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Seems like an awful drawback is your name is Sam in NH racing.
I think everyone would prefer it if Ruby was riding the horse but Sam WC aint so bad. He has the same 22% strike rate over fences as Ruby so he can ride a bit.
What puts people off is his style of riding. Him and those reigns flapping about has the punter in a panic at the best of times.
He may not have the composure of Ruby or AP but horses do run for him and very seldom do they end up on the deck.
If he can get Long Run jumping and he does so error free then there’s no Ruby is worth a stone comes into it.
Worst stylist ever was row row row your boat Paddy Broderick who incidentaly couldn’t read or write but by hell could that horse run for him.
If he’s on the best horse he’ll win, simple as. There’s a lot worse out there calling themselves professionals than Sam Waley-Cohen.
I sumply don’t like Punchestowns enough to trust him to win the RSA. He came to the fore when he won the Long Run hurdle but the 2nd Duc De Regniere and the 3rd Mobasher haven’t exactly been setting the world on fire since.
Big Bucks made mincemeat of him twice and his win over Tchos Polos this year reads no where near as good as Long Runs win over Tazbar. I honestly think Punchestowns is greossly overrated.
As far as fellow memeber Big Buck’s is concerned saying this is a two horse race is concerned I wish I had a fiver for everytime I’d heard that one.
The Reveley’s have never been great supporters of Cheltenham but they believe it’s the right place for Tazbar.
His 2nd to Long Run even giving him 7lbs would appear to give the horse no chance.
Don’t believe it for a minute. Tazbar dropped himself out of their race at Kempton, a course which simply doesn’t suit him. He took a lot out of himself to get within 4 lengths of Long Run late on in the race before falling away tamely. He’s won twice since and in his latest race which is probably a mile too short from him he absolutely hacked up.
The Reveley’s reckon he’s potentially a better horse than Cab on Target and now he seems to have found his way he’s far from being a 25/1 shot for this.
With a better run early on and over a distance I believe he needs every yard of, there must be a fair chance he could be the one to upset the apple cart.
Weird Al just keeps winning and beating everything that’s been put in front of him. He hasn’t stopped improving jumps for fun and his trainer is very confident he won’t be disgraced.
If Michael D’Hagenuet went straight here without a run it would send out panic signals that would make the ground tremble at Cheltenham. It must be unlikely but if he did it would change everything. Willie Mullins wouldn’t be sending him if he didn’t send out the right signals and he has jumped fences in France. If he was 100% fit and jumped I don’t think Puchestowns would blow wind up his backside……..that’s still a very big if at this stage.
Diamond Harry has a very high cruising speed, jumps well and is without doubt a very high class animal. Only fool would say he has no chance. He’s done just as much as Punchestowns over fences and I doubt if he was anywhere near 100% when winning the other day. His poor perfomance at Cheltenham last year came on the back of 6 consequitive wins which is one helluva lot of racing for any young horse. He had a pretty hard race against Bensalem last Janusary and was let down for a few weeks in an effort to freshen him up for Cheltenham but the way he ran suggested he’d had enough for one season.
He’s had one race less this season is a year older and that could make one helluva lot of difference this time round. Only a fool would say he had no chance.
I was listening to Davy Russell the other day and he pointed out very little was in the favour of Weapon’s Amnesty the other day. The ground was wrong and the trip but he still managed to finish 2nd. He’s a Cheltenham Festival winner. He’s Irish trained as is Pandorama and how many times have the UK punters assumed they have no chance only to be standing with their gobs shut while the Irish lift the roof of the stands?
2 horse race my ar$e. It may well turn out that way but right now any one of 6 could win the race which is going to be a lot more competitive in reality than may look on paper.
Well catch up in your own time!
On the day it seems like you’ll have six horses all approaching the last with a major chance.
Do me a favour.
Maybe I’ll be wrong, I am plenty, but there’s 2 high class novice chasers (to have run) in this field and I’ve little time for trying to force a 6-way dead heat.
Keep talking them all up but you still have to reach a hard decision, whether it’s february or march is a personal decision, is all.
As for the Irish, you’ll know it’s either Willie Mullins or none, doubt that will change this year either.
CAT AMONGST THE RSA PIDGEONS TIME?
Check the entries for Wednesdays "20% Online Discount Beginners Chase" (5yo+) over 2m5f
CAT AMONGST THE RSA PIDGEONS TIME?
Check the entries for Wednesdays "20% Online Discount Beginners Chase" (5yo+) over 2m5f
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I backed that thing today and see it won by half the track……..only bet it because it was fav and Mullins haven’t a clue how good it is though.
Mikael has had some very bullish reports. Entered at Fairyhouse on Wednesday. Surely they are aiming for The Festival now…what the point of running him on a Wednesday at Fairyhouse otherwise
- Total Posts 17716
Well catch up in your own time!
On the day it seems like you’ll have six horses all approaching the last with a major chance.
Do me a favour.
Maybe I’ll be wrong, I am plenty, but there’s 2 high class novice chasers (to have run) in this field and I’ve little time for trying to force a 6-way dead heat.
Keep talking them all up but you still have to reach a hard decision, whether it’s february or march is a personal decision, is all.
Stop acting like a fool mate you really do talk shyte at times. All I am doing is pointing out in the real world when it comes to novices at Cheltenham there is no such a thing as a 2 horse race………on paper they all look like champions but very often when it comes to the race and your 4 out with some unexpected villan 5 lengths in front of you hack cantering the arse falls out your world.
Pom Tiepy, What A Friend, Air Force One, Silver burn and Pipe’s Commercial flyer who had won 6 out of 7 were all high class horses when they rand and were expected to go close in the RSA and none did.
You look at the betting you look at the form and if everything goes to plan the fav wins……..unfortunaetly no one told HJ that today when his stuffed Zaynar.
So it’s not a two horse race it’s a one horse race if Mikael turns up
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Mikael has had some very bullish reports. Entered at Fairyhouse on Wednesday. Surely they are aiming for The Festival now…what the point of running him on a Wednesday at Fairyhouse otherwise
My worry would be is nothing will take him on and if he hacks up what then? Apart from the fact it will turn the betting on it’s head.
I’ve already backed him but I don’t know if I would if I hadn’t.
Would anyone?
Well Willie seems happy enough. Has fenced before and looks every inch a superstar last year
Mikael still available @ 14/1.
Have looked at the opposition next week, if he’s half straight he should win.
Even if you don’t fancy him for the RSA this looks an ideal opportunity to back him now then lay the bet off on betfair at 5/1 or so if he wins well and get a free bet out of it.
Seen the Kingmaker. Come to the conclusion that he can’t jump. He’ll make half a dozen mistakes and he’ll either be smashed or on the deck. Don’t think for a second Diamond Harry will be anywhere near fresh enough to win the R&SA. Just looks tired to me.
I hope Mikael hacks up because I’m seriously considering getting stuck into Long Run big style when the NRNB comes in and he should help with the odds. Mikael would definitely have to be respected but I couldn’t fancy him over the front two, he’s never run over 3 miles, Punchy holds him on hurdles form, Long Run has superior French form and both have achieved a higher level over fences to date, that’s without even considering his delayed preparation.
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