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Big believer in the old adage of ‘Horses For Courses’ and with this thread i am going to try and highlight horses who i think will run well given their course form along with a few other things
Will keep a running total of how this does , 10 point win / 5 point each way
Will post prices up around 9 am in the morning .
Friday 20th March 2015
3.45 Newbury – Horatio Hornblower
Course winner whose record here at Newbury reads – 3 , 1 , 3 and i think its interesting that trainer Nick Williams (14% strike rate here) brings just this one the 135 mile trip to the meeting. Won well on his penultimate start at Towcester , winning by 5 lengths but then ran a shocker i think when well beaten at Cheltenham in January , coming 9th to Generous Ransom , disppointed that day to be honest and looking at his previous races is certainly capable of better than he showed that day. The form of that race , however , is beginning to look pretty strong imo , with the winner , Generous Ransom , coming 3rd next time out at the Festival , the 2nd (Astigos) came 2nd on his next assignment , the 3rd home , Irish Cavalier , won at the festival nto , the 4th Caroles Destrier has won her next 2 races , the 5th is yet to run and the 6th , Mosspark , was 2nd on his next outing .. so definatley alot to like about the form of that race and despite coming a well beaten 9th that day i think he can be seen in a better light here today. Also catches my eye that trainer has booked Tom Scudamore (13% strike rate at Newbury) for the ride , doesnt use him that often , and interesting that he has ridden the horse twice before resulting in a win and a third place. Up against some inform horses , from some powerful yards but for me , definatley an each way player if showing up at his best
Horatio Hornblower EW @ 7/1 (Will Hill)3.00 Sedgefield – Storm Of Swords
One from one at this course , and comes here in fine fettle. Since returning from a break has rattled up a brace of wins , first one winning by 8 lengths and then lto a 15 length success , those races were over Hurdles but is running over the larger obstacles for the first time today , but given current form hard to see him getting turned over. Dan Skelton is a shrewd operator and i cant see him switching him unless he thought he was ready , interesting that originally he had him entered in the 2.30 (Hurdles race) as well as this one , so for him to end up running in this one could be a pointer in itself. Trainer has a 50% strike rate here at Sedgefield and jockey Harry Skelton has a 33% strike rate. At odds on its not really my sort of price if im honest but im finding it hard trying to find a reason not to back him.
Storm Of Swords @ 8/11 (Will Hill)Friday 20th March 2015
3.45 Newbury – Horatio Hornblower
Course winner whose record here at Newbury reads – 3 , 1 , 3 and i think its interesting that trainer Nick Williams (14% strike rate here) brings just this one the 135 mile trip to the meeting. Won well on his penultimate start at Towcester , winning by 5 lengths but then ran a shocker i think when well beaten at Cheltenham in January , coming 9th to Generous Ransom , disppointed that day to be honest and looking at his previous races is certainly capable of better than he showed that day. The form of that race , however , is beginning to look pretty strong imo , with the winner , Generous Ransom , coming 3rd next time out at the Festival , the 2nd (Astigos) came 2nd on his next assignment , the 3rd home , Irish Cavalier , won at the festival nto , the 4th Caroles Destrier has won her next 2 races , the 5th is yet to run and the 6th , Mosspark , was 2nd on his next outing .. so definatley alot to like about the form of that race and despite coming a well beaten 9th that day i think he can be seen in a better light here today. Also catches my eye that trainer has booked Tom Scudamore (13% strike rate at Newbury) for the ride , doesnt use him that often , and interesting that he has ridden the horse twice before resulting in a win and a third place. Up against some inform horses , from some powerful yards but for me , definatley an each way player if showing up at his best
Horatio Hornblower EW @ 7/1 (Will Hill)
4th3.00 Sedgefield – Storm Of Swords
One from one at this course , and comes here in fine fettle. Since returning from a break has rattled up a brace of wins , first one winning by 8 lengths and then lto a 15 length success , those races were over Hurdles but is running over the larger obstacles for the first time today , but given current form hard to see him getting turned over. Dan Skelton is a shrewd operator and i cant see him switching him unless he thought he was ready , interesting that originally he had him entered in the 2.30 (Hurdles race) as well as this one , so for him to end up running in this one could be a pointer in itself. Trainer has a 50% strike rate here at Sedgefield and jockey Harry Skelton has a 33% strike rate. At odds on its not really my sort of price if im honest but im finding it hard trying to find a reason not to back him.
Storm Of Swords @ 8/11 (Will Hill) 1stBets – 2
Won – 1
-2.73Saturday 21st March 2015
No time for a write up today
2.15 Kelso – Fentara EW @ 10/1 (Coral)
2.15 Kelso – Knockara Beau EW @ 12/1 (Coral)4.15 Fontwell – Malibu Sun EW @ 10/1 (Coral)
Bets – 2
Won – 1
-2.73Saturday 21st March 2015
No time for a write up today
2.15 Kelso – Fentara EW @ 10/1 (Coral)
2.15 Kelso – Knockara Beau EW @ 12/1 (Coral)4.15 Fontwell – Malibu Sun EW @ 10/1 (Coral)
Bets – 5
Won – 1
-32.73Missed a couple of winners and placers on this , nothing spectacular but bit gutted all the same , onwards and upwards though !
Tuesday 24th March 2015
3.10 Southwell – Nomadic Storm Win @ 10/3 (BetFred)
3.25 Wolverhampton – Rat Catcher EW @ 13/2 (Ladbrokes)
3.35 Hexham – Lady Of Verona EW @ 9/1 (Ladbrokes)
4.45 Hexham – Bescot Springs EW @ 6/1 (Ladbrokes)Bets – 5
Won – 1
-32.73Tuesday 24th March 2015
3.10 Southwell – Nomadic Storm Win @ 10/3 (BetFred)
1st
3.25 Wolverhampton – Rat Catcher EW @ 13/2 (Ladbrokes)
3.35 Hexham – Lady Of Verona EW @ 9/1 (Ladbrokes)
4.45 Hexham – Bescot Springs EW @ 6/1 (Ladbrokes)Bets – 9
Won – 2
-29.40Wednesday 25th March 2015
3.00 Lingfield – Skidby Mill Win @ 3/1 (BetFred)
3.20 Southwell – Frontier Fighter EW @ 7/1 (Coral)
3.20 Southwell – Noble Citizen EW @ 9/1 (BetFred)
3.50 Southwell – Meshardaal EW @ 9/2 (BetFred)
4.20 Southwell – Invincible Wish EW @ 7/1 (BetFred)Bets – 9
Won – 2
-29.40Wednesday 25th March 2015
3.00 Lingfield – Skidby Mill Win @ 3/1 (BetFred)
1st
3.20 Southwell – Frontier Fighter EW @ 7/1 (Coral)
3.20 Southwell – Noble Citizen EW @ 9/1 (BetFred) 3rd
3.50 Southwell – Meshardaal EW @ 9/2 (BetFred) 2nd (25p Rule 4)
4.20 Southwell – Invincible Wish EW @ 7/1 (BetFred)Bets – 14
Won – 5
-17.02Thursday 26th March 2015
3.15 Ffos Las – Red Devil Lads Win @ 6/4 (Coral)
4.00 Wolverhampton – Sbraase Win @ 7/4 (BetFred)
4.00 Wolverhampton – Rex Whistler EW @ 6/1 (BetFred)Bets – 14
Won – 5
-17.02Thursday 26th March 2015
3.15 Ffos Las – Red Devil Lads Win @ 6/4 (Coral)
1st
4.00 Wolverhampton – Sbraase Win @ 7/4 (BetFred) 1st
4.00 Wolverhampton – Rex Whistler EW @ 6/1 (BetFred)Bets – 17
Won – 7
+5.48Friday 27th March 2015
3.10 Newcastle – Kings Chorister EW @ 9/1 (Coral)
3.40 Newcastle – Montoyas Son EW @ 7/2 (BetFred)
3.40 Newcastle – Trust Thomas EW @ 6/1 (Coral)
4.40 Lingfield – Clearing EW @ 7/1 (Coral)Bets – 17
Won – 7
+5.48Good stuff Dibble
Thanks VtC , unfortunatley not so good today
Friday 27th March 2015
3.10 Newcastle – Kings Chorister EW @ 9/1 (Coral)
3.40 Newcastle – Montoyas Son EW @ 7/2 (BetFred) 1st (20p Rule 4)
3.40 Newcastle – Trust Thomas EW @ 6/1 (Coral)
4.40 Lingfield – Clearing EW @ 7/1 (Coral)Bets – 21
Won – 8
-7.72
4th
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