Lucky 15’s – Profitable in long run?

[billion]

A super double at 79/1 and now you can take a bow as well.

Billy's Outback Shack

[Nathan Hughes]

Yeah well done Doug, pleased that Jimmy Fortune had a great ride on Charm School.

Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026

[douginho]

Cheers guys, how infuriating that the winning machine (Collateral Damage) thwarted Mia’s Boy! Not to worry, back in the black, and getting a few winners in now.

[douginho]

Sunday 8th November

Dew Drop Inn 1.00 Hereford (7-1) –

WON @ 9-2

Bernard 1.30 Hereford (10-1) –

Pulled Up

Laborec 2.25 Market Rasen (9-1) –

Unplaced

Strongpoint 3.15 Ffos Las (9-1) –

3rd @ 10-1

Return = 7.07pts
Profit c/f = 2.77pts

[douginho]

Monday 9th November

A very tricky day with limited each way opportunities! Which leaves me with:-

Pan American 2.05 Wolverhampton (9-2) –

Unplaced (4th)

Mister Potter 2.55 Carlisle (SP) –

2nd @ 10-1

Whipperway 3.05 Wolverhampton (7-1) –

Unplaced

La Pantera 3.35 Wolverhampton (8-1) –

3rd @ 13-2

The defeat of Mister Potter was a very sore one. He won the battle then lost the war!

Return = 3.35pts
Loss c/f = 1.38pts

[douginho]

Tuesday 10th November

Swansbrook 2.00 Lingfield (5-1) –

Unplaced

Its All About You 2.10 Exeter (SP) –

Unplaced

Farmers Cross 2.20 Sedgefield (SP) –

Unplaced

Ballinderry Park 3.10 Exeter (14-1) –

Unplaced

Least said the better I think!

Loss c/f = 8.88pts

[douginho]

Wednesday 11th November

Cape Kimberley 2.00 Southwell –

WON @ 9-2

Grand Article 2.50 Warwick –

Unplaced

Power Of Dreams 3.00 Southwell –

Unplaced

Eagle Nebula 8.20 Kempton –

2nd @ 7-1

Returns = 4.98pts
Loss c/f = 11.40pts

[douginho]

Thursday 12th November

Very poor days racing but I think these may go ok:-

Naomh Geileis 12.50 Southwell (15-2) –

WON @ 11-1

Jocheski 1.10 Taunton (7-1) –

WON @ 7-1

Carbon Hoofprint 1.20 Southwell (6-1) –

Unplaced (4th)

Tartatartufata 3.50 Southwell (7-1) –

Unplaced

Returns = 24.50pts
Profit c/f = 5.60pts

[douginho]

I have been having a wee look back at progress so far. Its quite strange statistically!

Some facts to date:
Amount of each way Lucky 15 bets placed = 13 bets
No of times I have had 1 winner = 4 of 13 bets
No of times I have had 2 winners = 2 of 13 bets.
No of times Selection 1 of the day has won = 6 of 13 bets
No of times Selection 2 of the day has won = 2 of 13 bets
No of times Selection 3 of the day has won = 0 of 13 bets
No of times Selection 4 of the day has won = 0 of 13 bets
No of times Selection 4 of the way has placed = 6 of 13 bets

Its very strange that all my winners have either been selection 1 or 2 of each day. Granted this is very good, but would indicate I am making errors in my selections of later races. I wonder if this is because I look at races in chronological order? Then again I have had 6 of my selection 4 of the day placed. Maybe its just a freak statistic at this stage.

Anyway, things are going as I hoped – even expected. I am just waiting for that winning treble (or accumulator) to get me well into profit. Meanwhile the odd winner and double are doing enough to keep me at break-even.

[douginho]

Friday 13th November

Whistle Blower 1.05 Lingfield (6-1) –

3rd @ 4-1

Notabotheronme 1.15 Cheltenham (10-1) –

Unplaced

Onthegoagain 2.35 Newcastle (5-1) –

Unplaced

Regal Approach 3.35 Cheltenham (7-1) –

4th @ 6-1

Return = 3.03pts
Profit c/f = 0.59pts

[douginho]

Saturday 14th November

Trumpstoo 12.50 Cheltenham (7-1) –

Unplaced

Breakwater House 1.45 Wetherby (5-1) –

Pulled Up

Zacharova 1.55 Cheltenham (SP) –

Unseated

Powerstation 3.10 Cheltenham (8-1) –

Unplaced

Poor day in all ways.

Loss c/f = 6.91pts

[douginho]

Sunday 15th November

Kyber Kim 2.20 Cheltenham (12-1) –

WON @ 9-1

Elite Land 2.35 Fontwell –

Unplaced

Freddies Return 2.55 Cheltenham –

Unplaced

The Gangerman 3.10 Fontwell –

3rd @ 9-2

Return = 9.63pts
Loss c/f = 4.78pts

[douginho]

Monday 16th November

Work commitments mean I cant research form or place bet as normal during the day tomorrow. Therefore I am placing tomorrows bet tonight at SP. This isn’t ideal as I have no idea of non-runners or general betting on the day. However, here are my selections based purely on my basic look at the racecards for Monday:

Amble Forge 1.20 Plumpton –

Unplaced

Smugglers Bay 2.40 Leicester –

Unplaced

Follow The Dream 4.30 Wolverhampton –

Non Runner

Palmetto Point 5.00 Wolverhampton –

Non Runner

Return = 1.50pts
Loss c/f = 10.78pts

[douginho]

Tuesday 17th November

As per yesterday I am posting up tomorrows selections tonight. And I hope I haven’t picked 2 non-runners again!

Cool Sands 12.20 Southwell –

2nd @ 9-2

True Decision 2.20 Southwell –

Unplaced

Pauillac 2.40 Folkestone –

Pulled Up

Megalo Maniac 3.20 Southwell –

Unplaced

Returns = 0.53pts
Loss c/f = 17.75pts

Its been a poor couple of days. Will be back to making on the day selections tomorrow.

[douginho]

Wednesday 18th November

Trafalgar Square 2.00 Lingfield (SP) –

Unplaced

Spinning Well 3.00 Lingfield (6-1) –

Unplaced

Woteva 7.20 Kempton (16-1) –

Unplaced

Egytology 8.20 Kempton (6-1) –

Unplaced

Loss c/f = 25.25pts

What a shocking day. Thats a terrible 3 days this week so far, need to get back on track tomorrow!

[douginho]

Thursday 19th November

Blue Dark 2.30 Wincanton (8-1) –

2nd @ 17-2

Carrickmines 3.10 Huntingdon (8-1) –

3rd @ 16-1

Cape Kimberley 5.30 Kempton (6-1) –

Unplaced

Beckermet 6.00 Kempton (6-1) –

Unplaced

Lets hope I can get back on track with these runners today!

Bit better today:-

Return = 3.35pts
Loss c/f = 29.40pts

[douginho]

Friday 20th November

Pass Me A Dime 2.50 Exeter (10-1) – Unplaced
Fiftyfive Degrees 3.00 Kelso (9-2) – Unplaced
Sirkeel 3.35 Kelso (8-1) – Unplaced
Premier Dane 3.50 Ascot (16-1) – Unplaced

Loss c/f = 36.90pts

[Author]

Posts