March 31, 2004 at 13:14 #1424
I must confess that i`ve never actually tried dutching before but it would seem that race selection is the key factor.
By sticking to 8 runner races your have a 50% chance of winning. All you need then is to get a short price fav turned over and bobs your uncle, easy isn`t it?
I`ll give it a whirl in the Nottm 2.40.
Smart Danny 13/2 Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£13.33
Flash Ram 7/1 Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£12.50
Kuringai 7/1 Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£12.50
Scottish Exile 9/1 Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£10
I`ve quoted the best odds currently available from Oddschecker on each selection and the figure to bet on each is to return Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£100.
Total outlay Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£48.33. Potential profit Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£51.67March 31, 2004 at 16:29 #52719
mmmm. Perhaps there’s a little more to it Andy?;)April 1, 2004 at 07:39 #52720
Lol @ Snowman, I was going to post exactly the same.
Off to Aintree today so i`ve decided to try and get First Gold beaten.
Tuitchev 5.2/1 Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£16.12.
Hand Inn Hand 5.8/1 Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£14.70
Valley Henry 5.8/1 Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£14.70
Fondmont 7/1 Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£12.50
Outlay Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£58.02 potential profit Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£41.92. Prices as per Betfair @ 8.38am.
If this one goes pear shaped i`ll swap it to a lay 4 thread!!April 1, 2004 at 09:39 #52721
Too early to pack in yet Andy! This isn’t the spirit that made Systems Workshop great.
Are you using any selection rules for your 4 against the fav?April 1, 2004 at 10:00 #52722MatronParticipant
- Total Posts 5825
I know somebody that operates a similar system to this, but only backs the first four in the betting on races of 9,8 or 7.
I know that he applies filters with regards prices, but I am afraid does not give much info away on this.
Regards – Matron<br>:cool:April 2, 2004 at 10:28 #52723
A win for you Andy, well done.
Trouble is we’re still a little down on the 2 days, gonna need to hit slightly better than 1/2 I think, but who says you wont?
Keep going mate, interested to see how this pans out.April 2, 2004 at 12:53 #52724
Thanks for the support Snowman. I`m using Adrian Masseys ratings as a guide to which fav`s are the most likely to get beaten.
Today we go for the 4.40 at Southwell.
Czar Wars Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£21.73 @ 3.6/1
On the Trail Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£21.73 @ 3.6/1
Pawan Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£15.62 @ 5.4/1
Festive Affair Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£15.15 @ 5.6/1
Total outlay Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£74.23. Potential profit Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£25.77
To date – Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£6.41April 2, 2004 at 16:32 #52725
Well done mate another winner & fav nowhere. :cool:April 2, 2004 at 21:10 #52726
Cheers Snowman, we`re now showing a small profit of Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£19.36.
Off to Aintree early in the morning so doubt i`ll be able to post any selections.
The race to look at is Newcastle 4.05 but its currently got a 145% overround so the prices are obviously off the mark at present.
If i get time tomorrow i`ll put it up, if not, then we`ll keep our powder dry until Sunday.April 4, 2004 at 11:06 #52727
Sorry, i couldn`t post yestrday, just didin`t get the time.
Todays race is Hexham 2.00
Mister Arjay Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£27.77 @ 2.6/1
Rocket Bleu Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£17.24 @ 4.8/1
Culcabock Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£6.89 @ 13.5/1
Nuclear Prospect Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£3.44 @ 28/1
Total outlay Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£55.34 Potential profit Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£44.66.April 4, 2004 at 14:39 #52728
<br>Maybe it IS that simple after all!! :biggrin:April 4, 2004 at 15:15 #52729
Snowman, i very much doubt it is so simple, but its nice to be in profit.
To date + Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£64.02.April 5, 2004 at 09:13 #52730
I think today may be a little dodgy but we`ll have a go at the Windsor 2.10
Cummiskey Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£29.85 Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â @ 2.35/1
Tremar Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£23.80 Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â @ Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â 3.2/1
Cornus Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£11.90 Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â @ 7.4/1
Leonato Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£2.77 @ Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â 35/1
Total Outlay Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£68.32 Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â Potential profit Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£31.68<br>
(Edited by andydawes at 11:14 am on April 5, 2004)April 5, 2004 at 17:51 #52731padmanMember
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Nice one Andy.:biggrin:
PaulApril 5, 2004 at 18:27 #52732OllieMember
- Total Posts 82
How do you work out how much to stake for each set of odds? presumably there is a formula of some sort?
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