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National Hunt Chase 2020

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Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 92 total)
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  • #1477427
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15972

    Strange one for me this, but as Champagne Classic had become one of my biggest Antepost bets ever for Cheltenham, I’ve laid off for a relatively decent profit.

    After The Gold Cup, this is my biggest betting race along with The Kim Muir, so I’ve taken the money and ran, well at least till NRNB.

    I’ve banged on about Champagne Classic for three years now, but for a horse who’s been hard to keep sound, it just made sense to me.

    He’s still my idea of the winner, but I’ll happily bet him (hopefully) 7’s, 8’s NRNB, with the money I’ve just taken, with the security of that NRNB. If it’s lower than that, which certainly isn’t out of the question, then I’ll take that on the chin.

    There’s also the real possibility that he’ll head for Grand National. Elliott has obviously went to Cheltenham, en route to Aintree with a few, most notably Tiger Roll, but every horse is different, and who knows what the plan will be. There’s also the outside chance he could be RSA bound.

    Who knows, but I’m happy to sit and wait with an early profit.

    #1478523
    Avatar photojackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3923

    Happy to see Early Doors entered up and declared over 3m1 tomorrow at Punchestown.

    Besides Dickie Diver who is very unlikely to get qualified for this he looks the obvious JP angle.

    33s taken now.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1478537
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    Sam spinner out for the season

    #1478546
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15972

    Jack, going to join you with Early Doors, and hopefully it’ll be a similar plan as I did with Champagne Classic.

    #1478609
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9244

    I too done Early Doors. The run today was encouraging with a view to this I thought.

    #1478658
    Avatar photojackh1092
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    • Total Posts 3923

    Agree Mike the incident caused him problems and he finished off well enough. Didn’t need to win yesterday for me to remain convinced he’ll rock up here with a crack amateur on and go off single figures.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1479640
    Avatar photoGladiateur
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    • Total Posts 5912

    Mullins appeared to indicate that Carefully Selected will be aimed at this, although the RSA option will be kept open.

    #1479646
    Ray1891
    Participant
    • Total Posts 119

    I was quite suprised he suggested this is the target, He looks like he could win the RSA

    #1479651
    FinalFurlong91
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    • Total Posts 6657

    Didnt think much of his jumping

    Champagne classic would take half a length off him at every fence

    #1479685
    Avatar photojackh1092
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    • Total Posts 3923

    They are at different stages of their careers though. Classic has had a fair few more chase starts. Carefully Selected has a big engine + if going here will get away with jumping safer at the slower pace. Whether that means he’s good enough to beat classic or not is another thing. I personally think he very much would be.

    Yesterday’s run was all about the experience as he’s very light there. He did it well over a trip probably too short. Some have said the others didn’t try….Speak Easy was certainly trying before he fell and he’s a decent yardstick.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1479686
    Avatar photoMarkTT
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3036

    I wouldn’t want CS in front anywhere other than after the last as he’s made mistakes, looked ponderous and slowed into his fences when leading.

    I think they’ll go here now unless the RSA cuts up

    #1479698
    thewexfordman
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1200

    Carefully Selected is not yet eligible for this race I believe

    #1479705
    Avatar photojackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3923

    Needs a run over 3 TWM which is why the ten up and a few other races have been mentioned

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1480538
    Avatar photojackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3923

    A little blue on oddschecker for Early Doors. I’ve added another point on him. Personally think right now, he could be one of the best bets of the festival with a view to shortening up.
    Probably hasn’t the actual class of the other two but he has:

    Form at the track
    Qualified for the race
    JP owned- that i can see the only one that is likely to get there
    Likely to have a crack amateur on because of owner/trainer
    Qualified- Carefully Selected still needs to do that

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1480581
    Avatar photoKevMc
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    • Total Posts 1326

    Had been having a look at him myself Jack as i like the horse but isn’t staying the trip a large worry?

    #1480585
    Avatar photojackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3923

    Had been having a look at him myself Jack as i like the horse but isn’t staying the trip a large worry?

    I suppose it’s no certainty but he was staying on at Galway + more recently didn’t look a non-stayer over 3m1 when impeded badly?

    If it was a complete bog i’d worry more, but i’d like to think he’d be given a ride by one of the top amateurs probably DOC + produced at the business end if all went to plan. He might not win all the same as the front 2 are potentially very classy animals but the 33s just screams shortener to me!

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1480592
    Avatar photoKevMc
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    • Total Posts 1326

    Aye i can see DOC taking the ride and 33s is probably a bit big each way even with the distance concern.

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