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Lincoln Handicap 2017

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  • #1288656
    darren83
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    BLAIR HOUSE 16/1

    Ran a very good race in a hot 1m2 handicap but think a strongly run mile is what he wants and Godolphin won race last year and think they do it again.

    #1289001
    Avatar photoTheo2013
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    • Total Posts 388

    Doesn’t seem to be many flat enthusiasts on here :negative:

    #1289050
    Avatar photobotchy1
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    • Total Posts 6563

    Doesn’t seem to be many flat enthusiasts on here :negative:

    We are too busy trying to get out NH losses back at the moment. Well i am anyway :yes:

    #1289057
    Red Rum 77
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    • Total Posts 5794

    Gone for Morando in Pat’s Ante Post tipping game, and might shove a few pennies closer to the time. Not really got an idea of whom’s going to win. Won’t be what I’ve backed though. :cry:

    You've got to accentuate the positive.
    Eliminate the negative.
    Latch on to the affirmative.
    Don't mess with mister in between.

    #1289212
    Avatar photoThe Ante-Post King
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    BLAIR HOUSE 16/1

    Ran a very good race in a hot 1m2 handicap but think a strongly run mile is what he wants and Godolphin won race last year and think they do it again.

    Well thats another one of my Nottingham horses Darren and I agree Blair House 16/1 is the sort of horse I look for in a race like this,the fact he stays 11/4m bodes well too..I cant see my pal John Gosden getting Sacred Act 14/1 in it but he would be a single price fav if he does.

    #1289243
    Avatar photostevecaution
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    I was surprised Sacred Act was the early 10/1 Fav for this.

    Gosden’s horse is not taking his racing well, with two huge lay-offs in his career. That is a little off-putting and his mark of 96 would not have got him into last year’s race, where the bottom weight was rated 98.

    Blair House is in a similar boat on 97.

    I went for Morando at 14/1. He made a big impression on me when winning at Ayr and he was a bit unlucky next time when meeting some interference in running in the Balmoral Handicap. The horse only actually turns 4YO tomorrow and the talk going into the Balmoral was that Varian considers the horse to be a Group prospect.

    It was not hard for me to envisage Morando sitting at 7/1F if he turns up and gets a favourable box. He’ll breeze in off his 104 rating should connections wish to aim him there.

    “There was something in the air that night, the stars were bright Morando”

    Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

    #1289440
    nwalton
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    • Total Posts 3570

    Blair House did catch the eye and a drop back to a mile will be to his advantage,he has been gelded over the winter,but the big question is will he get in? Obviously no damage done if he gets balloted out

    Been going through the race,The Balmoral is a race which is worth a watch for a few pointers
    http://www.racinguk.com/video/race-replays/20161015/2636369/15741915

    #1289451
    Avatar photoTriptych
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    • Total Posts 18668

    Still to early to call really, but at the moment I like the look of CYMRIC for Charlie Appleby around 20/1.
    With FLASH FIRE each way, also around 20/1.

    Really looking forward to this first big battle of the flat season :yahoo: Jac

    Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...
    #1289454
    Avatar photostevecaution
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    Blair House did catch the eye and a drop back to a mile will be to his advantage,he has been gelded over the winter,but the big question is will he get in? Obviously no damage done if he gets balloted out

    Been going through the race,The Balmoral is a race which is worth a watch for a few pointers

    http://www.racinguk.com/video/race-replays/20161015/2636369/15741915

    The link above prompts you to login first to be able to view it.

    This link will take you to youtube for a video of the race.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6JbKcgw-aTU

    Morando was under pressure but running on, then found a couple of bits of interference in the closing stages. I don’t think he would have caught Yuften but he would probably have been second with a clear run on reflection I feel.

    The race is very different these days. I was looking back to Evichstar in 1990 and that year the top weight was on 9-10, while the lowest weight carried was 7-5, that was a spread of 33 lbs. Last year, from top to bottom, the 22 runners had only 7 lbs covering their spread of weights. Very different sort of race now, with a rating of almost 100 being needed to guarantee getting in.

    Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

    #1289524
    nwalton
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    • Total Posts 3570

    thanks for that steve,didn’t know that was happening as it worked on my screen,but i am no Bill Gates

    #1289579
    Avatar photostevecaution
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    Morando is already as low as 7/1 and the 10’s is drying up.

    Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

    #1290064
    Avatar photofollyhoog
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    • Total Posts 211

    Afjaan although 1 from 6 on turf his running style is crying out for a strong strong pass judging on his last 2 runs at ascot. considering he is forced to race on the wrong side on the track he done half stay on strongly you could say his mark off 100 on the turf is a bit steep because his only won a weak Beverly maiden but with a winter on his back this 5yo gelding is a promising handicapper IMO so i’m hoping for a good run. luck in running and a good draw :yes:

    #1290628
    Avatar photostevecaution
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    Afjaan although 1 from 6 on turf his running style is crying out for a strong strong pass judging on his last 2 runs at ascot. considering he is forced to race on the wrong side on the track he done half stay on strongly you could say his mark off 100 on the turf is a bit steep because his only won a weak Beverly maiden but with a winter on his back this 5yo gelding is a promising handicapper IMO so i’m hoping for a good run. luck in running and a good draw :yes:

    Don’t back Afjaan

    William Haggas has said the horse isn’t going to run. He indicated in an interview that the horse goes to the Victoria Cup instead.

    Haggas went on to reveal that he feels it is unlikely that Victory Bond (16/1 shot) will be ready in time for the Lincoln.

    Bookmakers are still quoting both horses across the boards so beware. Afjaan is as low as 12/1 and that’s a bit pointless when his trainer has said the Ascot race is the target.

    The full piece, from the Racing Post article on Rivet, can be read below:-

    RIVET, Britain’s best chance of winning the Qipco 2,000 Guineas according to bookmakers, could embark on his Classic campaign in the £100,000 contest created to headline Newcastle’s new Good Friday card.

    The Racing Post Trophy winner, a best-priced 16-1 for the Guineas and no bigger than 20-1 for the Investec Derby, is being considered by trainer William Haggas for the inaugural running of the 32Red Casino Conditions Stakes over 1m on April 14.

    Haggas said: “I would like to have a prep with him, either in the Greenham – although I’m loathe to go back to seven furlongs – or possibly the new race at Newcastle on Good Friday.

    “It’s obviously a contest designed to attract him and other Group 1 winners, as he would be unpenalised, while the track and trip would suit.

    “Winning it wouldn’t do anything for his future value, but it would be an opportunity to get a start into him before a bigger race, so it’s very much on my radar.”

    Haggas added that Afjaan, a 16-1 shot for the Betway Lincoln with the sponsors, will instead be targeted for the Totepool Victoria Cup at Ascot, while Victory Bond, quoted at 14-1 for the Doncaster feature, is unlikely to be ready to run in the race.

    Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

    #1291141
    nwalton
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    Balmoral form holds up at wolves.Yuften ran a screamer and picks up no penalty

    #1291142
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 16061

    Good luck N, for The Flat Season :good:

    #1291162
    Avatar photoThe Ante-Post King
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    • Total Posts 8696

    Just taken 12/1 with Skybet for £50 e/w on Yuften,he sits in the middle of the handicap right now but after todays eyecatching run he could carry Top weight and win this years Lincoln.

    #1291166
    Avatar photostevecaution
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    I had a saver on Yuften Gord, I was surprised that there was/is still 14/1 available after that excellent effort today. With the advantage of a recent run, he has to be a danger to my early pick Morando.

    Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

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