Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Eclipse 2020
- This topic has 75 replies, 25 voices, and was last updated 5 years, 9 months ago by
colosus68.
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- July 1, 2020 at 21:20 #1492371
Lord North looks unlikely apparently so if we want EW 3, need to bet antipost
July 1, 2020 at 21:56 #1492373Gosden has warned that Enable may need her first run. Japan isn’t out of this.
July 1, 2020 at 22:05 #1492375I genuinely think that Enable is a terrible price at 6/5 at best !
I look for an edge and value.
I think she really needs the run and JG wont mind being beaten when he has the King George in mind and the price she is.
I would be inclined to think to take her on with something else or lay her all day long.
It would be great for racing if she wins but its a big ask at that price. She’s a 3 to 1 shot in my tissue.
Colosus
July 1, 2020 at 23:04 #1492380Gosden said Enable would need the run last year when she beat a hard fit Magical snug in this and there’s no Magical in this race. If she gets beat it’ll be because she’s 6 and on the downgrade IMO. What’s your 100% tissue, Colosus?
Magic Wand will make the Godolphin beast sulk like a spoiled child. He wants a bigger break between his races also.
Bangkok is a keen going sort, possibly another pace spoiler.
Japan is a 12F horse (Juddmonte form is bad, CO was feeling the effects of the KG & Elarqam/KOC aren’t G1 horses).
Lord North is on the upgrade bigtime and would be an interesting each way bet if 8 are declared. If the ground is quick (GF) that would be a slight concern.
Deirdre would need the ground quick for her to have a sniff but like LN & R4 she could let the others get on with it and sweep late.
Regal Reality is interesting now he’s been gelded. Ran well in this last year when playing up in the prelims and ran well in ground too soft for him at Ascot. Another who could pick up pieces late in the day to finish in the money.
Really looking forward to this race, some treat for a Sunday afternoon.
July 1, 2020 at 23:20 #1492381Good man Kev
I have 3 to 1 in my head. I think others will strip fitter and JG wont be too bothered if shes beat. He knows he will get his money the next day in the King George. If you know how JG works, he doesnt mind getting beat first time out. She is terrible bad value at 6/5.
Lord North looks a decent 3 place bet if 8 stay in.
If Enable wins I’ll buy you a few pints in Dublin anytime.
I also have a gut feeling she wont win.We are all entitled to our own opinion and thats what makes it great fun.
Colosus
July 1, 2020 at 23:24 #1492382Lord North not running bookies are removing his odds so no 8 runners.
July 1, 2020 at 23:26 #14923833/1? In this race, come on?
This is not a good race unless you believe the ghaiyaath hype.
Lord north has to replicate running to his supposed 124
Japans needs further, this is a shoe in.
75% enable would 100% win this, if she doesnt its because shes not good enough anymore, nothing else
July 1, 2020 at 23:27 #1492384Feel free to put up some 4.0 on the exchange
Il gladly take it haha
July 1, 2020 at 23:34 #1492385To be honest I think the 6/5 is disgraceful.
Shes the public horse and the bookies are running scared, some are going evens.
You think its a shoe in, I think the opposite.
We will both know on Sunday
Would you put the mortgage on her ?
Would 75% put the mortgage on ?All I am saying is there are better 6/5 shots out there.
I backed Sinawann today at 5/4. Now he was a shoe in.I am not laying her to anyone at 3s when I can lay her at 5/4.
Colosus
July 1, 2020 at 23:45 #1492386I have 3 to 1 in my head
If she is 3-1, tell us what you think the other prices should be of the horses in + around her in the market.
I backed Sinawann today at 5/4. Now he was a shoe in.
This is the horse you said was going to be backed by the stable for the 2000g, was well beat + needed run, if you believe Halford today. Lovely after-timing mind you Colosus.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!July 1, 2020 at 23:46 #1492387Who is Fav if Enable should be 3/1?
Thanks for confirming that Mike, I’d missed that quote from Gosden since the RP have it behind a bloody paywall!
July 1, 2020 at 23:51 #1492388I’d be all over 3/1 Enable no ones close to her form in this race. Your tissue is off there collusus that makes her only value at 4/1?
July 1, 2020 at 23:58 #1492389She is 5/4 to lay.
And i think thats great value !
Forget about who should be shorter than her.
You have the rest of the field at just under evens.
I think she will be toppled.
I am a decent man, if i am wrong i will buy the pints.
Colosus
July 2, 2020 at 00:03 #1492391Japan out. Thats a shame would of made the other better value haha
July 2, 2020 at 00:10 #1492392I’ll have a peroni
July 2, 2020 at 07:12 #1492403Japan out? Where do you see that?
July 2, 2020 at 09:41 #1492406Unless you know something direct from the stable hes still in as of now? No sign or word hes out? No drift on the exchanges
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