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Don’t think we have a thread on this one yet. Looks a weak renewal of this and I Can Fly looks surely a very good bet here. Group 2 winner, very nearly won the QEII on Soft at Ascot in October, so course and ground form is there. Not matched that since, but couple of decent runs recently, is the highest rated in the field and of course AOB is in top form already for Royal Ascot. EW 4 places at 9/2, most stake back on placing. Looks a cracking bet to me?
Rawdaa hasn’t gone the usual routes into this, Pretty Baby not guaranteed to want 8F, Agrotera looks a bit short of whats usually needed and Veracious has disappointed in her last 3 runs now.
I Can Fly 9/2 EW 4 places.
I Can Fly 9-2 for the win and Nyaleti 40s ew 4pl with PaddyP; I have a soft spot for her and she had a good excuse last tine.
It’s a tough race to be confident on Frenchy. No doubt I Can Fly ran a cracker that day, Roaring Lion obviously a fair bit below his best, but that’s still good form in the context of this race. The mile division is so open + average, see One Master today who ran a cracker. This is the first time she’s had a good bit of give since then so it’s a possible that she’ll pick her form up again.
Worth noting AOB doesn’t run a whole lot in here, Hydrangea ran poor last year when looking almost a banker. The ground suits her, but the 3pd penalty doesn’t. It would be enough for me to avoid backing her at the price, but your E/w seems a fair bet.When first looking at Rawdaa i thought she has ran a good race at York, but sure Lah Ti Dah has ran a stinker since, so perhaps the form isn’t all that great. Sun Maiden won listed race with ease afterwards. Having listened to Mike Spence on the Oddschecker preview of day 2, he said that Rawdaa was pretty fat on her reappearance at Kempton and given it’s Michael Stoute it’s believable. She shaped very well that day and came from quite far back. She has form on g/s and Newmarket looked bordering on soft. The trip, for me was the main concern as i think she wanted 10f+ at the start of the season but after York maybe 10f will be her trip. Ascot being stiff will help that + the give in the ground. Personally i think she’ll take the beating.
Agrotera has course form from last year and handles the ground. This will be her prime target. I would agree with you that i don’t think she’ll good enough.
Anna Nerium will enjoy some give but i’d wonder hope something will be a little better than her to win. She’s gutsy though, and i wouldn’t rule her out at 14s.
The Haggas horse’s are interesting, i’d tend to agree Pretty Baby will need to prove she properly stays, she’s the right man on board to do that though. The other one being by Farrh would probably welcome the softer ground. She should have won last time, having travelled from miles back + very wide at Lingfield.
The last one on my mind at a big price would be Hand on Heart, and she’s 50s. Would need to massively step up, but with softer ground + a stiff mile i think she has her conditions.
I’ll back Rawdaa at 5s + Pretty Baby as a main saver. HOH will be a small exchange play too.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Yep agree Jack, hence the EW play. I have to be honest I missed that 3lb penalty, thats a bit annoying, but the other point is a good one, as AOB actually has a better record at Royal Ascot when he runs just one horse in a race than when he runs more.
The other thing I like about I Can Fly is her 6th in the Lockhinge. Her last 3 Group 1 runs in England are 426, thats not bad at all and in this average field for a Group 2, could really be argued as stand out form almost.
It is comfortably the worst DOC in at least a decade based on looking at the highest rated horse each year, so I guess that could mean it is more open to a longer odds winner, as per the Queen Anne the last couple years, so I will have a look again in the morning at something a bit longer as well.
Rawdaa just puts me off due to the route she’s taken into this, it’s unusual for a winner to come in from the Middleton and Mustashry didn’t run his race at all today, so dare I say a little question mark against the master Sir MS?!
To be fair, Mustashry was only beaten 3.5Ls and it wasn’t like he went out like a light so it wouldn’t worry me hugely. Though in saying that having watched Mekong on Saturday, he went out like a light so who knows!!
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!I can fly turning into a cliff horse of mine
Gonna give her one more chance, she loses tomorrow I’m never going in again
Put up at 11/2 in my daily lay and play thread
Think Mekong tailing off was more to do with the jockey forgetting it was 1m6f not 6f
When you’re burning off a Johnston front runner you are going way way too fast
I like Move Swiftly however it’s tricky to work out just how good she is as has always started a short price fav and this is a different kettle of fish of a race. Can’t get away from I Can Fly’s very decent 2nd to Roaring Lion on soft and think she’ll win
Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026
Two decent each way punts for me –
Red Tea 20/1
JOB has improved this filly no end. Bolted up in a handicap of 96, then came through from the back at the Curragh when it was advantageous to be up with the pace (Dettori given a freebie). She was 1/2L behind ICF and she is now 4lbs better off with that filly and one is 7/2 and one is 20s.
Anna Nerium 14/1
Won nicely LTO from the back at Epsom (not easy to do), will enjoy the stiff mile, ground and she’s a gutsy filly that’s due a win at this level.
I’m with you Nathan on Move Swiftly. I backed her a few days ago at 20/1
(in the ante post competition thread). She’s down to 10s, here’s hoping
Nice one BigG
She travelled so sweetly
I only had a place bet as wasn’t overly confident but have always liked herGaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026
It was biting the cushion time Green
Well done Nathan, she was given the perfect ride by
Danny Tudhope. Kept her covered up and then picked up
beautifully when asked, even if it was a nail biter
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