The home of intelligent horse racing discussion
The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Savills Chase 2020

Home Forums Big Races – Discussion Savills Chase 2020

Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 54 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #1512707
    darren83
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6152

    DELTA WORK 5/1

    Fine record at track and as we know always need 1st run back and much better be coming from him on 2and start

    #1512709
    greenasgrass
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3629

    Two good points Darren. Agree he’ll likely come on a lot. He likes decent ground doesn’t he? Though it usually is at Leopardstown so probably not too much of a concern betting this far in advance.

    Also, if Henderson starts crying that the ground is too good, too soft or too yielding, or that there will be actual G1 horses in opposition, Champ will be pulled out and that’ll be one less to beat.

    #1512715
    jackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2947

    Can see the view Dazzler, i didn’t think there was much value in the race at all, espcecially with the possibility of Hendo sending 1 over.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1512738
    Venture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 17198

    Delta Work for me too at this stage, 5’s looks very fair.

    Not went in yet, I’d love to see 6’s, but 5’s still nice.

    #1512768
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2557

    Was hoping to get a better price this far out on minella indo

    Very stingy price

    #1512796
    darren83
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6152

    Bob the nice folks at ladbrokes go 6/1 so place bet there also gave me a price boost online so on him at 13/2

    #1513411
    buckers
    Participant
    • Total Posts 574

    Delta Work for me as well. I think that it’s between him and Minella Indo, but Delta Work looks the value to me.

    #1514133
    Autumnal
    Participant
    • Total Posts 341

    I would favour Minella Indo here, but I’m going to take a chance on Acapella Bourgeois at 50-1 ew.

    I can’t sit here and say he’ll win, but I can see him getting competitive.

    #1514492
    Venture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 17198

    Acapella an interesting shout Autumnal, always had a soft spot for him.

    Finally crumbled with Delta Work

    Delta Work 6’s

    #1514550
    waroftheroses
    Participant
    • Total Posts 36

    It doesn’t look like Champ is running here now.

    #1514557
    Cork All Star
    Participant
    • Total Posts 675

    According to Henderson, Champ is schooling brilliantly but is not ready to run. What a surprise! I never believed he was going to send the horse there for his first run.

    #1514566
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2557

    Yeah nicky just isn’t that adventurous

    #1514568
    The Tatling Cheekily
    Participant
    • Total Posts 396

    Henderson has to be on a wind up surely. Fit, well, healthy, course will suit, trip will suit, ground fine…….no not fair on the horse, this Grade 1 race is the wrong grade for this Grade 1 winner! Whats going on? :wacko: :wacko: :wacko:

    #1514846
    jackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2947

    No Champ + Joey speaking of Fakir D’Oudairies stepping up to 3 miles….50/1 seems a fair price.

    There’s no doubt he has to step up in a lot of ways to be competitive. I’ve never had a doubt about him being a stayer and he has stayed 2m4 on heavy already in his career. My worry would be is he actually anywhere near good enough. 50/1 seems fair to find out though.
    He’s always been said to stay well, and he’s always run his best when the race has been a test of stamina.

    Depending on which side of the fence you sit on, he might have had Samcro beat at Fairyhouse. Samcro obviously had to concede 8pds that day, but it could be argued Fakir has proven he’s progressed enough by running close at Chelt when making an error late on. 16/1 vs 50/1. The same can be said about Melon, he was beaten too giving 8pds.

    If i am right with my judgement i think Fakir has more improvement by stepping up in trip than Melon especially.

    His current mark of 160 doesn’t leave him with tonnes to find on the main challengers here, for all i would be lying if i said i thought he was a 170 horse.

    I really like Minella Indo, but at the price i have to say he has to still prove himself. Kemboy hasn’t run the same in over a year, was Percy taking advantage of fitness LTO? Delta Work arguably the most solid of them all from the top of the market IMO. 6-1 not the worst with Champ dodging.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1514854
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2551

    I’d be surprised if Fakir D’Oudairies stays 3 miles well enough in this league, if at all.

    Minella Indo or Delta Work I can see winning, so done Delta Work 5-1 ew.

Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 54 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.