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Dead Eight Dutcher

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  • #1424
    andydawes
    Member
    • Total Posts 210

    I must confess that i`ve never actually tried dutching before but it would seem that race selection is the key factor.

    By sticking to 8 runner races your have a 50% chance of winning.  All you need then is to get a short price fav turned over and bobs your uncle, easy isn`t it?

    I`ll give it a whirl in the Nottm 2.40.

    Smart Danny 13/2   £13.33

    Flash Ram  7/1  Ãƒâ€šÃ‚£12.50

    Kuringai  7/1  Ãƒâ€šÃ‚£12.50

    Scottish Exile  9/1  Ãƒâ€šÃ‚£10

    I`ve quoted the best odds currently available from Oddschecker on each selection and the figure to bet on each is to return £100.

    Total outlay £48.33.  Potential profit  Ãƒâ€šÃ‚£51.67

    #52719
    snowman
    Participant
    • Total Posts 554

    mmmm. Perhaps there’s a little more to it Andy?;)

    #52720
    andydawes
    Member
    • Total Posts 210

    Lol @ Snowman, I was going to post exactly the same.

    Off to Aintree today so i`ve decided to try and get First Gold beaten.

    Tuitchev  5.2/1  Ãƒâ€šÃ‚£16.12.

    Hand Inn Hand 5.8/1  Ãƒâ€šÃ‚£14.70

    Valley Henry  5.8/1  Ãƒâ€šÃ‚£14.70

    Fondmont  7/1  Ãƒâ€šÃ‚£12.50

    Outlay £58.02   potential profit £41.92.  Prices as per Betfair @ 8.38am.

    If this one goes pear shaped i`ll swap it to a lay 4 thread!!

    #52721
    snowman
    Participant
    • Total Posts 554

    Too early to pack in yet Andy! This isn’t the spirit that made Systems Workshop great.

    Are you using any selection rules for your 4 against the fav?

    #52722
    MatronMatron
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5825

    I know somebody that operates a similar system to this, but only backs the first four in the betting on races of 9,8 or 7.

    I know that he applies filters with regards prices, but I am afraid does not give much info away on this.

    Regards – Matron<br>:cool:

    #52723
    snowman
    Participant
    • Total Posts 554

    A win for you Andy, well done.

    Trouble is we’re still a little down on the 2 days, gonna need to hit slightly better than 1/2 I think, but who says you wont?

    Keep going mate, interested to see how this pans out.

    #52724
    andydawes
    Member
    • Total Posts 210

    Thanks for the support Snowman.  I`m using Adrian Masseys ratings as a guide to which fav`s are the most likely to get beaten.

    Today we go for the 4.40 at Southwell.

    bet:

    Czar Wars  Ãƒâ€šÃ‚£21.73  @  3.6/1

    On the Trail  Ãƒâ€šÃ‚£21.73  @  3.6/1

    Pawan   £15.62 @  5.4/1

    Festive Affair  Ãƒâ€šÃ‚£15.15  @ 5.6/1

    Total outlay £74.23.    Potential profit £25.77

    To date – £6.41

    #52725
    snowman
    Participant
    • Total Posts 554

    Well done mate another winner & fav nowhere.  :cool:

    #52726
    andydawes
    Member
    • Total Posts 210

    Cheers Snowman, we`re now showing a small profit of £19.36.

    Off to Aintree early in the morning so doubt i`ll be able to post any selections.

    The race to look at is Newcastle 4.05 but its currently got a 145% overround so the prices are obviously off the mark at present.

    If i get time tomorrow i`ll put it up, if not, then we`ll keep our powder dry until Sunday.

    #52727
    andydawes
    Member
    • Total Posts 210

    Sorry, i couldn`t post yestrday, just didin`t get the time.

    Todays race is Hexham 2.00

    Mister Arjay  Ãƒâ€šÃ‚£27.77 @ 2.6/1

    Rocket Bleu  Ãƒâ€šÃ‚£17.24 @ 4.8/1

    Culcabock   £6.89  @ 13.5/1

    Nuclear Prospect £3.44 @ 28/1

    Total outlay £55.34   Potential profit £44.66.

    #52728
    snowman
    Participant
    • Total Posts 554

    <br>Maybe it IS that simple after all!! :biggrin:

    #52729
    andydawes
    Member
    • Total Posts 210

    Snowman, i very much doubt it is so simple, but its nice to be in profit.

    To date  + £64.02.

    #52730
    andydawes
    Member
    • Total Posts 210

    I think today may be a little dodgy but we`ll have a go at the Windsor 2.10

    Cummiskey  £29.85  @ 2.35/1

    Tremar  £23.80  @  3.2/1

    Cornus  £11.90  @ 7.4/1

    Leonato  £2.77 @  35/1

    Total Outlay £68.32   Potential profit  £31.68<br>

    (Edited by andydawes at 11:14 am on April 5, 2004)

    #52731
    padman
    Member
    • Total Posts 448

    Nice one Andy.:biggrin:

    Paul

    #52732
    Ollie
    Member
    • Total Posts 82

    Andy

    Most interesting!

    How do you work out how much to stake for each set of odds? presumably there is a formula of some sort?

    Ollie

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