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I don’t think those fansite accounts are actually affiliated with AOB/JOB (as much as they’d like to be!)
They’d be the best at digging up obscure articles about running plans though. Sad individuals.
Bit harsh on the Irish Times to call it obscure!
Feeling uninspired by this race so had an obscure EW bet on the admirably tough Magic Wand at 66-1. I wouldn’t be surprised if she turns out here as, looking at her race record, she has to sing for her supper alright.
Enable update – lets hope the ground isnt too firm come Saturday!
https://www.attheraces.com/news/2019/July/03/enable-‘in-good-shape’-for-eclipse-return
Nothing unexpected. Proper good-firm will be fine for Enable, just a problem if getting too firm. It would be stupid to commit 100%. ie Makes sense to keep your options open in case they fail to put enough water on and becomes (for her) unsafe. But that’s highly unlikely.
Value Is EverythingOr it’s more like getting the excuses in early in case she’s not quite on it after return “she ran very well, we’re pleased with her, but we just felt it was a bit too fast for her out there today”
That’s interesting stuff you’ve quoted, Jack. Presumably the Irish Field can be relied on for accurate quotes… And that’s now backed up in the betting. Of the top six in the market on oddschecker, there’s a bit of blue for five of them, only one in pink pretty much across the board is Circus Maximus, who’s also double the top bookmaker’s odds on betfair. Seems Magical much more likely to run now.
Value Is EverythingIf he said that on Tuesday it doesn’t explain why she’s been so weak in the market before though?
Yeah i spotted the Betfair market too GT.
Frenchy, not sure she’s been that weak myself. Yes WH were offering 11/2 but not many else were. Paddy’s were 4/1 still, didn’t see what she went out to on Betfair. I think a lot just noticed the sea of blue for Enable. Plus the Irish Times are the only ones i think i’ve seen quote him, so the main racing paper hasn’t used the quote and the markets haven’t reacted as heavy?
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Not much Jack but she has a bit, maybe the quotes went under the radar possibly, in which case she should shorten up a fair bit I think if all is well there. Enable is surely way too short over 10f FTO in a Grp1 on GF with Magical also running? I can see them getting a lot closer in the market. I’m tempted to go in now on Magical but I will wait for the final confirmation. I’d love Regal Reality to do it after the bandwagon on here and I’m on at 25s and 16s but I just can’t see it at the moment. Good EW shout but if Circus Maximus doesn’t turn up then it’s Magical v Enable I think for me. Final look tomorrow
She was definitely higher on the exchange than she is now but not by a lot maybe 1.0-1.5 but there isn’t enough liquidity in the market to call it a market move
Probably just been some people who are on enable hedging just in case she does run
As someone who has a decent lump at 3.15 and 3.0 (as poster earlier in the thread) on Enable, I think it’ll be Circus Maximus who runs. Which I’d be absolutely delighted to see it be her rather than Magical.
Magical is a danger. Circus Maximus.. isn’t. That’s my view.
Obviously I wouldn’t get involved at odds on the favourite but she’s now the right price. She’s a 7 time Group 1 winner. Over 2/1 a few days ago was frankly insulting to her brilliance. It would have to be fast ground for her not to run which just won’t be the case with them watering it daily. I’m not really worried at all. Be interesting to see who takes her on tomorrow though when final declarations are made.
Let’s be honest take the top 2 in the betting out and this looks like a group 2 field
If magical doesn’t run and enable is even half fit she should canter all over these
I backed Telecaster at 33s a couple of weeks back so glad to see Oisin Murphy booked. Was so impressed by him until the Epsom debacle. Think the Dante form is rock solid and Enable unlikely to be quite at her peak on Saturday.
The Dante form is anything but rock solid. 2 of the market leaders that day appear not to have trained on as 3 year olds now, (Line of Duty & Too Darn Hot) of the other 2 market leaders Japan(nowhere near fit) and Surfman(well beaten in the French Derby). The dante was a strangely run race as well and the form is very suspect given how Telecaster fell into a hole 3F out in the derby and finished last. I can possibly see him running well back at 10f and possibly the derby came too soon for him after the Dante but I’ll be very surprised if he wins this.
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