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Anmaat for me, not an AP player but the 5s (various) have had a very small bet Ew. Will back again on day of the race market but my AP’s bets should come with a GOVT wealth warning
Just think he is solid and just got tired in the Tatts GC, goes on most goings and has course form, tough race which should be a crackerI did See the Fire. 7/1
Los Angeles could be beat for speed on a quicker surface
Anmaat and See the Fire for the forecastGaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026
See The Fire 🔥
for me too.
Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...Owen Burrows had recently stated that Anmaat would run if it wasn’t rattling fast ground. I hope they make the decision sooner rather than later, it’s pretty obvious what the ground is going to be.
How I see the Prince Of Wales:
Los Angeles has always seemed a 1m4f+ horse to me… I’ve backed him ante-post for the Arc, so am hoping he does not win today. Otherwise the Champion might be his Autumn target. Even if he won the Tatts Gold Cup last time, that was on softer ground than he’ll get today and over half a furlong further (more of a test of stamina)… And Anmaat looked to be going better a furlong out on that one’s reappearance. Did Anmaat need the run or is Los Angeles a fighter? Probably a bit of both. Am sure connections will make this a very strong pace, but even so I suspect he’ll be outspeeded by something. Especially if challenging wide – less likely Los Angeles will fight back. That said, I still make him favourite, just too short to take a chance on his stamina / worth opposing at the odds. My idea of his fair odds in my 100% book is 11/4.
Anmaat has found plenty in the closing stages before and has a good win/run ratio to suggest needed his return. We know he likes Ascot and only just beaten by Los Angeles last time. Has plenty of winning form further back in his form, but his recent improvement in the Champion and Tatts Gold Cup have both come on softer than it’ll be today. Had it not been for the ground I’d he’d have been a main bet. My idea of his fair odds is 4/1.
Map Of Stars is good, but is he good enough? Got close to Sosie (at levels) last time out… However, he did only beat Royal Rhyme 2 lengths that day. If Royal Rhyme was in this I’d expect him to be beaten further than 2 lengths. So Map Of Stars is imo flattered by his proximity to the Arc fav. That said, he is improving. Is another with a slight question mark on the ground – not run on it. Although is by Sea The Stars, a sire whose progeny usually like top-of-the-ground. The French Stable is in excellent form. Fair odds imo 5/1.
The other French horse Factor Cheval has an even bigger ground worry. Has never won on this surface (or as far as today either). Seems much more consistent on a softer surface. That said, beaten less than two lengths by Notable Speech in last year’s Sussex. Even on his best form shouldn’t really be good enough to win – although I said the same about Docklands! Fair odds 40/1.
Royal Champion won the Group 3 Winter Derby on the All Weather… And with a penalty imo comes out the best at the weights from a blanket finish of the Gordon Richards won by Al Aasy – when 4th. Good second in the Grade 1 Canadian International to Appleby’s globetrotter Nations Pride. Karl Burke has only had him for three starts win, win and that 4th. But even at his best shouldn’t be good enough to win and – recurring theme – not sure to be as effective on today’s surface… Fair odds 80/1
Even Ombudsman! Has won on the surface but his best start (last time out) was on softer in the Brigadier Gerard. But has a very progressive profile on a firmer surface too – suggests he’ll act today. Only second to Almaqam at Sandown but the time was so good! imo Strongly suggesting he’s much better than a Group 2 animal… And worth saying again one who’s improving and from the very much in form Gosden yard. Fair odds 11/2.
See The Fire comes here from a personal best. A Group 1 winning performance in the Group 2 Middleton over this trip – winning by 12 lengths. Albeit arguably no other horse ran to form, the time was nevertheless exceptional. Whether she’ll be good enough against the males – don’t know – but is improving. Progeny of her dam – International winner Arabian Queen – tend to improve with age. See The Fire should be suited by the likely strong pace. Fair Odds 5/1.
Continuous looks a pacemaker and as such was a deliberate “non-trier” in Ireland when doing those duties for Los Angeles in the Tatts Gold Cup. That said, this is too short for him and hasn’t shown his St Leger winning form (even over further) for a long time. Connections have imo ruined the horse in him helping others to show their best. Fair odds 400/1.
I’ve backed: See The Fire @ 6/1 and Ombudsman @ 13/2 with a saver on Anmaat @ 5/1.
…Not that I have been in form this week.
Value Is EverythingWell done Mark, great analysis. Helped me get the forecast…… only the forecast, should’ve had the TC as well.
At last a winner!
“I’ve backed: See The Fire @ 6/1 and Ombudsman @ 13/2 with a saver on Anmaat @ 5/1”.Couldn’t get a winner and now the first, second and third.
Value Is Everything
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