Pricesize

[Formath]

Lingfield 3.50 a class 4 hcap chase over 24f on soft. Prices shown are my ‘form’ ratings converted to ‘fair’ odds.

1. non-runner
2. 5/1 Time To Think, mare v males? weight? G?
3. 14/1 D?
4. 50/1
5. 22/1
6. ? (rated 0)(Moore top track trainer)
7. 22/1 D? G?
8. 11/4 Run To Fly (Bowen top on infineform)
9. 7/4 Tarquinius
10. 50/1 mare v males?

Just my opinion: Current market indicates one of No’s 9, 2, 8, 3 to win. 3 miles over 18 easy fences on soft where a critical factor may be weight and those favoured IMO are No’s 6 – 10. Tarquinius looks OK but has PU 3 of last 4 so needs the weight drop and 10lb claimer and has to act on the course. Run To Fly has good form but is lower class than most of the others.

[Formath]

Sandown 4.40 a class 3 5yo+ hcap chase over 24.5f on good. A tricky, testing track so weight has to be high for consideration given the D, No’s 11,12, 14 look to have an advantage. The current market indicates the wiiner to come from No’s 10, 5, 14, 4, 9. None have very recent form but in the past month Dont Tell Sailor, Inga Bird have the edge and consistency. looks fairly tight for theses seasoned campaigners so a bet might be 10 with 13, 14 as savers or coupled odds the last two.

(I have listed my ‘form’ ratings and my ‘fair’ odds calculated from converting them to prices)

1. 4 66/1 wt?
2. non-runner
3. 7 15/1 D?
4. 11 7/1 Mid Div And Creep, mare v males?
5. 12 6/1 Moleskin D?
6. non runner
7. non-runner
8. ? (rated 0)wt?
9. 7 15/1
10. 13 11/2 Dont Tell Sailor
11. 8 12/1
12. 5 33/1 wt?
13. 13 11/2 Reblis
14. 13 11/2 Inga Bird

[Author]

Posts