’d beaten Where’s My Slave a head in a point, his RP rating was 111 and his OR hurdle ratings have fluctuated between 94 and 106 so her 79 looks a stone or so too little.

    TOFINO BAY. (3.05 Clonmel Tomorrow) This is a lovely horse, one I always expected great things from but he’s not had a chance to fulfil his promise due to a catalouge of problems. His recent comeback run after a long absence, over a trip too sharp, showed he retains at least a large part of his undoubted ability. Tomorrow’s trip and going should be ideal, he’s surely worth a small EW interest

    SPELLCHECKER (Musselburgh 4.15) is a sporting EW against the two favourites, both of whom have major question marks against them. Multiple Point winner Simonsberg has a dire record of non-finishes over Regulation fences and the formerly useful Silverburn is knocking on and hasn’t run for nearly two years and hasn’t won since 2008.

    #393923
    Avatar photothehorsesmouth
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    • Total Posts 5577

    As an expert on hunter chases and pointers CS, what are your thoughts on Boxer Georg’s chances in the Foxhunters at Cheltenham. Does 20/1 seems a bit big :?:

    #394065
    Avatar photoCheltenhamSpecialist
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    • Total Posts 1968

    As an expert on hunter chases and pointers CS, what are your thoughts on Boxer Georg’s chances in the Foxhunters at Cheltenham. Does 20/1 seems a bit big :?:

    He’s not a horse I like, his wins to runs ratio is very discouraging, he’s older than I like for this race and I’m not a fan of Patrick Mullins as a jockey, especially at this level.
    Not for me.
    That said the form of his recent win is looking better after Zardsky’s win, my first nice touch on this year’s hunter season, Both Zardsky and the fourth Gold Ducad went into my notebook after that race, both were unlucky in the later stages, I feel Gold Ducat even more so than Zardsky and IMO is a "must" next time out.

    I’ve been taking a break, my form is no better than so so, lots of seconds but the end of February onwards is where I have my biggest bets, especially after the first few Hunter Chases have been run and there’s some lines to form between the established Hunters and the new up and coming pointers.

    Tomorrow’s Hunter chase looks between SESSION AND RESSION and STAR ROYAL, top Irish Point form Vs Top UK Point form, should be very informative

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