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Ginger's Jumpers

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  • #1346674
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34704

    Stayers Hurdle:
    25 points @ 25/1 (FD) Lil Rockerfeller (min 16/1)
    41 points @ 13/2 (Sportsbook) Unowhatimeanharry (min 6/1)
    11 points @ 6.6/1 (betfair) Nichols Canyon (min 6/1) NR
    60 points @ 6/1 (B365) Sam Spinner (min 5/1)

    I personally laid Unowhatimeanharry back when the owner’s Yanworth got entered at a fair loss. Suspected the former wasn’t going well at home and they thought age was catching up with him. But the Fry stable is in good form of late, confidence seems to be reappearing and with a lot of rain forcast between now and post time… Not many of these are going to stay a truly run 3m if heavy. All three, Sam Spinner, Unowhatimeanharry and Lil Rockerfeller (54/1 is enormous!) should stay well. I’ve gone in again for UNWINH @ 9/1, but won’t put that bet here because the 41 is still here. Also topped up on Lil.

    Lil Rockerfeller is outstanding value here.
    Another:
    10 points @ 49/1 (betfair) Lil Rockerfeller (min 20/1)
    …and if you aren’t on already – Sam Spinner should be an 11/4 shot, so 4/1 each way on the machine is great value imo.

    Value Is Everything
    #1346769
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34704

    – 48 on the day.
    Given the first couple of days can’t complain (well, yes I can).

    Shattered Love was a good start, but the other two betting races were poor. Although got it right by backing against the hard pulling odds-on fav in the Ryanair, didn’t back the winner. In the Stayers Sam Spinner needs a thorough test of stamina and thought the race was bound to be truly run (backed three strong stayers)… Ground came right and then… Joe Colliver made it in to the biggest speed test of the meeting. LOL What an idiot!.

    Value Is Everything
    #1346821
    Avatar photoGoldenMiller34
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    • Total Posts 1404

    That’s what I thought too – and Daryl Jacob! Colliver said the horse wasn’t concentrating and couldn’t have gone any faster. Not sure I buy this but then what about the other, more experienced Cheltenham jockeys on stayers? Why didn’t Noel Fehily or Trevor Whelan make a move? They all sat there like dummies, going a crawl whilst knowing they had a potential Royal Ascot horse and the Irish Champion Hurdle winner in the field. A complete farce.

    As for the Ryanair. It’s One For Arthur part 2. Connections, right up to the off, were saying the ground was against BDF. CC was always going to run like that. In fact, the Ascot Chase was the race of the season and none of the principals have recovered from it including WP and TN. Plus Frodon is very best on Heavy and there was none, Soft and a bit tacky all round.

    Roughly another 6mm forecast, mainly overnight so will have to make selections based on the going being exactly the same tomorrow (cue a deluge!) What do you reckon, Ginger?

    #1346827
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34704

    Yes GM, I think the ground will be roughly the same or a bit softer. Hope so, as don’t want it to dry out for my bets tomorrow. Got out of Redicean earlier today just in time I reckon – gone out to 13/2 from 5/1 this morning due to the ground (from what I saw has a flowing action likely to be at best on good). Had a few small bets in the small hours last night on the Gold Cup thinking it was going to be very soft, doubt it’ll be any worse than soft with heavy places and have laid them back today at the same prices. Native River is my main bet in the Gold Cup anyway, so the softer the better.

    Value Is Everything
    #1346832
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34704

    Triumph Hurdle:
    52 points @ 11/2 (sportsbook) Redicean (min 5/1)
    LAY 52 points @ 5/1 (betfair) Redicean (min 11/2)

    44 points @ 6/1 (betfair) Stormy Island (min 11/2)
    22 points @ 22/1 (betfair) Sussex Ranger (min 18/1)
    34 points @ 9/1 (betfair) Mr Adjudicator (min 15/2)
    saver:
    15 points @ 7.6/1 (betfair) Farclas (min 7/1)

    Value Is Everything
    #1346897
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34704

    Gold Cup: (will include just this thread)
    30 points @ 11/1 (betfair) Native River (min 12/1)
    26 points @ 20/1 (888, 19/1 betfair) Whisper (min 15/1) NR
    42 points @ 7.4/1 (betfair) Sizing John (min 6/1) NR
    savers:
    22 points @ 5/1 (boyle) Our Duke (min 5/1)
    11 points @ 10/1 (B365) Killultagh Vic (min 10/1)

    Value Is Everything
    #1346915
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 34701

    Ryanair
    38 points @ 7.6/1 (betfair) Cue Card (min 13/2)
    34 points @ 12/1 (betfair) Frodon (min 9/1)
    28 points @ 15/1 (betfair) Cloudy Dream (min 12/1)
    saver:
    5 points @ 24/1 (betfair) Sub Lieutenent (min 16/1)

    (probable 20% reduction factor if Douvan is a NR)

    Hi Ginge, not a criticism but would you have not been better off laying UDS if you made him such poor value.?
    I know you prefer backing to laying but what sort of percentage of value would you be looking for to lay one.?
    Well done on your results btw… :good:

    Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026

    #1346944
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34704

    You’re right Nathan, I’ll have to think about doing that when a similar chance arises. :good:

    Value Is Everything
    #1346945
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34704

    County Hurdle
    25 points @ 12/1 (B365) Flying Tiger (min 11/1)
    25 points @ 18/1 (betfair) Samaoineamh Alainn (min 14/1)
    21 points @ 14/1 (B365) Whiskey Sour (min 13/1)
    18 points @ 24/1 (B365) Lagostovegas (min 20/1)
    savers:
    11 points @ 10/1 (B365) Bleu Et Rouge (min 10/1)
    11 points @ 10/1 (betfair) Duca De Thaix (min 10/1)

    Value Is Everything
    #1346946
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34704

    County Hurdle
    25 points @ 12/1 (B365) Flying Tiger (min 11/1)
    25 points @ 18/1 (betfair) Samaoineamh Alainn (min 14/1)
    21 points @ 14/1 (B365) Whiskey Sour (min 13/1)
    18 points @ 24/1 (B365) Lagostovegas (min 20/1)
    savers:
    11 points @ 10/1 (B365) Bleu Et Rouge (min 10/1)
    11 points @ 10/1 (betfair) Duca De Thaix (min 10/1)

    another saver:
    7 points @ 16/1 (betfair) Sandsend (min 15/1)

    Value Is Everything
    #1346947
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34704

    Foxhunter Chase
    52 points @ 7/2 (Coral) Burning Ambition (min 100/30)
    27 points @ 20/1 (B365) Grand Vision (min 14/1)
    13 points @ 7/1 (WH) Wonderful Charm (min 7/1)
    12 points @ 8/1 (B365) Foxrock (min 15/2)

    Value Is Everything
    #1347046
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34704

    Albert Bartlett
    60 points @ 8/1 Next Destination

    38 points @ 6/1 (betfair) Chef Des Obeaux (min 11/2)
    12 points @ 33/1 (betfair) Mr Wipped (min 25/1)
    30 points @ 10/1 (betfair) Chriss Dream (min 8/1)

    Value Is Everything
    #1347071
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34704

    Gold Cup: (will include just this thread)
    30 points @ 11/1 (betfair) Native River (min 12/1)
    26 points @ 20/1 (888, 19/1 betfair) Whisper (min 15/1) NR
    42 points @ 7.4/1 (betfair) Sizing John (min 6/1) NR
    savers:
    22 points @ 5/1 (boyle) Our Duke (min 5/1)
    11 points @ 10/1 (B365) Killultagh Vic (min 10/1)

    12 points @ 10/1 (betfair) Definitly Red (min 9/1)
    4 points @ 37/1 (betfair) American (min 33/1)
    10 points @ 5/1 (betfair) Our Duke (min 9/2)

    Value Is Everything
    #1347073
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34704

    Gold Cup: (will include just this thread)
    30 points @ 11/1 (betfair) Native River (min 12/1)
    26 points @ 20/1 (888, 19/1 betfair) Whisper (min 15/1) NR
    42 points @ 7.4/1 (betfair) Sizing John (min 6/1) NR
    savers:
    22 points @ 5/1 (boyle) Our Duke (min 5/1)
    11 points @ 10/1 (B365) Killultagh Vic (min 10/1)
    12 points @ 10/1 (betfair) Definitly Red (min 9/1)
    4 points @ 37/1 (betfair) American (min 33/1)
    10 points @ 5/1 (betfair) Our Duke (min 9/2)

    top up
    10 points @ 6/1 (betfair) Native River (min 5/1)

    Value Is Everything
    #1347102
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34704

    Had a small each way bet on my first Arkle ante-post bet North Hill Harvey for the Grand Annual @ 10/1, but price has quickly gone. If returning to 9/1 or more suggest an 18 points each way bet.

    Value Is Everything
    #1347108
    MTOTO88
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    • Total Posts 350

    Great week GT

    Just got 10.00/3.30 on NHH :good:

    #1347112
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34704

    Yes, I’ll include the above NHH bet at 9/1 now.
    Also:
    20 points @ 8/1 Top Gamble (min 8/1

    Value Is Everything
Viewing 17 posts - 392 through 408 (of 447 total)
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