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December 16, 2004 at 09:18 #55332
Today’s qualifiers:
Sout 12.30 Extra Mark 95(+14) 10pts win3rd<br>Catt  3.20  Caulkleys Bank 117(+14) 20pts win unpl<br>Exet  1.10 Ile De Paris 133(+17) 10pts win 2nd<br>     2.40 De Blanc 150 (+26) 40pts win won 15/8
Stakes 80pts profit 35pts
(Edited by Artemis at 7:00 pm on Dec. 16, 2004)
December 17, 2004 at 08:48 #55333Today’s qualifiers:
Wolv 3.20 Sendintank 122(+13) 20pts win 3rd<br>Wind 1.00 Millenaire 143(+14) 10pts win unpl<br>     2.40 You’re Special 152(+20) 30pts win unpl<br>     3.10 Marcel 160(+15) 20pts win won 10/11<br>Uttx  12.50 Yes Sir 129(+13) 20pts win unpl
Stakes 100pts loss 62pts
(Edited by Artemis at 9:16 am on Dec. 18, 2004)
December 18, 2004 at 09:27 #55334As usual on a Saturday, there is a long list of qualifiers:
Hayd 12.35 Roman Ark 131(+16) 20pts win won 6/4<br>      1.40 Blue Americo 159(+15) 10pts ew felll<br>      2.10 The Villager 149(+13) 10pts ew fell<br>      3.15 Rebel Rhythm 137(+15) 20pts win won 4/5<br>Newc 2.50 Brave Thought 152(+21) 30pts win 3rd<br>Wind 1.55 Tresor De Mai 164(+14) 20pts win unpl<br>     2.25 Baracouda 189(+13) 20pts win won 8/13<br>Ling  12.00 Hammer Of The Gods 102(+18) 20pts ew 2nd 7/2<br>     1.05 River Biscuit 98(+15) 20pts ew unpl<br>     2.05 Jack Sullivan 132(+13) 20pts win unpl
<br>Stakes 250pts loss 95pts
Weekly Total<br>Stakes 730pts loss 213pts
Running Total(since Sep 23rd
Stakes 6,792pts loss 78pts (-1.1%)
(Edited by Artemis at 4:36 pm on Dec. 19, 2004)
December 20, 2004 at 08:45 #55335Today’s qualifiers:
Wolv  1.30 J R Stevenson 94(+11) 20pts win 2nd<br>      3.30 Stoic Leader 103(+19) 30pts win unpl<br>Fakn  1.20  Radcliffe 130(+15) 20pts win NR<br>Stakes 50pts loss 50pts
(Edited by Artemis at 8:42 am on Dec. 21, 2004)
December 21, 2004 at 08:50 #55336Some competitive racing today, but only two qualifiers:
Ling 12.50 Humble Opinion 96(+13) 10pts win won 1/2<br>Font 12.40 Gallery God 133(+16) 20pts win won 8/11<br>Stakes 30pts profit 20pts<br>At Lingfield, in the 1.20, Kingsgate Bay 100 and King’s Best 98 were rated clear of the remainder.<br>In the 2.50, Compton Drake 112, came out ahead of Atlantic Quest 110, Binanti 109, and Admiral Compton 109.
(Edited by Artemis at 6:16 pm on Dec. 21, 2004)
December 22, 2004 at 09:07 #55337Today’s qualifiers:
Ludl  1.40 Lady Zephyr 139(+15) 20pts win 2nd<br>Ling  1.30 Resplendent Prince 96(+12) 10pts win won 6/4<br>      2.30 Analyse 109(+21) 40pts win 3rd
Stakes 70pts loss 45pts
The competitive handicaps, as might be expected, often produce ratings that are very tight and give no clear qualifier. They are still of interest, so I’ve listed a few of today’s better races together with the ratings.
Ludl 2.10 Maxie McDonald 141(+16), Long Walk 140(+15)
Ludl 2.40 Bearaway 135(+13), Saafend Rocket 133(+11), Nagano 133(+11)
Ling 3.00 Smokin Joe 111(+13), Karaoke 111(+13), Northside Lodge 110(+12), Barry Island 109(+11), Barathea Dreams 109(+11)
(Edited by Artemis at 9:09 am on Dec. 22, 2004)<br>
(Edited by Artemis at 3:59 pm on Dec. 22, 2004)
December 24, 2004 at 17:22 #55338These are the qualifiers for Boxing Day, extracted from today’s Racing Post:
Winc 2.15 Bambi De L’Orme 152(+15) 20pts win unpl<br>Uttx  1.30 Allude 128(+14) 20pts win NR<br>     3.10 Polar Gunner 125(+18) 30pts win NR<br>MRas 1.25 Toulouse Lautrec 150(+16) 20pts win NR<br>Kemp 1.00 Ollie Magern 182(+21) 30pts win won 13/8<br>     2.10 Azertyiuop  193(+18) 30pts win 3rd<br>     2.45 Cigarillo 145(+17) 20pts win unpl<br>     3.15 Lustral Du Seuil 144(+19) 30pts win  unpl<br>takes130pts loss 51pts
Weekly Total<br>Stakes 280pts loss 126pts
Running Total<br>Stakes 7,072pts loss 204pts (-2.9%)<br>I have been putting together the basics of this method in one document which includes a few updates and changes since the thread started back in September. If anyone would like a copy, please PM me and I will let you have one.   ÂÂÂ
(Edited by Artemis at 5:54 pm on Dec. 24, 2004)<br>
(Edited by Artemis at 10:38 am on Dec. 27, 2004)
December 25, 2004 at 00:59 #55339I have been reading it again over the last few days Artemis, and i take my hat off to you mate. :)
December 26, 2004 at 16:20 #55340Thanks, phunter.
It is a fairly complete method which people can adapt to their own preferences. I was thinking the other day of the positive factors that I don’t include and it’s quite a long list.
For instance, I don’t do anything with trainers, and there are several statistics relating to them that could be used. Also, the RP signposts page is filled with data that could be incorporated into a ratings method. I have a limited amount of time, therefore I concentrate on factors which I feel are the most important, without over-complicating things. Other people might have different preferences, but we should end up with many common selections.
One final but important point is that my method doesn’t result in a tissue of prices to compare with the actual odds available. The main reason for this is that it’s too difficult to work out accurate prices without introducing a lot more information into the equation. The qualifying horses are invariably well fancied (and some would argue overbet by the time the race starts). You have to decide whether any horse that qualifies is an acceptable price and I cannot (as yet) come up with a logical set of rules to do this. For me, it is an intuitive process, as it is for many people. If this method can produce a small profit at SP using a fairly sensible staking plan(that doesn’t chase losses), I’m pretty sure that it can be improved upon by only betting when you feel the odds are favourable. <br>
December 27, 2004 at 10:48 #55341Today’s qualifiers:
Wolv  1.10 Il Pranzo 96(+13) 20pts win won 11/8<br>      3.20 Tokewanna 99(+15) 20pts ew 2nd 13/2<br>Kemp  1.35 Made In Japan 165(+19) 30pts win NR<br>      2.40 Almah 150(+14) 20pts win NR<br>      3.15 Oneway 170(+19) 30pts win NR<br>      3.45 Kelly 140(+15) 10pts ew NR<br>Ayr    1.30 Vanda’s Choice 154(+14) 20pts win unpl<br>      3.05 Broken Nights 135(+14) 20pts win 2nd
Stakes 100pts profit 13pts
(Edited by Artemis at 6:59 pm on Dec. 27, 2004)
December 28, 2004 at 10:08 #55342Today’s qualifiers:
Sout 11.35 Golden Dixie 100(+14) 20pts win unpl<br>Chep12.15 Blushing Bull 153(+21) 30pts win 2nd<br>      2.25 Carly’s Quest 150(+13) 20pts win 2nd<br>      3.00 Le Passing 151(+21) 10pts win won 13/8<br>      3.30 The Mick Weston 130(+15) 20pts win won 5/2<br>Leic   1.10 Nyrche 141(+13) 20pts win NR<br>      1.30 Tiger Frog 128(+14) 20pts win unpl<br>      3.40 De Blanc 136(+13) 20pts win unpl
<br>Stakes 140pts loss 44pts
(Edited by Artemis at 10:17 am on Dec. 28, 2004)<br>
(Edited by Artemis at 6:24 pm on Dec. 29, 2004)
December 29, 2004 at 10:59 #55343Due to a technical problem (USB failure), I will be unable to post until my laptop is repaired.
December 29, 2004 at 18:34 #55344The problem seems to have resolved itself after a lot of tinkering and fiddling about. <br>Today there were ten qualifiers producing 2 winners at 9/1 & 2/1, 3 seconds, 1 third, and 4 unplaced. Without giving details of ratings, the qualifiers were:<br>Locksmith, Lady Zephyr, Ulusaba, Ladalko, Noble Baron, Lutea, Family Venture, Kempsey, Shannon Arms, and Buy On The Red.<br>The returns were 95pts profit on stakes of 245points.
December 30, 2004 at 09:41 #55345Today’s qualifiers:
Taun 2.30 Senna Da Silva 130(+15) 10pts ew 2nd 7/1<br>     3.30 Quid Pro Quo 137(+15) 10pts ew NR<br>Ling  12.50 Tag Team 101(+15) 30pts win 3rd<br>     2.50 Analyse 111(+16) 20pts ew unpl
Stakes 90pts loss 62pts
(Edited by Artemis at 7:06 pm on Dec. 30, 2004)
December 31, 2004 at 08:41 #55346Just two qualifiers today:
Wolv   2.20 Secret Place  115(+18) 20pts ew won 3/1<br>Warw  2.40 Dungarvan’s Choice 151(+13) 20pts win fell
Stakes 60pts profit 52pts
(Edited by Artemis at 4:45 pm on Dec. 31, 2004)
January 1, 2005 at 13:13 #55347Late posting today because Racing Post not available until 9.30am. Six qualifiers:
Sout 2.40 Yenaled 120(+17) 20pts ew unpl<br>     3.10 Quiet Times 129(+20) 40 pts win unpl<br>Font 2.25 Brave Spirit 145(+19) 30pts win won 2/1<br>Chel 1.35 Westender 177(+15) 20pts win won 7/4<br>     2.10 Fundamentalist 175(+16) 20pts win unpl<br>    2.45 Quick 156(+14) 10pts ew   unpl
Stakes 170pts loss 25pts
(Edited by Artemis at 9:26 am on Jan. 2, 2005)
January 2, 2005 at 09:28 #55348Two qualifiers today:
Plum 2.20 Toulouse Lautrec 1269+14) 20pts win won 5/1<br>     3.20 Lorient Express 139(+15) 20pts win unpl
Stakes 40pts profit 80pts
Weekly Total
Stakes 865pts profit 109pts
Running Total
Stakes 7,937pts loss 95pts (-1.2%)
(Edited by Artemis at 9:01 am on Jan. 3, 2005)
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