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- This topic has 1,734 replies, 19 voices, and was last updated 9 months, 4 weeks ago by
TheNovice.
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- April 25, 2024 at 17:58 #1691709
“FRIDAY 15:35 SANDOWN Classic Trial
(9.4%) £94 @ 2.1 (betfair £94 available) Arabian Crown (min 2.0)
saver:
£20 @ 5/1 (WH) Macduff (min 9/2)”
———————————
£10 @ 11.0 (betfair £37 available) Remaadd (min 10.0)Value Is EverythingApril 25, 2024 at 18:34 #1691712I’ll get back to you about the rest of the field, Jimmy. But as far as Charyn is concerned…
Depends what the true state of the ground is at Sandown.
Yes, he had the advantage of being held up in behind with the strong headwind, but in all probability improved a bit on last year. Stable are in good form now too.
If either the second or third races on the card tomorrow beat Racing Post Standard (indicating on the firm side of good) then I may consider laying my Charyn bet back. But Good ground wouldn’t worry me at all. His third place behind Paddington in the St James’s Palace was arguably his best performance of the season. Just failing to nab second from the Guineas winner.Value Is EverythingApril 25, 2024 at 22:01 #1691728“FRIDAY 14:25 Sandown Gordon Richards
(5.3%) £58 @ 4/1 (Betfred) Okeechobee (min 4/1)
Half Bet:
£35 @ 4/1 (Betfred) Flying Colours (min 4/1)
Savers:
£4 @ 33/1 (B365) Tasman Bay (min 33/1)
£30 @ 100/30 (Laddies) Israr (min 100/30)”
——————————————The unease in Flying Colours could be because Godolphin don’t expect much on his first start for some time. If you haven’t yet backed Flying Colours I suggest just a saver at most, even though he has gone out to 7.2… Not run since finishing lame in the Dante. Looked to have bags of potential at the time. Maybe will show it another day. Stable are in good form though.
Israr has verdict over a well below form Derby winner in the Princess Of Wales, but imo is too inconsistent and doesn’t win often enough to warrant a main bet. Albeit blinkers might help him find more than he sometimes does.
Tasman Bay shouldn’t really be good enough. But from what I can see he is the only definite pace horse in the field. I’d be saying to change him to a main bet, but the price has gone.
Am really keen on Okeechobee anyway. Shouldn’t be too far away from the leader, has Ryan to help. Is the progressive horse in the field. Stable in brilliant form.
Managed to get a fiver matched as a LAY for Desert Hero @ 3.9
He’s actually a horse I really like, just not at this trip and especially as the time he disappointed was when leading on reappearance last year. Better form held up and if held up in a slowly run 10f… has little chance compared to his ability.Checkandchallenge wouldn’t be without a chance on form, but the little he has to find on form is far less likely coming from an exposed 5 year old and is another that may be inconvenienced by the potential pace.
The pace will probably depend on whether Artistic Star pushes Tasman Bay on. The Beckett horse has an obvious excuse of going off far too fast in the Voltigeur. But why wasn’t he seen again? Also looked more exposed than some and has a bit to find on form… Unless the gelding op’ has worked wonders! Will be interesting if the market speaks in his favour.
Value Is EverythingApril 26, 2024 at 00:22 #1691746“FRIDAY 15:00 SANDOWN Bet365 Mile
(5.8%) £64 @ 3/1 (B365) Charyn (min 3/1)
(1.5%) £16 @ 33/1 (Laddies) Witch Hunter (min 33/1)”
—————————————————-
saver
£29 @ 3.7 (betfair £29 available) Nostrum (min 3.65)Value Is EverythingApril 26, 2024 at 00:37 #1691747“FRIDAY 15:00 SANDOWN Bet365 Mile
(5.8%) £64 @ 3/1 (B365) Charyn (min 3/1)
(1.5%) £16 @ 33/1 (Laddies) Witch Hunter (min 33/1)
£29 @ 3.7 (betfair £29 available) Nostrum (min 3.65)”
—————————————————–
another saver:
£9 @ 11.0 (betfair £9 available) Flight Plan (min 10.0)Value Is EverythingApril 26, 2024 at 00:52 #1691748“FRIDAY 14:25 Sandown Gordon Richards
(5.3%) £58 @ 4/1 (Betfred) Okeechobee (min 4/1)
Half Bet:
£35 @ 4/1 (Betfred) Flying Colours (min 4/1)
Savers:
£4 @ 33/1 (B365) Tasman Bay (min 33/1)
£30 @ 100/30 (Laddies) Israr (min 100/30)”
——————————————
saver
£9 @ 11/1 (B365) Artistic Star (min 10/1)Value Is EverythingApril 26, 2024 at 08:16 #1691755.
April 26, 2024 at 10:27 #1691759“Bet365 Gold Cup Sandown:
(2.9%) £32 @ 20/1 (B365) Minella Cocooner (min 16/1)
(6.4%) £70 @ 5.3 (betfair £83 available) Kittys Light (min 5.0)
£13 @ 10/1 (B365) Amirite (min 17/2)
£15 @ 9/1 (B365) Le Milos (min 17/2)”
————————————
Another:
(7.0) £7 @ 5/1 (WH) Kittys Light (min 7/2) £77 @ 5/1 if not on already
(2.6%) £26 @ 33/1 (B365) Sam Brown (min 25/1)
saver:
£4 @ 40 (betfair £5 available) Enrilo (min 40)Value Is EverythingApril 26, 2024 at 10:53 #1691762My Bet365 Gold Cup 100% Book for proper Good Going:
Kittys Light 21% between 7/2 and 4/1
Minella Cocooner 12.5% 7/1
Le Milos 12% 15/2
Amirite 12% 15/2
Nick Rockett 10.5% 17/2
Threeunderthrufive 6.75% 14/1
Sam Brown 4.25 22/1
Kinondo Kwetu 4% 25/1
Weveallbeencaught 3.5% 28/1
Enrilo 3.25% 28/1
Annual Invictis 3% 33/1
Certainly Red 1.5% 66/1
Does He Know 1.25% 80/1
Aimee Desjy 1.25% 80/1
Slipway 1% 100/1
Rapper 0.75% 132/1
Flash Collonges 0.75% 132/1
Bangers And Cash 0.3% 300/1
Fortesque 0.25% 400/1
Courtland 0.2% 500/1Value Is EverythingApril 26, 2024 at 14:49 #1691788“FRIDAY 15:00 SANDOWN Bet365 Mile
(5.8%) £64 @ 3/1 (B365) Charyn (min 3/1)
(1.5%) £16 @ 33/1 (Laddies) Witch Hunter (min 33/1)
£29 @ 3.7 (betfair £29 available) Nostrum (min 3.65)
another saver:
£9 @ 11.0 (betfair £9 available) Flight Plan (min 10.0)”
——————————————————–
LAY £6 @ 25 (betfair £30 available) Witch Hunter (max 27)Value Is EverythingApril 26, 2024 at 14:58 #1691790^ Flight Plan a non-runner which means less pace in the race.
Is against Witch Hunter who’s likely to be dropped out and Charyn held up.
May give Nostrum an easy lead so have personally changed Nostrum to a main bet and Charyn to the saver.Value Is EverythingApril 26, 2024 at 15:06 #1691791LOL
As far as the thread is concerned, good job I didn’t have time to change Charyn and Nostrum around.
Value Is EverythingApril 26, 2024 at 15:10 #1691792Done exactly the same thing ginger
thanks flight planApril 26, 2024 at 17:15 #1691802FRIDAY 26TH APRIL BETS
14:25 Sandown Gordon Richards
(5.3%) £58 @ 4/1 (Betfred) Okeechobee (min 4/1) 1st
£35 @ 4/1 (Betfred) Flying Colours (min 4/1)
£4 @ 33/1 (B365) Tasman Bay (min 33/1)
£30 @ 100/30 (Laddies) Israr (min 100/30) 3rd
£9 @ 11/1 (B365) Artistic Star (min 10/1)
STAKES £136
RETURN £290+£154.00
————————————————–15:00 SANDOWN Bet365 Mile
(5.8%) £64 @ 3/1 (B365) Charyn (min 3/1) 1st
(1.5%) £16 @ 33/1 (Laddies) Witch Hunter (min 33/1)
£29 @ 3.7 (betfair £29 available) Nostrum (min 3.65)
£9 @ 11.0 (betfair £9 available) Flight Plan (min 10.0) NON RUNNER
LAY £6 @ 25 (betfair £30 available) Witch Hunter (max 27)
STAKES £109
LAY +£6.00
192 – 10p R4 = £172.8 + 64 = £236.80 + £6 = £242.80
RETURN £242.80+£133.80
—————————————————15:35 SANDOWN Classic Trial
(9.4%) £94 @ 2.1 (betfair £94 available) Arabian Crown (min 2.0) 1st
£20 @ 5/1 (WH) Macduff (min 9/2) 2nd
£10 @ 11.0 (betfair £37 available) Remaadd (min 10.0) 3rd
STAKES £124
RETURN £197.40+£73.40
—————————————————Day’s Profit +£361.20
Betting Bank
£11,354.69Thread Profit +£1,354.69
Value Is EverythingApril 26, 2024 at 17:30 #1691803Brilliant stuff again GT 👍. I see you had the tricast in the 3.35, do you ever cover these bets? I.e combined forecasts and tricasts? It’s not something I’ve dabbled in but may be worth considering when you fancy 3 or 4 in a race.
April 26, 2024 at 20:21 #169183714:25 Sandown Oaksey Chase:
(4.3%) £36 @ 9/1 (betfair £40 available) Al Dancer (min 15/2)Value Is EverythingApril 26, 2024 at 20:27 #1691838No TheNovice, I don’t think I have ever done a tricast, one or two forecasts back in the day but nothing of any worth. Although seem to remember an old TRFer – Jonibake – used to do well with them, just putting a fraction of what he put on the win market. It’s just not something that appeals to me.
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