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Looking For Value

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  • #1256178
    Avatar photoPuttingTheWorkIn
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    • Total Posts 118

    How many times we have seen that one bet that jumps off the page, this system revolves around bets that stand out, be it distant travelled, one ride, trainers only runner. Its not an easy task, but I feel there is profit to be made if you keep your discipline and read correctly between the lines.

    Darren P Goodbody

    #1256179
    Avatar photoPuttingTheWorkIn
    Participant
    • Total Posts 118

    So we start off with a betting bank of 100pts, with 1pt representing £20 in currency.

    14.30 NEWBURY

    ALYDAY – Only Entry at Newbury

    Sir Michael Stoute has a 22% strike rate at Newbury in 2016

    Josephine Gordon has a 25% strike rate with the trainer in 2016

    Trainer has a 20% return in Handicaps in 2016

    ALYDAY : 2pt Win @ 7/2 (BOG)

    Darren P Goodbody

    #1256213
    billion
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4375

    Good luck with this system PTW – the blinding obvious for me is to often seen after the event but I do agree that now and again one simply “jumps off the page”.

    I shall watch with much interest.

    :good: :good: :good:

    Billy's Outback Shack

    #1257024
    Avatar photoPuttingTheWorkIn
    Participant
    • Total Posts 118

    Allday was very disappointing trailing in last..

    Today’s bet comes form Chester 2.15

    THE NAZCA LINES

    John Quinn has a 22% return when sending juveniles to Chester over the past five seasons 2-9.

    THE NAZCA LINES : 2pt Win @ 9/4 (BOG)

    Darren P Goodbody

    #1257441
    Avatar photoPuttingTheWorkIn
    Participant
    • Total Posts 118

    The Nazca Lines once more showed that Chester was a track that is far to sharp, could see a more better run at a undulated course in the future, Catterick maybe.

    One bet today comes at Ayr

    Richard Fahey sends dozens of horses out week in and week out, even though he is 0-5 at the course this year and only has a 12% return overall for the past five seasons, his second string here on paper should come on form debut run which saw her finish behind Asidious Alexander who went on to finish seventh in the Group 2 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes. That race though is working out not to bad, Hope Solo franked the form at Chester then went on to finish down the field to Miss Danvers at Newbury Weatherby Sprint. the third Turanga Leela recently won on the all weather and the sixth Laureate has improved by running second at Carlisle two weeks ago.

    TEMERITY : 1pt each way @ 8/1 (BOG)

    Darren P Goodbody

    #1257766
    Avatar photoPuttingTheWorkIn
    Participant
    • Total Posts 118

    Bets Placed : 6pts
    Returns : 11.55
    Profit : +5.55
    SR : 33.33%

    Darren P Goodbody

    #1257819
    Avatar photoPuttingTheWorkIn
    Participant
    • Total Posts 118

    Today’s bet comes at the Sandown night meeting and the 8.10pm

    GLORYETTE

    Ed Dunlop’s entry here has dropped another 2lb and looks well handicapped now to land a blow on his 6th career run, he has been beaten significantly on all of his starts to date, but has been tackling further distances and drops back to 9f for the first time. Being by Raven’s Pass this drop back should be a lot easier.

    GLORYETTE :1pt each way @ 13/2 (BOG)

    Darren P Goodbody

    #1258747
    Avatar photoPuttingTheWorkIn
    Participant
    • Total Posts 118

    Today’s selection comes from Brighton

    Chris Dwyer has an excellent strike rate with runners at the seaside venue over previous years with a 22% strike rate and 4-22 on his runners, De Sousa is booked to ride the entry for the only entry for the trainer at the course.

    VINNIEVANBAILEYS 14.20 Brighton

    1pt Win @ 10/3 (BOG)

    Darren P Goodbody

    #1258755
    Avatar photoPuttingTheWorkIn
    Participant
    • Total Posts 118

    I have an additional entry to put up here form the 5.50 Yarmouth.

    John Gosden sends just the one entry here this afternoon in HARTSWELL, the son of Nathaniel who had a winner at this meeting last week, the trainer has a highly respectable 26% win return over the past five seasons with a 38% at Yarmouth with his juveniles.

    William Buick turns up on two good rides for Gosden and Stoute this evening (Stoute runner Aflame 18.50). Buick’s rides to date are 112 (66.66%), Buick does not turn up here that often, all of the 2015 season just two rides and one win. Stoute has only sent one to Yarmouth tonight in AFLAME. but the trainer failed 0-8 last season here and has been a couple of seasons he has not really been subject to sending his entries to Yarmouth, so significantly it could win, but it looks like Buick has come for the boss’s mount.

    HARTSWELL : 2pt Win @ 13/8 (BOG)

    Darren P Goodbody

    #1260211
    Avatar photoAlexander
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1284

    Hi
    There is a form setup looking for value in handicaps (lowest rated best in )
    Alex

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