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Monty’s Star at 33-1 looks a fair each alternative to the big guns, so he’ll do for me
I know he’s miles off those at the top of the market, but having an EW on Conflated
Former winner of this (poor renewal), and also The Irish Gold Cup here, but that’s a while back, and recent efforts not encouraging
If there’s one track I still want to bet him at, it’s Leopardstown, and I’ll take small encouragement from his run in The Ryanair.
Still, not getting any younger, and unlikely, but around 50’s, I’ll have an EW interest, hopefully on the day
Very interested in Inothewayurthinkin, and if he stayed around 33’s, I’ll add him too. It might just be Aintree for him, but o reckon he’s worth aiming at The Gold Cup
Edit – Started off at 66’s
Conflated 66’s EW
Galopin Des Champs will want to make it a test of some sorts
Fact to File may have more stamina than given credit for
a shame Corbetts Cross didn’t run here as I’d have fancied him
DEAD HEAT between the big twoCharles Darwin to conquer the World
On “form” it looks between the two, but there are some reasons they may not perform.
I expected to be on Galopin Des. Couple of days ago I looked at the betting and he was 7/4. Now odds-on. Can understand him being favourite, but not that short. Particularly as race times yesterday suggest the going is Good. I remember when people thought it was going to be Goodish at Cheltenham GDC drifted – seemingly not this time. Galopin Des has quite a pounding action and has never run on Good… And it places the emphasis on speed at the trip. So although the step up from the Durkan’s 2 1/2 should help; it may not be as strong a test of stamina that brings his very best. That said, the others are still behind his form.
Fact To File too isn’t certain to act on it. Never having raced on Good. Has a bit of a rounded action but imo not as much as his stable companion. If acting then the test of speed at the trip should be in his favour. In my 100% book I have Galopin as a fair 11/8 shot with Fact To File 7/4. So have taken a bit of around 9/4.
My bet to win most though is Inothewayurthinkin. He’ll need them to go a good pace to bring his stamina into play and am taking a bit of a risk with his ability to handle proper Good ground too. Although imo doesn’t have as rounded an action. He was way behind the two principles in the Durkan, but made a bad mistake and it was an inadequate trip. Possibly more to more to the point, Gavin Cromwell is imo in much better form now. Whereas some of Mullins horses have disappointed over Christmas. Only 1 win in over 30 runners yesterday alone.
Value Is EverythingInothewayurthinkin wants ground juice. Trainer says ‘the step back up to three miles will be a big help but he’ll definitely want ease in the ground.’ This could well be be a similar race to the Irish Gold Cup where GDC is the hare and the 2nd fav tries to pass.
Looking forward to this , GDC is shorter than i expected and it’s by no means certain he’ll reverse the form with FTF , my play at a huge price is Heart Wood , finished like a train last time so expecting the step up to really suit
Given the current mediocre form of the Mullins super stable I agree with the general tenor posted on here, to take the big 2 on at a price. I can see the logic for a punt on Conflated ,and the Cromwell horse but I am going to side with Gentlemans Game at 33/1 ew. The reasons are
1; He won at this meeting in 2022 after a 244 day absence, beating I Am Maximus by 8 lengths
2; he was only 4l behind Galopin in the Punchestown Gold Cup
3; His defeat of Bravemansgame in the 2023 Charlie Hall reads well as a piece of form , as BMG went on to finish 2nd in the King George won by Hewick, which was the Nicholls horse last decent run before his 2024 form slump.
He’s rated 9lb behind I am Max’ and FTF but with some of the Mullins hotpots running 7-10lbs below form , he has to have a squeak of making the podium.Most of these will have Aintree in mind and won’t want to be within 10 lengths of Galopin Des Champs or Fact To File at the line. I don’t believe that is the case for Heart Wood though and he’ll be my each way fun in what I don’t believe is as compelling race as the headlines have been attesting over the last few weeks.
Grangeclare West 40s EW
Not that I expect anyone to follow me over the cliff this time
The Durkan form took a bit with Spillane towers run in the KG , big day for the GC picture , hope it’s cracker
Leopardstown is home turf for Galopin Des Champs.
The more I know the less I understand.
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