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Horses are "plotted" up like Stefanki every day of the week. Yesterday it came off with a horse who had form in the book, and was obviously open to massive improvement. Today Royal Holiday bombed out, having been backed from 14/1 this morning to an S/P of 9/2. If he had gone in I’m sure that the same people would have been calling Brian Ellison all the names under the sun, the fact is some punts go in but more go astray. It’s the intrigue of it all that makes Horse Racing such a puzzle. If you expect every horse to run on its merits everyday of the week, then your going to end up disappointed, and are better off looking for all alternative sport to follow.
George Baker clearly not responsible for the gamble as he’s buggered off on his holidays – the one person who seems unaware of the successful plunges on the Moreton Morell horses down to virtually no offers is George himself, to judge by his excellent blog. I don’t think he’s given any of them more than a passing mention.
Was given out by a tipping service and they are claiming this after the event…
This horse had switched yards to George Baker’s and had settled in nicely, showing up very well at home.
Thought to be well handicapped on what he was showing at home, connections were on early and the money was down big time.Someone not telling the truth.
Switching back to the original topic (the clairvoyant accuracy of the market in picking the winner of a horse race in the last two minutes of trading), has anyone noticed a geographical or course bias?
Artificial surface racing was a goldmine for the clairvoyants, but this year they seemed to have taken their annual busman’s holiday in Scotland, the Midlands and parts of Yorkshire. Is this my imagination?
Artificial surface racing was a goldmine for the clairvoyants, but this year they seemed to have taken their annual busman’s holiday in Scotland, the Midlands and parts of Yorkshire. Is this my imagination?
Only parts of Yorkshire? Slackers.
Stefanki was withdrawn first time Baker, seems RP may’ve been counting that.
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Crystal balls are apparently on the blink, with a number of heavily backed favourites not beeing sighted.
There have been a handful of questionable races already this afternoon, with the 3.55, 4.05 and 4.20 proving particularly unsatisfactory.
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I don’t know AJ I was pretty happy with the result of the 4.05
They were backing Bowdler’s Magic like the race was already run though. Great ride on Comedy Act and the 5/1 looked decent value in a 3 horse ( live chances ) race given he was odds on to lead and trade shorter in running regardless of the final result.
One thing I have noticed from time to time over the last 18 months is one I back early drifts late in the market then continues to be layed heavily as soon as the gates open. These animals can be travelling smoothly in good position and still drift. I remember the cases well because a few of these have won. Are these horses winning in spite of the "insider info"? I cannot recall exact names at this time but I do recall thinking more than a few times "why is this horse still drifting?" when it’s clearly going well. Are muppets watching the wrong colours or laying the wrong horse accidently?
One such late drifter today was Supreme Spirit in the 3:30. It ran second but was layed heavily late in betting to about 17.5 from 10.5 before travelling up smoothly and trading near evens in running. Perhaps I got off light there in running with one that was "not right" on the day. I’m not complaining.
I was taking a look at greyhound markets early in the year and also noticed a trend for late plungers chasing the lure home in first place. They were not necessarily 1st/2nd faves either. I quickly lost interest and cannot say if the trend is continuing on that front to the extent that some are observing currently in horse racing markets.
..and to cap off a counter-trend week a Curley drifter goes in at 50s+
Has the psychic insider trader bot been switched off? I’ll have to check with my contact down at the docks.
Punted early tho’.
Betting Forecast of 12/1 and 15/2 with Skybet at 10.00 am. Drifted out to SP 25/1. New thread required – are Bookies hiding " Good Things" ?
I was rather hoping for a surprise
guest appearance by Andrew Sachs
as a dressed up Max Wall with vicar’s collar
and hobnails but Ross was instead rather tamely
and appropriately extinguished by his own spittle in the comapny of some fading lights of the screen and
a famous blond footballer who’d been to Afghanistan
and was untouchable.I haven’t recorded yesterday results but it
seems the reign of the profitable overbet horse
is also on the wain. With a 43% better strike rate
than ordinary favourites and a rough 45% profit figure
you could have coined in this month. Clerks and the weather
will see them off probably.More worrying are the actions of the three defenders
of the faithAlan Potts
after a difficult transition to an internet
connection the betting guru recorded his initial difficulty with getting on terms with the new future in the Post, however it soon became second nature and several prayer sittings followed. After some profitable periods he later reported on here that his profit and loss account was showing little divine juice for his efforts (may have been AW) and he vacated his holy orders and prayer mat wholesale to the jumps.Drone
A veritable judge of hoof his previously successful handicapping system
was hit by strange internet activity that rendered it far too weak to continue in the storm of insider knowledge that was suddenly brewing up in the machine. He has diverted his attentions from overground to underground – and the patch at the back of his house.Rickyticky
After experiencing two years of cut and bust Ricky Lake found the succesful formulae for in running happiness and things
poceeded at max for some time. The shenanigans on the sand
eventually made him turn turtle though and he has joined Alan Potts on his mat in an easterly wind at Wincanton.What has happened to these three heavyweights is sobering thought for all us Micky Rourke lookalikes. Gotham’s solid banking system has also reportedly been hit by an insider known as Mr Fog. My advice is,
stop tinkering, check your profit and loss accounts, and make some life exchanging decisions – unless of course your happy
grinding the guts out of yourselves.
stop tinkering, check your profit and loss accounts, and make some life exchanging decisions – unless of course your happy
grinding the guts out of yourselves Indeed some wise words ,and if the truth be known this is the best advice you could follow
My best wishes for the lone voice in Gotham City , I am sure he will come to the same conclusion in time
Quality post Gamble
best to all today , I am off to the desert ….be gone for a while
cheers
Ricky
Oh dear Gamble,
I miss my regular morale-boosting dose of Gamble these days unless of course you now lurk in the nether regions of this forum, places I rarely venture into for fear of bumping into the less savoury members of the TRF wannabee club.My recollection of your posts from bygone days compared to now seems to suggest a distinct shift in your cerebral demeanor which though offering greater serenity does leave me somewhat bereft of forum stimulus. Is this to be a permanent feature of your new-found wealth or is it a case of skating on thin icing on the cake? Whatever, my very good wishes, as always.
KenKen I am very pleased unless
someone else jumps in
to post the 100th reply on this thread.
You speak of byhgone days.
Needleman recorded 101 posts in
24 hours. I was rather hoping that this
gargantuan beast would overtake it,
bit it faltered at the 80 mark.
It is still a beast and been hugely
enjoyable and interesting to read.Adversity does eventually wear one down
Ken and it changes who we are.
I used to live in this house of words and
post incessantly and tried to reach for
stars – but I suppose I have landed
and its just me now
a run of the mill gambler
with my verbs showing
with not much else.We write what we are I suppose.
I have been concentrating more these
days on the ghosst of gambling
and let me say my sobering message does not
apply to all. I refuse to go into deficit territory.
For me the first four months of the year were profitable
but then glorious May happened and I
cuaght a terrible cold and found myself a much smaller dog
and crawling back to happiness.I think everyone must evaluate
there own position form a gambling perspective.
In the end though the profit and loss account
is king and will advise his subect.I am still alive and kicking
albeit it depleted in shape and form p.s. Ricky don’t spend too much time in the sun
your adeptness and straight talking is needed in
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Are "they" back? Big late move for Tempsford from 10.0 ( @ 15:31 to 5.9 @ 15:37. Let’s see …….
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That’s a NO
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