The home of intelligent horse racing discussion
The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Melbourne Cup 2016

Home Forums Big Races – Discussion Melbourne Cup 2016

Viewing 17 posts - 1 through 17 (of 43 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #1265000
    Avatar photobotchy1
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6195

    Heartbreak City 25/1 E/W

    Interesting to see that Ebor Winner Heartbreak City has been taken out of the Ces in favour of this race.

    The original owners have sold a share of the horse to Australian Thoroughbred Bloodstock but interestingly have still retained part ownership of the horse. Mr. Martin is still in charge of the training.

    Australian Thoroughbred Bloodstock purchased and syndicated Jakkalberry for the 2012 Melbourne Cup. He ran 3rd, earning a massive $450,000 in prizemoney. They also syndicated Dandino for the 2013 Caulfield Cup where he ran 2nd, earning $375,000.

    #1267373
    Avatar photobotchy1
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6195

    Added Vengeur Masque @ 200’s e/w

    #1268771
    Avatar photojoliff
    Participant
    • Total Posts 350

    My old friend Heartbreak City is my hope for this, it’s a fiendishly difficult race to plunder but the way he bolted up in the Ebor suggests he has enough class to cope.

    #1268772
    Avatar photojoliff
    Participant
    • Total Posts 350

    Sorry didn’t realise there was already a thread for this by botchy, feel free to close and combine with that one….he also goes for HC so a good sign!

    #1268821
    moehat
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9338

    I’m already tuned into Radio Sport 927.

    #1269253
    Avatar photobotchy1
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6195

    No probs Joliff, i will add my original post to yours

    Heartbreak City 25/1 E/W

    Interesting to see that Ebor Winner Heartbreak City has been taken out of the Ces in favour of this race.

    The original owners have sold a share of the horse to Australian Thoroughbred Bloodstock but interestingly have still retained part ownership of the horse. Mr. Martin is still in charge of the training.

    Australian Thoroughbred Bloodstock purchased and syndicated Jakkalberry for the 2012 Melbourne Cup. He ran 3rd, earning a massive $450,000 in prizemoney. They also syndicated Dandino for the 2013 Caulfield Cup where he ran 2nd, earning $375,000.

    Added Vengeur Masque @ 200’s e/w

    Missed the cut by one, how frustrating. Does anyone know if the Aussie rules are the same as the Uk with horses missing the cut ?

    #1269360
    moehat
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9338

    Is it the barrier draw tonight?

    #1269371
    Avatar photobotchy1
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6195
    #1269395
    wit
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2171
    #1269518
    Avatar photojoliff
    Participant
    • Total Posts 350

    Horror draw for HC and also Wicklow Brave, probably doubles their odds of winning now.

    Therefore I’m going to jump ship to Almandin who although isn’t drawn much better in 17, it may give him a better chance than those +20 in getting position early on. Another thing is that he’s by Monsun who’s other progeny have a great record in this race – I also like the jockey booking of McEvoy who is bidding for a second success, some 16 years after his first!

    #1269519
    Avatar photoBigG
    Participant
    • Total Posts 13329

    Outside of the UK this is my favourite race. Last year I set the alarm to go
    off at 3.50, but I needn’t have bothered as once I started listening to the build
    up I didn’t shut an eye. Before the race I commented to Moehat, who I knew was also
    listening ……….

    ” Hi Moe, I dont know if you are going to listen to the Cup on Radio 5 live,
    but if you’re still about, you might like to listen to the commentary
    of the full meeting on an Aussie channel. The two guys who are commenting
    on it at the moment are a hoot. You can tune in at the link below if you
    want to have a listen.
    Good luck with you horses.
    Good luck with yours too Nathan, I see we’ve both got Snow Sky.

    https://radio.abc.net.au/stations/local_melbourne/live?play=true

    It was one of the funniest racing broadcasts I’ve had the pleasure to listen to.
    I don’t remember either of their names, but if the link is still working and you
    intend staying up, then do yourselves a favour and tune in. I hope they are back
    this year.

    As for the race this year, I’ve picked out a couple to give me a betting interest.
    GRAND MARSHAL ran in this last year, from stall 15, and finished
    21st. That doesn’t tell the story as he was midfield and moving up when nearly
    brought down 1 1/2f out. He’s mostly run in top races, but from distances from 7f
    to 12f. I’m not sure if there was design in that for this, but prior to last year’s
    race he only won one race that year, the Group 1 Sydney Cup over 2m. He clearly is
    in decent shape, winning the Mooney Valley Gold Cup just over a week ago, over 12 1/2f
    and I think the 40/1 is worth a bet.

    My other hope GALLANTE has only one win to his name in the past
    2 years, and it was the only time he tried further than 12f, winning the Group 1
    Schweppes Sydney Gold Cup (£663,000 to the winner) in April this year, and not unfancied
    at 9/1. He went off 14/5 fav in the same race as Grand Marshal last time out, but needs
    further. He is trained by Robert Hickmott, who won this with Green Moon in 2012. I think
    he is massively overpriced at 66/1.

    Drawn 2 and 9 only adds to their chances.

    G’day and good luck cobbers :good:

    #1269579
    moehat
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9338

    Think Gallante needs soft ground [according to a review I read] but I did back him just in case.I’ll try that station as well as Radio Sport. Still suffering from not backing the 100/1 shot last year [having opened an account just so I could have bets like that]. That and the fact that I clicked the wrong button today when only half concentrating on what I was doing, and ended up having a huge [for me that is] bet on a horse that finished nowhere in the bumper in Ireland [ouch].I’m trying to think of it as a learning curve :cry: Think the Godolphin horses might do it this year. And had to back Wicklow Brave even though the draw has scuppered his hopes.

    #1269580
    moehat
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9338

    Yep; link works ok. Listening to it now to get in ‘the zone’…ALas, now I’m retired I can no longer crawl into work on Tuesday saying ‘G’day’ to everyone [although I think the patients are grateful!]….and I have to still listen to Radio Sport for my yearly date with ‘Peter the Possum Man’.

    #1269596
    Avatar photoBigG
    Participant
    • Total Posts 13329

    You’re most certainly not alone in inadvertently backing the wrong horse Moe,
    I’ve been guilty of that too, and then you can’t not bet the one you intended
    to bet in case it wins….and then both lose :wacko:

    The ground is good at the moment, but a 30% chance of rain on Monday and 90%
    chance on Tuesday may soften it a little. As long as it’s no worse than good
    (not firmer) I think Gallante will be okay. Good luck with Wicklow Brave, you’re
    sure to get a good run with him.

    I’ll look out for Peter the Possum man, and you’ll just need to say G’day to
    the postie [/URL]

    #1269601
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6114

    Big Orange…

    …he’s the jaffa!

    #1269632
    Avatar photoBigG
    Participant
    • Total Posts 13329

    Just as long as he doesn’t get pipped Joe B-)

    #1269633
    moehat
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9338

    I’ve just added Exosphere [sp] to my ever growing list.Ticks a lot of boxes.

Viewing 17 posts - 1 through 17 (of 43 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.