April 5, 2004 at 18:32 #52733
Thanks Padman, another winner to take our profit to date to Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£95.70.
Ollie, i`m using a dutching calculator that you`ll find on the link below. Just put the odds in and it does the rest.April 6, 2004 at 10:58 #52734
Only 1 eight runner race today.
I as inclined to skip it as the Loder hotpot could be something out of the ordinary, but anything can happen 1st time out so we`ll oppose it with;
Winged D`Argent Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£18.88 @ 4.5/1
Crociera Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£11.11 @ 8/1
At Your Request Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£5.88 @ 16/1
Hernando`s Boy Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£5.88 @ 16/1.
Total outlay Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£41.75 Potential profit Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£58.25.April 6, 2004 at 13:07 #52735
Well done yesterday mate & good luck for today.
I wonder wether there would be much difference between your ‘eight dutcher’ and a straight lay of the fav? I think the potential outlay would be a few coppers more for the same profit, but you have to remember that you would be covering all 7 of the opponents to the fav. and not just the most likely 4.
As I type, Serengeti Sky can be layed at 1.77 so your Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£ 58.25 would give a potential outlay of Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£44.85.
So far either the fav has done the business or 1 of your 4 have won, sooner or later however you suspect that one of the ‘rags’ is going to come in and that will be a sickener – to get the fav beat and still lose your money.
Just a thought – good luck again for today Andy.
(Edited by snowman at 2:21 pm on April 6, 2004)<br>
(Edited by snowman at 2:23 pm on April 6, 2004)April 6, 2004 at 14:55 #52736padmanMember
- Total Posts 448
Thanks Andy………….I had a go today. Winged Argent WINNNNNNNNNNNNNS
PaulApril 6, 2004 at 15:44 #52737
Nice to hear you were on Padman. But i would add a word of caution. A few losers could quickly make a serious dent in the profits to date.
Snowman, i think you make a very valid point. Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â In hindsight it would make more sense to lay the fav in some instances, particularly when its odds on like today.
I`m sure there will be instances where we get the fav beaten and a rag does us. I`ll just have to take that on the chin until i can come up with a plan B. Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â
Profit to date Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£153.95
(Edited by andydawes at 5:03 pm on April 6, 2004)April 6, 2004 at 16:52 #52738OllieMember
- Total Posts 82
Many thanks for the Calculator link. My modus operandi is to often back more than one in a race, but i have tended to "weight" my stakes according to degree of confidence and odds but Ill try out the calculator in future.
Ollie<br>PS I’ve tried out the calculator looks as if it will be useful-thanks again
(Edited by Ollie at 6:08 pm on April 6, 2004)April 6, 2004 at 17:41 #52739
Well done Andy mate! I think laying the fav may be an option when the 7 opponents are perceived to all hold similar chances and it’s therefore tricky to decide which 4 to back.
But for now enjoy your success :biggrin:April 7, 2004 at 10:59 #52740
Once again only the 1 eight runner race. Warwick 3.30
Hasayis Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£27.39 @ 2.65/1
Cesare Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£15.62 @ 5.4/1
Purple Rain Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£12.50 @ 7/1
Prince Valentine Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£10 @ 9/1
<br>Total outlay Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£65.51. Potential profit Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£34.49April 7, 2004 at 17:34 #52741
Well another winner Andy but the potential outlay to possible profit was as high as it’s been since you started. There may come a point where you feel the reward isn’t sufficient to play.
But, as before, for now enjoy the success. :biggrin:April 8, 2004 at 11:56 #52742
Another winner yesterday takes profit to date to Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£188.44.
Bold Marc Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£24.39 @ 3.1/1
Forfeiter Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£12.82 Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â @ 6.8/1
Rightprice Premier Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£12.19 @ 7.2/1
Steal the Thunder Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£6.45 Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â @ Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â 14.5/1
Total outlay Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£55.85 Potential profit Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£44.15
(Edited by andydawes at 12:57 pm on April 8, 2004)April 8, 2004 at 15:34 #52743padmanMember
- Total Posts 448
Going along nicely Andy. Missed yesterday and todays though:angry: Will leave it alone over the week-end as Bank Holiday meetings are not good for me.
<br>PaulApril 8, 2004 at 15:36 #52744
Keep it going mate, your doing great!April 8, 2004 at 18:44 #52745
For the second day running we managed to find the first 3 home for a profit of Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£44.15
To date +Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£232.59
Snowman, i`ve been mulling over your comments regarding outlay to potential profit and agree to some extent that the Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£70ish to win Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£30ish bets would soon blow a whole in the profit should a result go against us.
However, we are backing half the field and are weighting our selection towards the head of the market, therefore highly unlikely to get many Evens the four coupled.
To try and preserve the bank when the inevitable losers come along i`ll restrict bets to somewhere around the 4/6 coupled mark.
Many thanks for your input in this experiment, constructive views are always welcome.
Have a good Easter.
<br>April 9, 2004 at 17:35 #52746
Thanks Andy, hope you have a good one too. You’ve hit a nice little patch with the system – long may it continue.
Happy Easter to all TRF members and their families but especially the sanity challenged bunch that (like me) walk the corridors of Systems Workshop!
(Edited by snowman at 6:36 pm on April 9, 2004)April 10, 2004 at 11:27 #52747
One of the key elements to this system is trying to get short priced favourites beaten. To do this there has to be sufficient strength in depth in the opposition to warrant a bet against the fav.
Only 1 eight runner race today which basically looks to be a match between Soviet Song and Monturani.
Soviet Song comes out top on all rating and i`m not going to oppose it.
No bet today.
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