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Viewing 2 posts - 18 through 19 (of 19 total)
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  • #475829
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34704

    If that’s what your 100% book is then your prices to take are well costructed IB.

    Might be worth checking 100% books by adding what would be a bookies mark up to your own prices and asking if you’d (theoretically) lay all those prices? If the answer is no, then the 100% price may well be wrong.

    100%

    4/7 Toormore 63.6% + 3 = 66.6% =

    1/2

    11/2 Be Ready 15.4 + 2.75% = 18.15% =

    9/2

    14 Anjaal 6.7% + 1.5% = 8.2% =

    11/1

    14 The Grey Gatsby 6.7% + 1.5% = 8.2% =

    11/1

    25 Patentar 3.8% + 1 = 4.8% =

    20/1

    25 Postponed 3.8% + 1 = 4.8% =

    20/1

    Those prices adding up to

    108.75%

    Personally (and it is only an opinion) I’d like to back Be Ready @ 9/2 please. I’ve taken 3/1.

    Value Is Everything
    #475834
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34704

    Interesting stuff on here Ginger, thanks for that.

    I will use the Craven Stakes as an example here as to how I work;

    100%

    4/7 Toormore
    11/2 Be Ready
    14 Anjaal
    14 The Grey Gatsby
    25 Patentar
    25 Postponed.

    That is my tissue. There is no value there for me Ginger so I will leave the race alone. What I do is compile my tissue (as above) then I would bet if the following prices were on offer:

    NO BET Toormore – I don’t bet at odds on and if he drifts to odds against that would be too concerning.
    7 Be Ready
    18 Anjaal
    18 The Grey Gatsby
    40 Patentar
    40 Postponed.

    Can you see anything there that I’m doing wrong?

    My 100% Book:
    Toormore 50% Evens, Take 11/10+
    Be Ready 32% 85/40, Take 5/2+
    Postponed 5.5% 18/1, Take 25/1+
    Anjaal 4.75% 20/1, Take 28/1+
    The Grey Gatsby 4% 25/1, Take 33/1+
    Patentar 3.75% 25/1 ,Take 40/1+

    Value Is Everything
Viewing 2 posts - 18 through 19 (of 19 total)
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