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2:40 Ayr:
53 points @ 3/1 (PP) Only Orsenfoolsies (min 3/1)33 points @ 7/1 (betfair) Rymers Stone (min 13/2)
saver:
25 points @ 7/2 (betfair) One For Harry (min 7/2)Value Is EverythingOnly Orsenfoolsies is out to 6/1. Strange. Timeform like him and he is in form with conditions to suit.
he was matched on Betfair at 7.8 so 6.8/1 at around 9am. I got 7.4 on another exchange.
Only Orsenfoolsies is out to 6/1. Strange. Timeform like him and he is in form with conditions to suit.
Wow! Did he go out that far, Kasparov? When I first looked this morning at around 11:00 am thought 9/2 was bad enough. 4/1 now. tbh Noticed before horses I’ve backed that drift badly are often ridden by conditionals and this is a one claiming 10 lbs. Something that would normally put me off, but Thomson Brown did win on him last time… Am a little concerned though; I want him ridden in similar fashion to last time out – prominently. If held up can see OO outpaced. One reason I like him is always seems to come to his best at this time of the season – including racing with two races in fairly quick succession.
Steamer Elusive Theatre might get a soft lead if One For Harry doesn’t take him on. Thought last night there’s a possibility EL is no longer capable of his very best. May be I got that wrong, younger than her rivals so if am wrong could even improve… And obviously now he’s been heavily backed that’s a stronger possibility.
At least my other main bet seems to be holding up. Rymers Stone seems to be improving at the age of 10. Not run since November but runs well fresh.
Wanted to have a saver on One For Harry, as the trainer is in good form and the horse ran well last time. Although has never won off this mark so only a saver.Fingers crossed.
Value Is EverythingWell, I was right… that I was wrong.
Thought had a chance when Elusive Theatre was too keen. But still did it reasonably easy and value for extra.
Value Is Everything3:00 Musselburgh
73 points @ 3/1 (PP) Mixboy (min 11/4)Trust Thomas ran badly last time, Pain Au Chocolat in even worse form, Solar Impulse has needed his first run of the season in the past and unless there’s a positive market move unlikely to be spot on. Archive has a chance at his best, but it seems doesn’t take much to lose his confidence jumping. Chain Of Beacons is interesting with stable in good form, but am a little worried about the rain forecast. Ut Majeur Aulmes was a head second to Baby King at Aintree last time out (November) under Richard Johnson. Schofield 0 from 4 on him. Even so thought I’d be taking a chance each way here, with Dartnell seemingly over a poor recent run. But he’s too short, not the sort for a win only/main bet. Mixboy disappointed when last seen over jumps (“P” and “F”) at Cheltenham Festival and Ayr Spring meetings), but had been in progressive good form before that in smaller fields and could up his game again, only seven starters here and possibly importantly may get a soft lead up front. Poor run last time out on flat, was his first start for two months, had been in good form in the Autumn/on turf prior to that. Keith Dalgleish seems in good form.
Value Is Everything2:50 Ludlow:
61 points @ 7/2 (B365) Sainte Ladylime (min 100/30)Value Is Everything2:50 Ludlow:
61 points @ 7/2 (B365) Sainte Ladylime (min 100/30)saver:
38 points @ 1.68/1 (betfair) Ellens Way (min 6/4)Value Is EverythingMixboy is so far highly encouraging, shortened up considerably from 3/1 to 15/8.
Sainte Ladylime pleasing too, 7/2 to 3/1, but saver Ellens Way right out from 13/8 last night to 11/4. May be she hasn’t recovered fully with this quick reappearance, but if so could still work for me with the main bet now disputing favouritism. Had half a saver matched overnight @ 9/1 Braventara, but can’t put that up at current 13/2.Value Is EverythingWelsh Grand National:
48 points @ 10/1 (B365) Wild West Wind (min 15/2)
30 points @ 11/1 (sportsbook) Rock The Kasbah (min 9/1)Value Is EverythingNoticed your comment about Hobbs on the Welsh National thread, GT. In his latest ‘One Jump Ahead’ update, Mark Howard reported that there is a virus at the Hobbs yard.
Certainly signs of recovery in the last week or two so I think you’re right – this delay can only be good news for RTK.
Noticed your comment about Hobbs on the Welsh National thread, GT. In his latest ‘One Jump Ahead’ update, Mark Howard reported that there is a virus at the Hobbs yard.
Certainly signs of recovery in the last week or two so I think you’re right – this delay can only be good news for RTK.
Unusual to have it confirmed like that, LS. With PH’s record last month am not at all surprised he’s had a virus. Still a slight risk because it’s a small sample (coincidence?) but the last 10 runners seem to have done fairly well. Had hoped to wait to see a few more runners, but no more entries until 13 on Saturday. Hopefully the new year can start better for the yard… Although tbh do still prefer Wild West Wind, with now a month off bar a few days, should suit. Can see him going off half current odds.
Value Is Everything
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