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I’ve done PANDA BOY EW at 66/1 after his first run behind Minella Indo at Punchestown, tailed off today (surprise, surprise) over 2 miles. A plot is coming with this lad in a handicap over a distance/marathon trip…..
I have backed Panda Boy as well on the basis he is definitely being targeted at a major handicap between now and New Year, which he will have to win to stand any chance of getting in a 34 runner National. The problem with him is what ground will Aintree prepare because he would, in my opinion, have won the Irish National had the rain not come just prior to the meeting and therefore he did brilliantly to finish as close as he did, which is testament to his trainer having him cherry ripe.
Ash Tree Meadow looks to be going for it too. Not so sold on him yet but what he does have going for him from a stamina perspective is Caerwent. He is 3 gens back in the dam and isn’t seen very often at all in a pedigree. He was however the dam sire of Hedgehunter. The race was very different back then of course.
“Caerwent”
I remember him; his dam was the champion sprinter Marwell and he himself was a miler who finished up over sprint distances.
Fascinating that he’s in these staying chasers’ pedigrees.
Had a look at my early shortlist for this, and decided to just go for it with a few of them…………
Already bet The Goffer, and Stattler, so had a look at the rest………
Conflated
Kilcruit
Moroder
The ShunterThe Shunter and Moroder still on the radar, but I’ll bide my time with them, and also considering Thedevilscoachman now as well. I think he could come right into this after The Troytown.
Conflated finally introduced at 40’s, and as I did last year with Delta Work, I’m betting him not only because I genuinely fancy him, but that 33’s gives me a chance to lay off a bit, and pay for my bets, while keeping a bit back. Same applies with Galvin at 50’s. He’s back out Friday, and that price is mad.
Kilcruit still the darkest one for me, and I’ll almost certainly add him once I see him entered anywhere (expected to be later in season)
Shortlist
Moroder
Thedevilscoachman
The ShunterBets (to lay?)
Conflated 40’s
Galvin 50’sMain Bets
Stattler 50’s
The Goffer 66’s EW 5PlsLimerick Lace could be interesting for the reason that if he were to run well this weekend and finish top four or more to the point win, he could be heading this way.
It’s an excellent family he hails from but perhaps more interesting is he could become the second Walk In The Park (the first was 2019) to tackle this race now he has become the stallion everyone wants.
The jury is still out on WITP. There are an awful lot of them and not all have turned out as good at their price tags would have suggested but a fair few will eventually be heading in this direction over the coming seasons.
So far it is one runner, one placed.
Dare I say it, but I suspect they’ll learn from how they pushed Mister Coffey too soon last year. Like the race-planning in the Listed Novices’ Handicap at Cheltenham this weekend, quite winnable and could help propel this one up the weights into that top 34.
I can’t believe I pressed ‘send’ on this, but hey, it’s all a bit of fun eh?
Gaillard du Mesnil connections will be happy with that second at Haydock today. It’ll get a pound or two off his OR, which would have been the point of the exercise all along, eh?
Royal Pagaille I hope they run him this season in the National. Flat track, stayer
Vf x
“Added I am Maximus after his group one win today”
Has ruined his handicap mark even more after winning a grade 1. Need to be quite young (which he is) and relatively well handicapped (which he probably won’t be) to win it now that the fences are of a lesser challenge.
Will find out on weight launch if he entered and what given in February then decided
VF x
Gaillard du Mesnil was on 156 going into the Drinmore last year, at a year younger than I Am Maximus. He finished a respectful few lengths behind Mighty Potter and his mark was left unchanged. Two more races and ran in the National off English 155.
Maximus is 158 and will surely be nudged up a lb or two for winning. Tiger Roll won his second National off 159…but he was in his absolute prime, with experience behind him on his perfect ground. A bit of mark management needs crammed in between now and February. Or else just go for it and try to make him an open grade 1 horse.
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