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using the form and the physics NYSOS is a mile clear in DEL MARS’s 2358.
Only five runners here and the highest drawn is Nysos in stall five. The Bob Baffert trained runner blitzed his field on debut by 11 lengths. He’s rated 124 here and running off levels he is nearly two stone clear (without taking into consideration an ounce of improvement) the draw should be considered too and the selection in stall five should win well here if he improves. All the horses essentially weigh the same and with a stablemate a non runner in stall three all four remaining runners are in receipt of free energy given that they start off levels and are not staggered in the draw and leave the stalls in a straight line despite the fact they are running on a turning track. If this was a human athletics race, all Athletes would be staggered at an angle commensurate to the dynamics of the track. The race would level out after approximately a third of the race had been run and then the physics and the ability of the athletes would decide the outcome of the race. This simple fact is totally overlooked by all and sundry.
This therefore, given the nature of NYSOS ‘ performance, any improvement hands a huge advantage to NYSOS from stablemate’s non appearance in stall three.
NYSOS
2358
DEL MAR
WIN
4/7
Because every horse is drawn in the first five stalls the absence of stall three affects EVERY runner in this race and all theoretically could benefit. On bare form alone and given all the horses weigh essentially the same only the draw bias should influence the race further than the anticipated improvement of each horse the other three runners have to find 10 lengths minimum on NYSOS and at the rate of improvement and the draw and my concept and theory of free energy NYSOS ( off) level weights given natural improvement is at least one stone maybe two clear of all runners here and only stronghold is likely is offer any resistance. A small each way bet on Stronghold in addition to a decent win bet on NYSOS is recommended.
Obviously rather than an each way in a four runner race, a win bet on stronghold or a reverse forecast involving only stronghold and Nysos.Stronghold was indeed the horse to follow the selection home. The selection was indeed a stone plus clear and win going away in a canter by five to seven lengths as his debut performance suggested he would. I cannot prove the physics of the draw only summise what might happen. Given that racehorse’s all have an average weight ( they are indeed all different) the draw sees them in start in an equal line and the dimensions of the track, and the ability of the horses does the rest. Staggering the start would actually give the winner an even huger advantage as like the 400 metre sprinter Ed Moses he would eat away the yards early before the evening out of the staggered draw process and he would be well ahead by the levelling out in the back straight and would increase the advantage a long way from home.
Four weeks and one day the physics rarely changes but it is open to interpretation like anything.
Wolverhampton 2030
David Evans runs
ULTRAMARINE
Each way
Off top weight and using several aspects of physics has an outstanding chance here.
There is maybe such a thing as traverse law of physics and it hits here in two ways.ULTRAMARINE
A winner by the narrowest of margins but three lengths clear when going to win his race and in truth plenty up his sleeve for another day. Unless Evans needs the cash, this one will be put to work to earn another winner off an even lower mark but in truth once down to this mark again will truly have a ton in hand.
One day in the dim distant future,
Racing fans will read these pages and ask “how come this guy knew all about traverse law and free energy too back then?. Yes and no one listened to him. Yes, ahead of his time.
No, he was deluded.
Yes, but annoyingly he put up a few winners didn’t he?
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