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Decent entries as ever.
Had an early shortlist of two for this, but only Time To Get Up is in there. He’s a huge fancy now off of his 139, and from him showing no ill effects on Saturday of his Haydock slog. He’s way down the list, and facing a fight to get in. I’ll probably bet him early, and hope that he at least gets balloted out.
A few regulars in there for me, but can’t consider Any Second Now or Escaria Ten, while I’m also swerving the Bartlett pair of Galvin, and Stattler. I think despite being top weight, Galvin might take his chance, but even though he didn’t look to have had too hard a race at Cheltenham, I’d expect him not to figure. Surely not in the plan for him this.
As ever, Mullins has a strong hand, and Gailard Du Mesnil an interesting one. Not quite top class, but I like him, though I’m sure he’ll have other options. The trio I like from the yard are Ontheropes, Capodanno, and Brahma Bull. Capodanno ticks a fair few boxes, while the run of Ontheropes at Gowran Park suggests he can get involved. Big fan of the horse, and also scratched from Aintree yesterday. Brahma Bull is a frustrating type, but very good when it clicks, and off this mark, I’d give him a real chance, especially off the back of that Punchestown run last year.
As well as Time To Get Up, and Capodanno, JP, as usual, can call on a good few. Off You Go is another old favourite, and he’s well capable of this, certainly based on last year, but pulled from a few targets lately, and maybe one to revisit on the day, and similar sentiments apply to Ten Ten, who’s ground dependent. The other trio of his that I really like are School Boy Hours, Early Doors, and Aramax. I’m hoping that School Boy Hours sneaks in at Aintree. Early Doors I thought was coming along nicely after long layoff, but his run last time in Webster Cup was poor. That was way shorter than he requires though, and subsequently, and if he is getting back near his best, then he looks very very well treated. As for Aramax, he’s just a horse I always like, and good to see him get an entry now the suns coming back out.
Elliot obviously has stacks entered, and Aramax certainly the pick for me, but I’m still rating the chances of Coko Beach in this, even with question mark over the trip. I’m assuming Aintree is the priority for Samcro.
No immediate Antepost for me, with a shortlist of half a dozen, but I’m tempted already by Time To Get Up. I’ll hold off for now, (no doubt buckle within 24 hours), but as I also like recent winners Corach Rambler & Screaming Colours, as well as Gallant John Joe, I have to at least try and hold off.
Shortlist
Aramax
Brahma Bull
Coko Beach
Early Doors
Ontheropes
Time To Get UpI haven’t had a bet yet, but I would be interested in Full Time Score just now, though he is a fair bit down the list as it stands
I wish that Smoking Gun or Foxy Jacks could get in here, but they’re possibly too far down the list.
The one that I’m most interested in right now is Farouk D’Alene at 25-1. I’ve risked an early bet on him at that price ew with 5 pls available
Should be a fairly big betting race for me, so bet a couple early.
Early Doors 25’s
Time To Get Up 25’sI keep being drawn to Defi Bleu but unlikely to get in even with a number to come out , is there likely to be anything that was in the Nat likely to run ….Ie fell or pulled up early , he,s all of nothing but my first bet is likely to be Ten Ten
Pick 3 on Saturday champion 2025/2026
Played 2 e.w
Ten Ten 25s
Defi Bleu 50s
Hopefully Defi scrapes in
Pick 3 on Saturday champion 2025/2026
My handicap figures have been strugglnig in Ireland so going to be using figures based more on class. Initial figures for the Irish National give the following top 6, with the ‘par figure’ for the event currently the top weight’s mark of 158.
168 Ronald Pump
166 Diol Ker
165 Franco De Port
165 Screaming Colours
162 Enjoy D’Allen
157 Mister FogpatchesOf the 51 entries Gigginstown have 11 and JP McManus has 12, not a particular healthy situation as far as Irish racing is concerned. Can’t see what pleasure the ‘throw as many darts as you can and see how many hit’ brigade get out of it, but each to their own.
Sounding off done, I’m happy with the initial group of 6, all have solid enough credentials in big field staying handicaps. I would presume 5 would run and Enjoy D’Allen dipped out at the first the National so may have a go.
Off down to Gloucester staying in an hotel on Monday evening ready for joining our cruise on Tuesday, so hopefully will book in with time to catch the race on ‘Counsel Telly’.
My picks…
Full Time Score 12-1 bog ew 6 places
Fakir D’alene 22-1 bog ew 6 places free bet
Time To Get Up 28-1 ew 5 places AP“Cashed out”.
“Just noticed Go Another One is multi entered over the weekend so will hold fire”.
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School Boy hours (and others):
Noticed you often say “cashed out” Mike.
How much of your bets do you “cash out” and at what price?
Is it always cashed out for profit?
When becoming evident something is an unlikely starter the price you’ve got to cash out at is often surely massive?Go Another One: Putting up a bet at a price it would not be if a definite starter… and then later – “holding fire” – cancelling the bet when a possible / probable non-runner.
Or was this another cashed out?Value Is EverythingAnother cracking field for this, and right now, I’m seriously considering laying off Early Doors (if I can), to free up some stakes, and just bet one from my very long shortlist in running. I’ll leave Time To Get Up, as he was main fancy at entry stage.
Gailard Du Mesnil looks so obvious here, and exactly what you want for this, while Ronald Pump also makes serious appeal for win purposes. Great run in Leinster National, jockey takes a good few pounds off, and has some good runs to his name over hurdles.
I can see Mount Ida and Enjoy D’Allen, both first fence fallers at Aintree, getting some compensation here, while Farclas who missed out at Aintree, who I always seen to give a good word to, without betting, is hard to pick holes in too.
I’d happily take it on the chin if any of them won, but it’s the rest who’re giving me a headache.
Off You Go is an old favourite who’s looking primed for a huge run here, off a few pounds lower than last year when he was fifth, while Screaming Colours, who’s hardly been hammered for his win in The Midlands National, has an eyecatching booking of Jamie Codd.
School Boy Hours and Ten Ten are a pair I’ve been following for best part of two years now. SBH has obvious jumping issues, but he’s bang there with a clear round. Ten Ten flatters to deceive a lot, and being a risky horse to bet Antepost, he makes more appeal now declared. First choice of Mark Walsh, and highly likely I’ll bet him in some shape or form. In a similar vein, I hope Scoir Mear doesn’t sneak in.
Been waiting a while to see Aramax back out, and if not here, I’ll be certainly betting him at Punchestown, while stablemate Smoking Gun looks overpriced.
Off a lower profile, Max Flamingo looks very interesting, but as I’m tieing myself in knots here, I’m no further forward.
For the meantime I’ll stick with the early bets on Early Doors and Time To Get Up, with Ten Ten, Off You Go, and Screaming Colours the pick of the rest, though my sensible head is Gailard Du Mesnil or Mount Ida wins it.
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